Whopping-Chalice — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$63

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

4,631 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$27.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-10 11:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

100% 31% -$5,230

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes		+376	$85	6¢	$22	-$63	10-17 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1.8K	3,908	0	+3,908	Yes	-$1,756	10-15 20:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?	4	$1.3K	976	976	+0	No	+$395	05-08 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	9	$1.1K	545	545	+0	Yes	+$18	05-15 20:30
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?	2	$647	348	348	+0	Yes	+$47	05-12 20:57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 12?	2	$614	315	315	+0	Yes	+$14	05-12 22:39
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 8?	4	$573	312	312	+0	No	+$49	05-08 06:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	2	$503	400	400	+0	No	-$97	05-13 06:11
highest temperature in cape town on april 15 2026 21c	12	$481	328	240	+88	Yes	$0	04-15 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?	1	$388	435	0	+435	No	-$388	05-16 15:04
highest temperature in munich on april 21 2026 10c	34	$347	376	0	+376	Yes	+$28	04-21 14:16
highest temperature in istanbul on april 14 2026 13c	9	$326	313	110	+203	Yes	-$102	04-14 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?	2	$319	172	172	+0	Yes	+$25	05-12 20:20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?	2	$312	329	329	+0	Yes	-$288	05-13 05:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 15?	1	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	05-14 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 13?	3	$300	30,000	0	+30,000	No	-$300	05-13 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 11?	1	$300	308	0	+308	No	+$8	05-11 10:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on May 12?	1	$300	305	0	+305	No	+$5	05-12 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 16?	1	$295	303	0	+303	No	+$8	05-15 23:12
highest temperature in austin on april 16 2026 88 89f	11	$286	202	152	+50	Yes	+$8	04-16 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 14?	4	$240	250	0	+250	Yes	+$10	05-14 14:25
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 12c	13	$234	298	69	+229	Yes	-$16	04-15 21:29
highest temperature in helsinki on april 14 2026 14c	8	$227	122	110	+12	Yes	-$6	04-14 14:20
highest temperature in milan on april 15 2026 22c	13	$216	131	101	+30	Yes	-$15	04-15 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 9?	12	$214	262	262	+0	Yes	-$26	05-08 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 26?	3	$209	111	111	+1	Yes	+$12	04-26 20:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 8?	3	$207	107	107	+0	No	+$7	05-08 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 8?	3	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	05-08 06:20
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 25?	3	$195	111	110	+1	Yes	+$7	04-25 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on May 16?	1	$184	188	0	+188	No	+$3	05-15 23:12
highest temperature in munich on april 15 2026 13c	11	$173	168	20	+148	Yes	+$15	04-15 21:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 11:07:34	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xcc6a37…
10-26 13:55:29	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd5af9f…
10-17 15:05:56	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	345	23¢	$80	0x3edd05…
10-17 15:02:56	Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf81335…
10-15 20:55:39	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3,908	45¢	$1,756	0xa541e3…
08-15 06:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x704999…
08-15 06:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x3e09b0…
08-15 06:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0xaa7f00…
08-15 06:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x4b6897…
08-15 06:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xea1ecd…
08-15 06:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x80c18e…
08-15 06:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xd23360…
08-15 06:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xa901ef…
08-15 06:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 15?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x86bae4…
08-15 06:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x951ebf…
08-15 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x014c45…
08-13 12:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x766785…
08-13 12:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xa5e0f0…
08-13 12:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcfb3d0…
08-13 12:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe55929…
08-13 12:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x668113…
08-13 12:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9633b2…
08-13 12:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xed9cc7…
08-13 12:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xa88ca3…
08-13 12:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x69d084…
08-13 12:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x43dac9…
08-13 11:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xcfbe25…
08-13 11:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xea1d09…
08-13 11:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 13?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4cd411…
08-13 11:19:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x79a76a…
08-13 11:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xa2215f…
08-13 11:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8ac5f7…
08-13 11:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 13?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc555ef…
08-12 17:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 12?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa603a5…
08-12 17:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 12?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xc23e63…
08-12 17:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdb602d…
08-12 17:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6f098a…
08-12 17:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x51adc9…
08-12 17:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 12?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xa6cb06…
08-12 11:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x236931…
08-12 11:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 12?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xfcbfac…
08-11 21:45:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 11?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x413480…
08-11 21:45:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 11?	No	BUY	23	63¢	$14	0x25df9d…
08-11 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xf0177a…
08-11 21:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2c20e4…
08-11 19:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xffe07c…
08-11 19:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe0b5fa…
08-11 19:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 11?	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x6db2e4…
08-11 06:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xcb5c2f…
08-10 14:24:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xfdaed7…
08-10 14:22:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x64195e…
08-10 14:19:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb10498…
08-10 14:19:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x03f302…
08-10 14:18:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x0d7aa7…
08-10 14:12:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x36d958…
08-10 14:11:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0xcfbae0…
08-10 14:11:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x917788…
08-10 14:11:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 10?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf1428b…
08-10 13:57:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xba0545…
08-10 13:56:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x400c39…
08-10 13:56:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 10?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1d1f2d…
08-09 07:40:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xd30f9f…
08-09 07:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x3ff5df…
08-09 07:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xa64755…
08-09 07:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x466f98…
08-09 06:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xe974c4…
08-09 06:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 9?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x568c0c…
08-08 12:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x6345da…
08-08 12:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x20ce9a…
08-08 12:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0xcecd6a…
08-08 12:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x70e482…
08-08 12:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	31	68¢	$21	0xa35f80…
08-08 12:35:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xdd6fff…
08-08 12:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x48470a…
08-08 12:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x635e8a…
08-08 11:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x4f882b…
08-08 07:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0f67c6…
08-08 07:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xaba508…
08-07 20:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x868231…
08-07 19:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	0	62¢	$0	0x934f06…
08-07 19:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc42a22…
08-07 19:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xbe89c8…
08-07 19:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x47d4b9…
08-07 18:40:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x934736…
08-07 18:39:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 7?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x645093…
08-07 17:54:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7?	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x0a4cd9…
08-07 17:54:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x40f5c9…
08-07 17:53:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7?	No	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xffb0c1…
08-07 17:49:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on August 7?	No	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x31b2ed…
08-07 08:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xe6ca6e…
08-07 06:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x826937…
08-07 06:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xb76b0b…
08-05 22:19:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xc643d1…
08-05 22:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x202f93…
08-05 17:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xad1a0e…
08-05 17:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x76ac4d…
08-05 17:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x597fe2…
08-05 17:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0xec61d1…
08-05 17:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x349f13…
08-05 16:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3f3570…