(anonymous) 0xd4e8d4…26baac
bot 4L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$66
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
26.3%
Resolved (90d)
74
Trades (90d)
92
1,733 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$122
$2.58K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$47
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 09-25 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Politics
64% 61% +$78
Other
30% 54% -$149
Sports
3% 40% -$31
Crypto
3% 50% +$24
Tech
0% 86% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$1 06-19 19:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 07-20 14:26
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$1 06-03 02:34
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $6 8¢ $3 -$3 06-11 19:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3 $2 75¢ $2 +$0 05-28 04:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 19¢ $2 -$1 07-26 08:33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-03 05:20
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +5 $2 39¢ $2 $0 06-10 01:43
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 06-10 19:56
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +15 $6 12¢ $2 -$4 05-26 05:36
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes +7 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-07 00:50
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 09-22 00:21
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +5 $3 19¢ $1 -$2 07-11 18:49
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +1 $1 70¢ $1 $0 06-24 16:57
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +7 $1 14¢ $1 $0 07-15 23:39
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:54
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +4 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 08-03 11:14
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 07-04 11:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +10 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-07 00:40
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-27 23:52
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +13 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 07-28 00:09
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-29 18:09
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +3 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 06-16 12:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +3 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 07-16 02:56
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +1 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 06-29 02:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54