Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
61.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,222
lifetime
Volume
$9.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$47
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-06 08:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
54%
Politics
16% 100% +$16
Sports
15% 0% $-14
Other
14% 100% +$0
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -34 $-29 72¢ $-25 +$4 06-22 08:18
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 87¢ $-5 +$0 07-06 08:41
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-1 07-06 08:41
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 88¢ $-3 $-0 07-06 08:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -3 $-2 94¢ $-2 +$0 07-06 08:41
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -7 $-2 32¢ $-2 $-1 07-06 08:42
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -4 $-1 36¢ $-1 $-0 07-06 08:42
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 07-06 08:41
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 97¢ $-1 $-0 07-06 08:41