Dismal-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

3,139

Trades

3,612

lifetime

Volume

$282.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$47

1 position

First seen

2026-02-14

last 10-28 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 252 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$40

Sports

16% 99% -$55

Crypto

3% 98% +$7

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez		+47	$47	100¢	$47	$0	10-28 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$200	100	100	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-11 11:42
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Over	+$0	04-24 02:46
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:54
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	15	$200	100	100	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$200	100	100	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	13	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	11	$200	100	100	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$200	100	100	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	2	$200	100	100	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	02-27 10:48
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$200	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	12	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$200	100	100	+0	Under	+$0	04-26 02:51
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$200	100	100	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	10	$200	100	100	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$200	100	100	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:32:53	Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x724408…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x380d0f…
10-28 17:57:02	W35 Norman, OK: Bella Payne vs Kristina Paskauskas	Bella Payne	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc8fc93…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x40bad7…
10-28 14:01:13	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kuwait vs Kenya	Kuwait	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x333a9f…
10-28 00:33:29	Queretaro: Katherine Hui vs Bianca Andreescu	Bianca Andreescu	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x137b43…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb7d8db…
10-27 20:14:09	Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8b789…
10-27 16:22:45	KBO Playoff: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x86bcd7…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x239ab3…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x406434…
10-25 13:26:53	Bilbao Basket vs. Basquet Club Andorra	Bilbao Basket	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2e27d…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb30035…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd4177d…
10-24 18:10:26	Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8fef3…
10-24 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x654d32…
10-24 14:15:11	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf55884…
10-24 14:15:05	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1a4b8f…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x7751eb…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8999d8…
10-24 13:00:44	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2fdf6a…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc3cea3…
10-24 11:57:02	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Uganda vs Mozambique	Uganda	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x741612…
10-24 09:16:08	W15 Bol: Tara Wuerth vs Viktoria Varga	Tara Wuerth	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe02c0d…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb5d8d…
10-23 19:53:41	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce608a…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x4ace1f…
10-23 18:51:42	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets	Spartak Moscow	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5f3720…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc8c571…
10-23 16:00:20	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb6831…
10-23 07:09:48	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xec0e4d…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f0910…
10-23 04:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba4682…
10-22 20:15:33	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01ab7f…
10-22 07:55:39	M25 Mumbai: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Chirag Duhan	Chirag Duhan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7883cc…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xaca8cb…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x5dd7f3…
10-22 03:02:54	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb8169a…
10-21 17:48:57	Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group A	Fluxo W7M	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ccea4…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2191d4…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8b5b43…
10-20 18:47:44	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bf2f6…
10-20 18:39:18	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x528ebc…
10-20 17:07:17	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfc5360…
10-20 15:12:00	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x064397…
10-20 12:55:33	ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Uganda vs Zambia	Uganda	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x6c9738…
10-19 21:54:57	W50 Austin: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anastasia Tikhonova	Anastasia Tikhonova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a2179…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb48a79…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3c1a00…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf992f1…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf6ab2d…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ec609…
10-18 13:29:27	Will RFK Akhmat Groznyi win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x83dd95…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xff1067…
10-18 12:39:24	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs maybe - Map 1 Winner	Falcons Force	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6e1daf…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1de01a…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xd95cb4…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x71d206…
10-16 04:06:19	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Vivian Wolff	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x46087a…
10-16 02:26:57	W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova	Vivian Wolff	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fbb54…
10-16 00:16:27	W35 Redding, CA: Sydney Jara vs Lea Ma	Lea Ma	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96baa…
10-15 22:39:30	W35 Redding, CA: Francesca Pace vs Duru Soke	Duru Soke	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb39411…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x149bbb…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcfd3e1…
10-15 18:36:59	Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-10-15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x207493…
10-14 20:56:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07d485…
10-14 12:36:47	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xab9f24…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8dc7e9…
10-14 05:10:34	Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfeadb6…
10-13 22:48:58	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x00b8d3…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x0627e5…
10-13 20:58:54	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4f6e2f…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29aa3a…
10-13 17:02:33	Will Slovenia win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0cf4f0…
10-13 16:15:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07b217…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcdd1ee…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x152a72…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x04ffb3…
10-12 09:09:37	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x604610…
10-12 06:41:07	T20 World Cup Asia Sub-Regional Qualifier B: China vs Saudi Arabia	Saudi Arabia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf386fe…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x3ef67c…
10-11 20:16:13	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x542619…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdc5c4e…
10-11 13:35:55	Will Nanjing City win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x184eb5…
10-11 10:55:48	M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Daniel Michalski vs Alexander Weis	Alexander Weis	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x93f454…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x4a4c30…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4d8c3a…
10-11 09:21:13	Jinan: Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov	Omar Jasika	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x1a5d84…
10-11 05:32:56	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x57a602…
10-11 04:44:39	Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a7e31…
10-11 04:14:51	World Championship of Legends: India Champions vs South Africa Champions	South Africa Champions	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52af7b…
10-10 23:37:54	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x112f05…
10-10 19:17:58	Will Toronto FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbbfcfb…
10-10 16:40:43	Will GAIS win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x4f985b…
10-10 15:13:33	Will Cesena FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ec1b1…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbd6da1…
10-10 14:38:33	Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29dd99…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff4f2b…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x4cd0dd…
10-09 20:40:23	Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x288b6f…