Realized P&L
+$127.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$20.5K
Hit rate
86.8%
Resolved
301
Trades
6,039
lifetime
Volume
$16.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.72K
Open exposure
$208.2K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 124 days
Categories
Other
53% 88% +$68,145
Politics
44% 86% +$57,211
Crypto
3% 71% +$2,478
Sports
1% 83% -$697
Tech
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -49,861 -$46,865 98¢ $-48988 -$2,123 07-12 05:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +93,228 $61,495 40¢ $37.6K -$23,924 10-28 20:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +37,411 $34,418 92¢ $34.6K +$187 10-26 06:18
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -29,844 -$28,638 98¢ $-29218 -$580 06-24 10:01
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +30,000 $25,800 86¢ $25.9K +$150 10-21 07:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11,900 $10,948 92¢ $11.0K +$60 10-26 06:18
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +10,955 $9,750 92¢ $10.1K +$383 10-28 18:46
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +8,080 $4,908 93¢ $7.5K +$2,606 10-26 06:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? Yes +5,811 $2,490 54¢ $3.1K +$619 10-27 16:20
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -100 -$31 48¢ $-48 -$17 06-27 10:05
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -100 -$23 36¢ $-36 -$13 06-27 10:05
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -100 -$20 10¢ $-10 +$10 06-27 10:05
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -100 -$4 6¢ $-6 -$2 06-27 10:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$2,080 98¢ $0 +$2,080 05-20 01:02
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +0 -$24 90¢ $0 +$24 09-11 09:13