Realized P&L
+$18.6K
Unrealized P&L
-$126
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
5,721
Trades
15,757
lifetime
Volume
$1.20M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$8.41K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 13:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 290 days
Categories
Sports
61% 46% -$5,089
Other
36% 40% +$29,063
Politics
4% 82% -$5,203
Tech
0% 100% +$53
Pop-Culture
0% 29% -$233
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6,455 $5,984 95¢ $6.1K +$148 10-28 14:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +960 $915 96¢ $922 +$8 10-28 14:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -600 -$498 92¢ $-549 -$51 05-01 17:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +200 $188 97¢ $193 +$6 09-24 20:25
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? Yes +300 $221 53¢ $160 -$61 10-15 08:12
Heat vs. Hawks Heat — +200 $84 44¢ $89 +$5 10-28 08:13
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Warriors +200 $82 40¢ $79 -$3 10-28 08:06
Thunder vs. Mavericks Mavericks +200 $68 34¢ $69 +$1 10-28 08:06
76ers vs. Pacers Pacers +200 $74 34¢ $69 -$5 10-28 08:06
Hornets vs. Pistons Hornets — +200 $64 29¢ $57 -$7 10-28 08:06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? Yes +200 $107 23¢ $46 -$61 10-02 14:37
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +200 $86 12¢ $24 -$62 10-01 16:44
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Yes +400 $60 4¢ $17 -$43 10-13 15:46