Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
10
lifetime
Volume
$761
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$441
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
85% 100% +$4
Other
15%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +210 $206 99¢ $208 +$2 05-14 06:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? No -115 $-111 97¢ $-111 $-1 05-14 03:40
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +102 $100 98¢ $100 +$0 05-13 22:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No -11 $-11 96¢ $-11 +$0 05-13 09:45
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +9 $9 97¢ $9 $-0 05-07 15:21
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes +67 $2 $2 +$0 05-14 21:23