Smooth-Supreme — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$195

Unrealized P&L

+$2.50K

Hit rate

74.5%

Resolved

Trades

431

lifetime

Volume

$124.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$290

Open exposure

$3.76K

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-10 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

75% — —

Other

20% 33% +$195

Tech

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+2,459	$1,500	74¢	$1.8K	+$307	06-02 16:27
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	+1,822	$1,000	82¢	$1.5K	+$503	06-02 17:39
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+4,683	$500	10¢	$445	$-55	06-05 21:51
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	-2,500	$-1,747	0¢	$-2	+$1,745	06-01 16:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$23.9K	16,214	16,214	+0	open	—	04-24 17:44
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	13	$16.4K	11,448	13,948	-2,500	open	—	06-08 00:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$15.4K	10,544	9,952	+592	open	—	05-09 23:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11.7K	8,333	8,333	+0	open	—	05-03 07:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$9.7K	8,157	7,601	+556	open	—	05-27 06:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	1	$6.3K	0	7,179	-7,179	open	—	06-05 21:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	16	$5.1K	12,641	0	+12,641	open	—	06-02 10:11
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$3.3K	23	3,900	-3,877	open	—	05-24 20:16
will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	8	$2.6K	8,074	0	+8,074	open	—	06-09 17:06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	2	$2.4K	4,483	0	+4,483	open	—	06-01 19:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$2.3K	1,448	1,448	+0	open	—	05-25 13:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$2.0K	1,527	1,527	+0	open	—	05-01 19:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$2.0K	3,173	0	+3,173	open	—	05-18 23:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$1.5K	2,459	0	+2,459	open	—	06-02 16:27
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	2	$1.4K	2,421	2,421	+0	open	—	06-08 01:23
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	2	$1.3K	1,809	0	+1,809	open	—	06-08 17:36
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	18	$1.1K	1,768	658	+1,111	open	—	04-30 11:25
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 31	8	$1.1K	753	753	+0	open	—	03-31 16:08
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	1	$1000	1,822	0	+1,822	open	—	06-02 17:39
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$649	8,733	400	+8,333	open	—	04-06 17:17
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$629	2,333	2,333	+0	open	—	05-21 06:45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	2	$600	580	580	+0	No	+$400	04-09 17:48
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	4	$567	4,126	4,126	+0	open	—	05-21 06:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$563	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-25 14:06
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$500	4,683	0	+4,683	open	—	06-05 21:51
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	1	$500	755	0	+755	open	—	06-05 22:13
will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	1	$500	825	0	+825	open	—	06-10 22:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$481	52,000	0	+52,000	open	—	04-05 05:16
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on april 3	2	$440	250	250	+0	open	—	04-01 18:08
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	4	$430	1,807	0	+1,807	open	—	06-01 11:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 22:18:28	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	No	BUY	1,181	3¢	$40	0x16963f…
06-10 22:11:33	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	No	BUY	825	61¢	$500	0xbe36ee…
06-09 17:06:18	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,850	1¢	$10	0x62541f…
06-08 17:36:28	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	800	60¢	$480	0xda0bdc…
06-08 01:23:00	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,421	18¢	$447	0x1d4f71…
06-08 00:46:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11,448	100¢	$11,413	0x530293…
06-06 20:15:07	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1,822	25¢	$455	0x005aea…
06-06 19:23:22	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	178	25¢	$45	0x408bb3…
06-05 22:13:00	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	755	66¢	$500	0x262a59…
06-05 21:51:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,683	11¢	$500	0x1301ab…
06-05 21:12:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	7,179	87¢	$6,252	0x9506d7…
06-05 18:26:07	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,009	79¢	$800	0x85cd22…
06-05 18:23:45	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	No	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x4ea5ac…
06-05 17:52:52	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,421	41¢	$1,000	0xfa9df9…
06-03 01:11:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	303	34¢	$103	0xe0775c…
06-02 18:23:26	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	97	34¢	$33	0x1b23d3…
06-02 17:53:32	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	769	39¢	$300	0xbe9638…
06-02 17:39:43	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	1,822	55¢	$1,000	0x844da7…
06-02 16:27:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2,459	61¢	$1,500	0xd184cf…
06-02 15:39:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,548	20¢	$500	0x9f2c87…
06-02 10:11:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	762	34¢	$259	0xa74502…
06-02 09:46:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	223	34¢	$76	0xd38dc9…
06-02 07:16:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x369253…
06-02 06:45:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0xf2721b…
06-02 06:45:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x828f90…
06-02 03:34:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	34¢	$12	0x736f3d…
06-02 03:34:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x054b5c…
06-02 03:27:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xbd879a…
06-02 03:27:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa25d78…
06-02 00:43:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	212	34¢	$72	0x89d4fb…
06-01 20:37:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	116	34¢	$40	0x782a1e…
06-01 19:38:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	483	41¢	$200	0xb6526f…
06-01 18:30:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd02505…
06-01 18:30:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	172	34¢	$58	0xc3abc6…
06-01 16:47:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x02a96e…
06-01 16:47:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,857	30¢	$1,157	0x0812ad…
06-01 16:46:38	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,377	30¢	$413	0xeeedf1…
06-01 16:46:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,409	30¢	$423	0xcd5986…
06-01 16:33:41	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x7d0d94…
06-01 16:30:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	185	34¢	$63	0x8242de…
06-01 16:30:45	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x306dbd…
06-01 16:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	332	34¢	$113	0x3e9918…
06-01 16:29:42	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,668	33¢	$555	0x09b63d…
06-01 16:28:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	2,264	69¢	$1,570	0x7c9a16…
06-01 16:24:21	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	236	75¢	$177	0xae321d…
06-01 16:22:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x47e10e…
06-01 16:20:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x6dd49f…
06-01 16:20:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,020	42¢	$4,200	0x6f92e6…
06-01 16:01:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	4,000	54¢	$2,158	0x85c89e…
06-01 11:55:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	318	5¢	$16	0x1b938c…
06-01 11:53:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	282	5¢	$14	0x87578f…
05-31 22:42:24	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	862	23¢	$200	0x9c4fba…
05-31 22:31:07	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,655	57¢	$1,500	0x6d07bd…
05-31 17:17:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x157870…
05-28 06:28:49	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	453	30¢	$136	0xd5ba71…
05-28 06:28:44	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x24932a…
05-28 06:23:10	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x7eeaf9…
05-28 05:58:54	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	54	30¢	$16	0x9b5d59…
05-27 06:03:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0x1852b5…
05-25 20:08:12	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	210	18¢	$38	0x4d7ed0…
05-25 20:08:08	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x479ebe…
05-25 20:08:05	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x835dc8…
05-25 14:06:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,500	11¢	$263	0x8dab23…
05-25 13:03:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,448	91¢	$1,318	0xc971e3…
05-24 20:16:26	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	3,900	85¢	$3,323	0xc6276c…
05-23 21:29:27	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9941bc…
05-23 20:42:30	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x49c0f8…
05-22 02:31:33	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	18¢	$6	0xc5b2ff…
05-21 14:14:36	Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x8f32e7…
05-21 06:45:58	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x5d3846…
05-21 06:45:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,126	3¢	$137	0x689c9e…
05-21 06:45:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,333	10¢	$229	0xa7c599…
05-21 05:43:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,448	69¢	$1,000	0xd3aad3…
05-20 18:09:56	Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x0fea0f…
05-18 23:30:40	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x89e47c…
05-18 23:30:40	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x697ad6…
05-18 23:30:39	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0x671341…
05-18 23:28:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3,173	63¢	$2,000	0x57c008…
05-10 05:34:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,667	18¢	$300	0x6cb188…
05-09 23:53:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	12¢	$300	0xc71a05…
05-09 23:51:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	592	17¢	$100	0x2001a8…
05-09 23:51:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	9,952	84¢	$8,325	0x7df01d…
05-07 15:06:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	9,952	70¢	$7,000	0x07e120…
05-07 07:13:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,679	6¢	$100	0x9f6dfa…
05-05 06:06:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	640	5¢	$30	0xfebc35…
05-03 22:13:32	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x202e2a…
05-03 08:06:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0x04b8f8…
05-03 07:58:10	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xc6acba…
05-03 07:45:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8,333	81¢	$6,750	0x734871…
05-03 07:42:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,601	82¢	$6,233	0x4a7ff8…
05-01 19:16:06	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	1,527	93¢	$1,420	0x512f34…
04-30 13:35:44	LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb642b9…
04-30 13:28:10	LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	145	24¢	$35	0x63c3f6…
04-30 13:17:54	LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Ultra Prime	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x059aff…
04-30 13:11:12	LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd09e54…
04-30 12:35:18	LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xb40dad…
04-30 12:21:28	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xbb7686…
04-30 12:10:20	LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	Ultra Prime	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x1f3ce3…
04-30 11:46:24	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x86115a…
04-30 11:35:58	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x8b5b98…