Valid-Package — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$59

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$3.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-17 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

42% 0% $-82

Other

42% 67% +$23

Sports

14% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes		-70	$-48	34¢	$-24	+$24	06-17 12:44
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes		+10	$1	8¢	$1	$-0	06-04 22:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	41	$838	6,594	494	+6,100	open	—	01-11 11:17
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	11	$209	240	100	+140	open	—	02-27 13:43
will donald trump say oil during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 738	5	$182	220	0	+220	open	—	01-03 14:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$162	210	0	+210	open	—	02-27 14:32
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	27	$148	920	0	+920	open	—	01-06 13:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	6	$120	110	50	+60	open	—	04-21 22:22
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18	2	$120	305	0	+305	open	—	01-18 18:00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	4	$104	150	0	+150	open	—	01-14 01:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 21:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	4	$77	99	0	+99	Yes	+$22	05-03 22:39
nfl hou pit 2026 01 12	3	$71	120	0	+120	open	—	01-12 23:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$68	0	150	-150	Yes	$-82	01-08 23:02
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	5	$61	100	0	+100	open	—	03-04 12:52
will donald trump say venezuela at least ten times during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday 118	3	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	01-03 16:10
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	1	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	02-25 12:19
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	01-17 15:55
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	01-03 22:03
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$49	70	0	+70	open	—	03-06 12:07
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	2	$48	0	70	-70	open	—	06-17 12:44
nfl gb min 2026 01 04	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	01-04 15:52
nfl sf sea 2026 01 17	1	$40	148	0	+148	open	—	01-17 15:52
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$38	45	0	+45	open	—	03-06 12:08
will trump say oil 15 times during oil executive meetings on friday	6	$37	60	0	+60	open	—	01-09 03:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$37	60	0	+60	open	—	03-01 22:04
will bitcoin reach 68k february 23 march 1	2	$36	50	0	+50	open	—	02-24 12:32
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	2	$31	0	50	-50	open	—	01-06 21:28
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	03-06 12:08
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 23:52
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	4	$27	60	0	+60	open	—	01-20 02:09
will donald trump say china during his mar a lago press conference on venezuela on saturday	1	$26	50	0	+50	open	—	01-03 14:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:44:01	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	34	69¢	$23	0x93d658…
06-17 12:43:31	Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0x9065c7…
06-04 22:12:10	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8df1f1…
05-29 08:34:57	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x506537…
05-25 15:54:46	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x8be734…
05-25 15:54:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa5d80a…
05-25 15:53:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x85e0b7…
05-24 19:10:31	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Houston Astros	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x77c7f8…
05-24 19:09:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xdd5dfb…
05-20 11:22:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x36604c…
05-20 11:22:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x74c304…
05-17 18:31:24	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x3322ec…
05-15 23:52:04	Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x717285…
05-13 22:17:04	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x13816c…
05-13 22:16:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x018efe…
05-13 22:16:27	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x78a7c0…
05-13 22:16:06	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x892052…
05-13 22:15:34	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xae8193…
05-13 22:15:20	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xed8ba5…
05-08 12:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xe28daa…
05-08 12:16:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x49a74f…
05-03 22:39:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x469a6a…
05-03 17:55:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x80757b…
05-03 13:52:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xec12f0…
05-02 23:16:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x04a228…
05-02 16:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x8b6a65…
05-02 16:32:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd712dd…
05-02 16:32:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x485ef6…
05-02 16:32:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7ac91f…
05-02 16:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0d9d57…
05-02 16:31:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x983562…
05-02 16:31:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x5b001c…
05-02 16:31:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x307b30…
04-22 22:16:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc54791…
04-21 22:22:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0xbb2da3…
04-21 11:45:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd69a7e…
04-20 11:40:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x0b0500…
04-20 11:40:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb131e0…
04-20 11:39:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xcfc248…
04-19 17:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xf0cb2f…
04-19 12:44:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb01054…
04-19 01:09:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x38e448…
04-18 12:39:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x887f80…
04-18 12:38:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa07f6a…
04-06 23:50:57	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x71f5bb…
04-05 12:23:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xf9b0de…
04-05 12:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc694c9…
04-04 13:22:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x620251…
04-04 13:21:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdf6234…
04-04 13:21:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x3ecef6…
04-03 18:24:31	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xba90f3…
04-03 17:48:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xccd258…
04-03 17:46:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x81f513…
04-03 17:45:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xf4c95d…
04-03 17:43:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9e218d…
04-03 17:42:49	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x235352…
04-03 17:40:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x6268f3…
03-16 23:00:33	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x11a307…
03-16 22:33:07	will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xfed042…
03-14 15:08:47	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9abb51…
03-06 12:08:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd7bcbf…
03-06 12:08:03	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xceba9f…
03-06 12:07:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x9d432b…
03-06 12:07:05	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x589f4a…
03-04 12:52:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbb8a60…
03-04 12:52:17	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x1eb56d…
03-03 00:02:43	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x742131…
03-02 02:02:09	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x58c1a6…
03-02 01:58:35	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x5d08a4…
03-02 00:30:09	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfaaa43…
03-02 00:30:09	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa3cec1…
03-02 00:29:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xf04149…
03-02 00:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0xd4b571…
03-02 00:28:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6839af…
03-01 22:04:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xed1b35…
03-01 22:03:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x84857a…
03-01 22:03:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x0bf628…
03-01 22:03:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x393378…
02-28 21:58:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf0cc51…
02-28 21:45:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbef589…
02-28 17:01:09	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x95118e…
02-28 14:32:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xc859cb…
02-28 14:32:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0x613dc8…
02-27 14:32:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xd17565…
02-27 13:45:49	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xba9dc3…
02-27 13:44:37	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6411b5…
02-27 13:43:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x6d7b3e…
02-27 13:43:37	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x21b8da…
02-27 13:43:29	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x36f9c5…
02-27 13:43:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xb549df…
02-27 13:42:45	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x668f5c…
02-27 13:42:39	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xd38e20…
02-27 12:59:51	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	69¢	$48	0x5eac35…
02-27 12:26:25	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x76966c…
02-27 12:11:27	US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x208d32…
02-27 12:11:11	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x01ab2a…
02-26 08:17:14	US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe4d5b2…
02-26 08:16:58	US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x325db6…
02-26 08:16:48	US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xda15dc…
02-25 12:19:18	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf8c85d…