Extra-Large-Gorilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

278

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 11-03 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

36% 32% +$77

Politics

32% 35% -$36

Crypto

27% 23% +$15

Sports

4% 67% -$78

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	6	$360	406	406	+0	open	—	07-25 00:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	7	$323	431	431	+0	open	—	07-18 20:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$316	185	185	+0	No	+$6	07-12 13:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$303	243	243	+0	open	—	07-25 00:25
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	4	$298	177	177	+0	No	+$4	07-18 20:48
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	6	$219	296	296	+0	No	-$1	07-24 16:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$210	141	141	+0	open	—	07-15 14:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$199	145	145	+0	No	-$1	07-10 02:33
will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	2	$184	147	147	+0	open	—	07-07 14:00
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	2	$184	178	178	+0	open	—	07-08 08:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$183	183	183	+0	open	—	07-17 12:51
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	2	$183	435	435	+0	No	-$17	07-04 21:58
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	4	$175	115	115	+0	No	+$10	07-24 13:02
will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	3	$171	169	169	+0	Yes	-$29	07-11 23:23
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$107	0	556	-556	No	+$107	06-30 10:51
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	2	$104	125	125	+0	No	+$4	07-06 02:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$97	127	127	+0	open	—	07-10 00:07
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$93	79	79	+0	Yes	+$63	02-28 06:27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	2	$92	78	78	+0	Yes	+$64	10-17 16:30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$89	0	309	-309	No	+$89	06-30 10:51
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$70	64	64	+0	No	+$2	07-25 00:25
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$67	107	107	+0	No	-$31	01-20 11:36
will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	2	$55	118	118	+0	open	—	06-30 17:42
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 gal	2	$52	42	42	+0	Yes	+$32	03-10 19:41
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	2	$51	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 16:30 UTC	3	$50	51	48	+3	Up	+$48	04-10 16:35
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	2	$43	35	35	+0	No	-$3	07-23 11:20
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$43	47	47	+0	No	+$3	07-03 17:51
israel closes its airspace by june 8	5	$39	59	59	+0	No	-$5	06-08 09:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$36	0	311	-311	Yes	-$274	06-27 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:22:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?	No	BUY	146	8¢	$11	0xddace0…
11-03 14:21:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	SELL	222	5¢	$11	0x5b36b1…
11-02 09:40:27	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	No	BUY	222	5¢	$11	0x3f2286…
10-17 16:30:51	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x884f34…
10-17 14:45:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	78	18¢	$14	0x2b6ed2…
09-28 13:06:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1e9c6e…
09-28 12:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9e281c…
09-28 11:50:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf83f21…
09-09 20:14:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	SELL	171	9¢	$15	0xb1c7a4…
09-06 15:10:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	171	6¢	$10	0x281a18…
07-25 00:25:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xb1970e…
07-25 00:25:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	74	65¢	$48	0x137e95…
07-25 00:25:25	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	29	54¢	$16	0xdbf500…
07-24 16:23:10	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x402352…
07-24 15:47:25	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa86706…
07-24 15:44:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x93230a…
07-24 13:40:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x7cfe74…
07-24 13:02:58	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0xf67679…
07-24 07:43:28	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0xe4d4a1…
07-24 07:39:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x5efb4e…
07-24 07:39:07	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x36fd01…
07-23 16:46:12	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	16¢	$15	0xaab6d1…
07-23 14:40:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x4cbba8…
07-23 13:56:46	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x275308…
07-23 13:54:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	42	62¢	$26	0x4607b3…
07-23 11:22:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x956fe9…
07-23 11:20:34	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0x625abe…
07-23 08:47:39	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa048ea…
07-23 08:21:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x135250…
07-22 21:34:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xcd7e87…
07-22 13:29:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	30	34¢	$10	0xfc2482…
07-22 10:25:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdde6c7…
07-22 10:20:15	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x677f70…
07-22 10:18:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6d3180…
07-22 08:00:51	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	45	72¢	$32	0x7220b7…
07-22 07:50:06	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x113345…
07-19 22:55:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	185	27¢	$50	0x5c2955…
07-19 18:50:42	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x2cf452…
07-19 18:50:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	68	73¢	$49	0xe10ab8…
07-19 15:33:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xfc97ac…
07-19 15:29:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x5dfcaa…
07-18 20:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	102	47¢	$48	0x3d5843…
07-18 20:48:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x2bfce7…
07-18 11:00:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x69d8f6…
07-17 23:34:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	192	27¢	$52	0x6381d0…
07-17 16:54:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x845fe2…
07-17 16:34:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x4b664e…
07-17 12:51:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	183	46¢	$83	0xe06d20…
07-16 17:34:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x49a085…
07-15 14:26:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	141	78¢	$110	0xed1337…
07-14 19:03:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xfb199b…
07-14 19:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbd0cc5…
07-14 18:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8ea50a…
07-14 18:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf03db0…
07-14 18:41:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x34354d…
07-14 18:05:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x75ebfe…
07-14 18:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xf9162b…
07-14 15:04:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	169	62¢	$105	0xbb3be6…
07-13 12:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x8c2582…
07-13 12:13:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x092433…
07-13 12:11:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xecf910…
07-13 12:09:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xfd88c6…
07-12 13:33:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xde19a8…
07-11 23:36:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x25a436…
07-11 23:33:23	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	SELL	88	15¢	$13	0xc40091…
07-11 23:23:16	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	SELL	79	40¢	$31	0x14aff1…
07-11 22:57:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	SELL	90	44¢	$40	0x7200b2…
07-11 18:40:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x231f7a…
07-10 23:45:14	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	70	74¢	$52	0x217d18…
07-10 12:50:04	will the us announce a blockade on iran by december 31 20260622191116913 141	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xc77459…
07-10 10:53:35	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x998db5…
07-10 02:34:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	121	83¢	$101	0x8c5aa3…
07-10 02:33:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	145	68¢	$99	0xec4854…
07-10 00:07:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	127	38¢	$48	0xec51d4…
07-09 21:30:59	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	SELL	266	0¢	$1	0x7b6595…
07-09 21:25:32	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	266	3¢	$8	0x2361b9…
07-09 17:30:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x310975…
07-09 13:25:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	245	37¢	$91	0xc14b05…
07-09 13:25:40	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	27	62¢	$17	0x3a1b81…
07-08 08:38:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	195	43¢	$84	0xe09b67…
07-08 08:36:58	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	47¢	$84	0xf005ce…
07-08 05:49:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	121	80¢	$97	0xe0a6a0…
07-08 05:47:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	114	86¢	$98	0x886fc7…
07-07 15:56:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xc6d8ef…
07-07 14:01:41	Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x11d180…
07-07 14:00:25	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	SELL	147	57¢	$84	0xecb326…
07-06 15:05:44	will openais valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 574 287	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xcef08f…
07-06 02:02:25	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	44¢	$54	0xc5e1b9…
07-05 15:20:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	22	37¢	$8	0x22f0bb…
07-05 00:26:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xb3a97a…
07-05 00:20:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x3c5eff…
07-04 21:58:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	435	19¢	$83	0x5d4bd9…
07-04 16:04:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x55ae12…
07-04 12:06:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	83	19¢	$16	0xabe58f…
07-04 12:05:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	85	78¢	$66	0x3e81e4…
07-03 20:31:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x84644d…
07-03 19:41:02	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	42	17¢	$7	0x1b845a…
07-03 18:15:07	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2308b0…
07-03 17:53:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x8d883e…
07-03 17:51:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	47	50¢	$23	0x44fa7d…