Realized P&L
+$16
Unrealized P&L
+$29
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
2
Trades
635
lifetime
Volume
$20.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$107
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 13:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
48% 50% +$16
Other
45%
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +59 $40 98¢ $58 +$18 06-11 19:54
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +30 $11 97¢ $30 +$18 06-10 10:12
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +25 $11 42¢ $10 $-1 06-13 09:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +25 $9 38¢ $9 +$1 06-28 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +10 $8 $0 $-8 06-16 06:17