Taut-Mud 0xd60fa0…59b6c4
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$623
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
48.4%
Resolved
6,296
Trades
66,256
lifetime
Volume
$454.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$892
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 09-24 16:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 85 days
Categories
Crypto
50% 55% -$537
Politics
24% 56% +$2,771
Other
19% 45% -$3,185
Sports
6% 48% +$328
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -673 -$579 80¢ $-542 +$37 09-24 16:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -94 -$87 92¢ $-87 $0 09-24 16:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -371 -$48 20¢ $-72 -$24 09-24 16:21
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -72 -$71 99¢ $-71 -$1 09-24 16:21
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -21 -$21 99¢ $-21 +$0 09-24 16:21
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -1,240 -$22 1¢ $-17 +$6 09-24 16:21
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -13 -$12 95¢ $-12 +$0 09-24 16:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes -30 -$7 36¢ $-11 -$3 09-24 16:21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -10 -$10 95¢ $-10 $0 09-24 16:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? No -10 -$9 88¢ $-9 +$0 09-24 16:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -9 -$8 94¢ $-8 $0 09-24 16:21
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 $0 09-24 16:21
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -143 -$2 3¢ $-4 -$2 09-24 16:21
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -24 -$4 18¢ $-4 -$1 09-24 16:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -5 -$4 74¢ $-4 +$1 09-24 16:21
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? Yes -56 -$3 6¢ $-4 $0 09-24 16:21
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 70¢ $-3 $0 09-24 16:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -60 -$2 4¢ $-2 $0 09-24 16:21
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -2 -$2 92¢ $-2 $0 09-24 16:21
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -28 -$2 5¢ $-1 +$0 09-24 16:21