Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

599

lifetime

Volume

$20.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 50% +$16

Other

45% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No		+16	$5	36¢	$6	+$0	06-08 13:47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No		+16	$2	20¢	$3	+$1	06-08 13:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	5	$968	3,592	2,813	+779	open	—	03-08 22:21
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	12	$782	490	490	+0	open	—	03-22 17:44
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	10	$726	377	377	+0	open	—	02-20 08:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$553	335	335	+0	open	—	03-31 17:20
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$502	259	259	+0	open	—	02-24 15:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$461	242	407	-165	open	—	06-01 17:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$453	331	331	+0	open	—	01-31 08:13
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	7	$451	285	178	+107	open	—	02-10 05:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$380	202	202	+0	open	—	03-29 19:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$363	207	207	+0	open	—	04-24 14:05
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	6	$346	366	226	+139	open	—	01-05 16:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$332	501	0	+501	open	—	02-28 19:34
nothing ever happens microstrategy	10	$329	283	384	-101	open	—	03-16 12:37
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	8	$301	385	385	+0	open	—	03-08 17:26
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	4	$287	147	147	+0	open	—	02-10 20:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$283	152	152	+0	open	—	04-01 05:41
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	6	$263	532	116	+417	open	—	04-22 06:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$262	220	220	+0	open	—	03-07 06:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$256	152	152	+0	open	—	05-16 13:11
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	3	$253	133	133	+0	open	—	04-09 11:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$250	131	131	+0	open	—	05-14 22:30
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$247	252	0	+252	open	—	02-10 20:02
iran strike on us military by january 31	8	$243	299	0	+299	open	—	01-21 08:46
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	3	$241	130	130	+0	open	—	01-10 15:53
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$233	152	152	+0	open	—	04-01 10:31
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	4	$222	121	121	+0	open	—	01-13 04:52
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	6	$217	474	402	+72	open	—	04-12 18:17
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	2	$215	122	122	+0	open	—	01-14 19:59
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1400plus	2	$211	124	115	+10	open	—	01-09 14:40
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	7	$208	136	237	-101	open	—	04-23 13:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:47:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x9e9dd1…
06-08 13:47:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x462ea4…
06-08 10:08:43	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x386d61…
06-05 05:03:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x9f4215…
06-01 17:02:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$191	0x4c6e9b…
06-01 16:50:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x67d182…
06-01 15:31:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$25	0x5c6d2e…
06-01 13:30:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x9fbcdf…
06-01 13:30:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x07096c…
06-01 12:00:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x7d25be…
05-29 21:11:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xe45417…
05-29 18:07:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4d2661…
05-29 17:32:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	155	78¢	$121	0xfe470e…
05-29 17:27:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x3b7c61…
05-29 17:27:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x3b7c61…
05-29 17:26:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2292b9…
05-29 17:23:43	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	SELL	61	91¢	$55	0xd190f0…
05-28 04:11:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0xe23a22…
05-28 03:52:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0x8a5372…
05-27 18:43:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x966b79…
05-27 18:28:54	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x31cac2…
05-27 11:28:37	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xa34110…
05-26 15:23:05	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x7da71a…
05-26 14:28:18	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x14c563…
05-26 09:31:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x7b70e6…
05-25 09:54:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x684e0d…
05-24 07:28:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x802a05…
05-24 06:58:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$12	0x9cf979…
05-24 06:57:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xef65c3…
05-24 06:57:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7f0ef7…
05-23 14:47:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0xacb8d6…
05-23 13:48:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x6a642c…
05-23 13:06:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	24	70¢	$17	0x73e2f0…
05-23 13:06:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x73e2f0…
05-23 09:06:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	29	57¢	$17	0xa4a7da…
05-22 22:10:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xd6efbe…
05-22 22:09:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x5da3e4…
05-22 21:57:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0xd8eb77…
05-22 21:52:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x6f1bdf…
05-22 13:09:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x80d0b6…
05-22 13:04:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x8e80ce…
05-22 13:03:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x09f3c2…
05-22 13:01:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$64	0x64ca00…
05-21 18:20:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xfb1204…
05-20 16:01:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x80f3bf…
05-20 15:40:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0x8bdb54…
05-19 18:28:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf6db4f…
05-19 16:51:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	101	87¢	$88	0xb603ea…
05-18 19:42:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$60	0xd4c29e…
05-17 11:01:18	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x23ab19…
05-17 09:57:56	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	61	90¢	$55	0x28c987…
05-16 13:11:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	76	96¢	$73	0x880f49…
05-16 07:52:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x2c3be3…
05-15 21:16:50	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0587e3…
05-15 21:07:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd9d49b…
05-14 22:30:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x52c326…
05-13 12:07:34	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x8e1bf6…
05-13 12:02:36	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0xe0470c…
05-10 19:39:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x7258e0…
05-10 18:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	76	81¢	$61	0x0680da…
05-09 10:40:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x877afa…
05-07 09:13:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xd3fa64…
05-07 08:24:42	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	66¢	$17	0xae7020…
05-07 07:50:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x17c9f4…
05-06 09:24:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xa219d7…
05-06 05:14:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	101	72¢	$72	0x3447e7…
05-05 19:11:56	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	81	7¢	$5	0x2f45a8…
05-05 19:06:28	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x390140…
05-05 15:59:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x928dc6…
05-05 15:58:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0xc82ccb…
05-05 15:18:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	131	91¢	$120	0x4b9727…
05-05 09:08:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x7cdf99…
05-04 19:25:22	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x116e51…
05-04 17:27:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x52a9eb…
05-04 16:52:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x9b588a…
05-03 12:26:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	126	82¢	$104	0xa70886…
04-29 14:44:36	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x0b7f1a…
04-29 14:08:00	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6ab1e5…
04-27 15:06:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x4cda03…
04-27 04:08:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	71	99¢	$70	0x4ca2ce…
04-26 23:21:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0xe9b45a…
04-26 13:44:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4c9e24…
04-26 13:13:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xbf5117…
04-26 13:11:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x0dc883…
04-26 13:02:00	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x6d2a87…
04-26 12:51:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x9b511d…
04-26 12:50:34	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x403f45…
04-24 14:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0x523b21…
04-24 09:12:06	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0x12ac04…
04-23 15:53:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	152	2¢	$3	0xeb914e…
04-23 13:26:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0x90a2ab…
04-23 12:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	81	79¢	$64	0x14fda0…
04-22 19:49:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	151	2¢	$3	0x2e8ca2…
04-22 19:48:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x92b368…
04-22 19:47:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xc23166…
04-22 06:33:04	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	303	1¢	$3	0xdef8f1…
04-22 04:39:16	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0xeb4893…
04-21 21:00:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x4c71cb…
04-21 20:51:56	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	29	46¢	$13	0xfc8ba6…
04-21 20:41:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	88	56¢	$49	0x8d118f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	163	$45.1M	62,324	06-10 01:34
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	158	$1.45M	23,710	06-10 00:48
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	152	$619.0K	46,935	05-31 23:32
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	142	$103.6K	9,237	06-08 06:33
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	139	$200.8K	1,499	06-08 20:17
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	130	$22.9K	3,892	06-04 12:04
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	129	$361.8K	37,541	06-09 16:55
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	127	$198.5K	16,981	04-01 18:15