Terrific-Battleship — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.24K

Unrealized P&L

+$333

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,559

lifetime

Volume

$13.9M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.04K

Open exposure

$28.5K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-29 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Politics

42% 100% +$1,236

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 673 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	-29,844	$-28,543	96¢	$-28516	+$27	06-24 10:01
Megaquake by June 30?	No	+31	$28	99¢	$30	+$2	06-28 06:01
Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	+30	$0	1¢	$0	$-0	06-28 06:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	+0	$-56	96¢	$0	+$56	06-25 21:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+0	$-249	0¢	$0	+$249	06-07 19:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	231	$2.14M	1,316,089	827,829	+488,261	open	—	01-04 17:23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	250	$1.65M	1,034,652	650,565	+384,087	open	—	03-04 19:01
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	157	$1.64M	819,732	852,356	-32,625	open	—	02-03 19:13
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	61	$871.4K	413,178	459,765	-46,587	open	—	01-04 15:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	46	$797.2K	592,499	207,499	+385,000	open	—	04-08 18:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	443	$566.6K	405,223	246,359	+158,864	open	—	01-24 19:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	41	$526.9K	531,291	4,394	+526,896	Yes	+$835	05-09 19:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	58	$498.4K	350,000	150,000	+200,000	open	—	04-09 18:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	236	$476.1K	249,449	248,177	+1,272	open	—	04-07 20:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	56	$432.8K	283,222	171,197	+112,025	open	—	03-27 19:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	7	$400.2K	401,267	767	+400,500	Yes	+$402	05-09 19:30
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	37	$394.2K	395,000	0	+395,000	open	—	02-03 20:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	63	$284.2K	291,491	10,705	+280,786	open	—	06-03 09:39
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$249.2K	250,000	0	+250,000	open	—	04-30 20:36
netanyahu out by march 31 854	40	$184.3K	98,804	91,556	+7,249	open	—	03-19 19:03
zachxbt investigation post over 30m views on day one	14	$175.0K	99,754	75,906	+23,848	open	—	02-26 20:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$167.6K	84,026	84,026	+0	open	—	06-17 08:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	81	$160.1K	144,237	34,850	+109,386	open	—	03-03 21:48
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	7	$145.0K	121,569	23,625	+97,944	open	—	01-01 13:24
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	28	$120.2K	60,660	60,660	+0	open	—	01-08 02:44
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	40	$113.5K	113,700	0	+113,700	open	—	02-03 19:02
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	4	$111.0K	56,171	56,171	-0	open	—	01-11 10:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	04-30 06:40
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	26	$85.1K	58,646	32,491	+26,155	open	—	06-17 18:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	50	$81.0K	53,733	53,733	+0	open	—	04-22 07:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	34	$70.3K	45,696	35,670	+10,026	open	—	01-31 14:18
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	10	$63.0K	70,775	100	+70,675	open	—	06-28 07:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	10	$50.1K	35,000	28,711	+6,289	open	—	02-27 14:22
iran strike on israel by february 28	21	$47.1K	24,496	24,496	+0	open	—	02-28 20:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	36	$45.8K	31,047	31,047	+0	open	—	01-15 17:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 10:26:05	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	SELL	92	24¢	$22	0x97f831…
06-29 09:54:47	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	BUY	92	23¢	$21	0xf01a14…
06-28 07:28:37	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	748	86¢	$643	0x8d0c9b…
06-28 07:22:34	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x779858…
06-28 07:21:10	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb67efa…
06-28 07:20:56	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x278676…
06-28 07:19:56	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x3a8501…
06-28 07:19:07	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa432c2…
06-28 07:16:40	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xfaf806…
06-28 07:16:14	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa9d290…
06-28 07:15:31	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	120	36¢	$43	0xd4d302…
06-28 07:14:23	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5f4b5d…
06-28 07:13:53	will russia enter havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x3602c0…
06-28 07:11:22	will russia enter stavky by september 30	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xf23abe…
06-28 07:08:34	will russia enter stavky by september 30	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xebf39a…
06-28 07:07:29	will russia enter stavky by september 30	Yes	SELL	240	25¢	$60	0x7e7847…
06-28 07:07:20	will russia enter stavky by september 30	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xe47660…
06-28 07:05:38	will russia enter stavky by september 30	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xde1bcb…
06-28 07:05:26	will russia enter stavky by september 30	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x10bfea…
06-28 06:32:17	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$12	0x6e0fd3…
06-28 06:31:14	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x296382…
06-28 06:31:10	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xf1073f…
06-28 06:31:10	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x95d485…
06-28 06:31:08	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0x8453c2…
06-28 06:31:08	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5cfcf1…
06-28 06:31:07	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x63baa5…
06-28 06:30:50	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x04ed31…
06-28 06:30:49	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x29ba1d…
06-28 06:30:44	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x5dceb8…
06-28 06:30:44	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	43	17¢	$7	0x399889…
06-28 06:30:44	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3532c5…
06-28 06:30:44	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x2ce154…
06-28 06:30:43	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x99edb6…
06-28 06:30:43	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x5ec364…
06-28 06:30:43	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x4e2c68…
06-28 06:30:41	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0xb47386…
06-28 06:30:41	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x578576…
06-28 06:30:11	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xf53a56…
06-28 06:30:01	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x308425…
06-28 06:29:59	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	17	24¢	$4	0x2c5542…
06-28 06:29:43	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xfb6ce2…
06-28 06:29:41	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0xe90f6f…
06-28 06:29:41	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	120	25¢	$30	0x10a65b…
06-28 06:29:40	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x0fa7ac…
06-28 06:29:40	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x041a7d…
06-28 06:29:05	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x82c6a9…
06-28 06:28:58	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	225	16¢	$36	0xdebd1e…
06-28 06:09:34	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xb9097c…
06-28 06:05:02	will russia enter stinky by july 31	Yes	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0x4d9d3f…
06-28 06:04:10	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x45af9b…
06-28 06:03:40	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	SELL	139	5¢	$7	0x928734…
06-28 06:03:38	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$1	0x940cb1…
06-28 06:02:46	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	SELL	58	4¢	$2	0x6c42fb…
06-28 06:02:07	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x2045f9…
06-28 06:01:23	Megaquake by June 30?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xb571e7…
06-28 06:01:16	Megaquake by June 30?	Yes	BUY	203	4¢	$9	0xbc1ab4…
06-28 05:57:50	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	264	46¢	$120	0x7c1934…
06-28 05:56:25	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xdf9c7c…
06-28 05:56:22	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	83	56¢	$46	0x90ac0e…
06-28 05:56:22	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x0901ea…
06-28 05:56:19	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb597bc…
06-28 05:56:07	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x3a277f…
06-28 05:56:01	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xfd2e83…
06-28 05:55:49	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0xbf276a…
06-28 05:55:47	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x7a7a2b…
06-28 05:55:44	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	88	57¢	$50	0x3b3209…
06-28 05:55:43	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3f0c3a…
06-28 05:55:43	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x17faf7…
06-28 05:55:35	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0xe251a1…
06-28 05:55:34	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	88	57¢	$50	0x9e115f…
06-28 05:55:32	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x80e101…
06-28 05:55:32	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x67cffa…
06-28 05:55:32	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x0282f2…
06-28 05:55:04	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xc8ee19…
06-28 05:55:02	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x8bc0b8…
06-28 05:55:02	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x6f9271…
06-28 05:55:02	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	74	45¢	$33	0x6061bd…
06-28 05:55:01	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xb818ca…
06-28 05:54:59	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf6dfe9…
06-28 05:54:59	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe2e362…
06-28 05:54:49	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x55314e…
06-28 05:54:35	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x9fa82c…
06-28 05:54:34	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0x18d3be…
06-28 05:54:32	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xc263cf…
06-28 05:54:32	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	72	58¢	$42	0x2d4152…
06-28 05:54:19	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x30e524…
06-28 05:54:19	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x0fdd07…
06-28 05:54:17	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xd57707…
06-28 05:54:17	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9a57fc…
06-28 05:54:16	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x44566e…
06-28 05:53:53	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1dbaf2…
06-28 05:53:46	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x570aba…
06-28 05:53:44	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x6749a8…
06-28 05:53:44	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0x26bfd9…
06-28 05:53:43	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x568c6a…
06-28 05:53:23	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x372a86…
06-28 05:53:20	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc2eea5…
06-28 05:53:20	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	91	55¢	$50	0x0e5cc8…
06-28 05:53:19	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0xebcb54…
06-28 05:53:19	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xeb4bbf…