Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$476.9K

Unrealized P&L

+$4.26K

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,420

lifetime

Volume

$760.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$222

Open exposure

$2.70K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-02 12:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

93% 25% +$468,230

Other

7% 50% +$8,811

Crypto

0% 0% -$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-191,243	-$2,486	1¢	$-1052	+$1,434	06-14 02:07
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	-732	-$659	97¢	$-709	-$50	05-03 07:19
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo	Yes	-20,997	-$3,399	3¢	$-651	+$2,748	08-18 12:54
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-31,835	-$418	1¢	$-287	+$131	07-02 13:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	810	$385.9K	933,512	0	+933,512	Yes	+$547,609	03-01 02:51
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	306	$217.7K	266,081	199,898	+66,183	Yes	-$5,808	04-01 04:56
Fed rate hike in 2026?	46	$39.9K	55,181	55,181	+0	Yes	+$20,075	06-24 11:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	336	$38.0K	220,070	32,431	+187,640	No	-$27,979	03-31 21:54
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	83	$29.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	-$29,000	03-26 17:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	36	$9.0K	225,036	0	+225,036	No	-$9,001	03-17 05:34
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	19	$8.9K	24,841	0	+24,841	Yes	-$8,901	07-23 13:33
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	310	$6.6K	282,710	0	+282,710	No	-$6,640	01-22 17:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	8	$5.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	-$400	03-31 22:45
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	156	$3.4K	0	20,997	-20,997	open	—	08-18 12:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	7	$3.2K	54,164	26,334	+27,830	No	-$1,663	01-23 10:36
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	30	$3.1K	0	60,226	-60,226	No	+$3,072	06-25 00:44
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1,005	$2.6K	0	293,709	-293,709	open	—	06-14 02:09
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$2.5K	0	191,243	-191,243	open	—	06-14 02:07
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	206	$2.2K	91,439	0	+91,439	No	-$2,159	01-10 13:22
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$1.5K	4,800	0	+4,800	No	-$1,503	05-30 19:41
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	1	$659	0	732	-732	open	—	05-03 07:19
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	14	$597	1,421	0	+1,421	Yes	-$597	03-17 20:26
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$418	0	31,835	-31,835	open	—	07-02 13:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	24	$174	19,329	0	+19,329	No	-$174	09-02 12:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$136	646	0	+646	Yes	-$136	01-01 10:48
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$53	0	4,862	-4,862	No	+$53	06-14 02:10
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$41	0	1,737	-1,737	No	+$41	06-22 02:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$33	263	263	+0	No	+$17	07-02 13:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 12:05:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11,165	1¢	$100	0x8f081d…
09-02 09:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x3ad6d3…
09-02 08:52:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	184	1¢	$2	0x551041…
09-02 08:47:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$2	0x2c94b5…
09-02 08:36:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xfc002b…
09-02 08:36:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf14c15…
09-02 08:36:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xa1f339…
09-02 08:36:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	1¢	$2	0x6a8cb7…
09-02 08:36:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3f1c95…
09-02 08:24:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$22	0x58d404…
09-02 07:50:49	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	1¢	$1	0x2054be…
09-02 07:47:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xb9f4bd…
09-02 07:46:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x868995…
09-02 07:43:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,296	1¢	$12	0xef4d6d…
09-02 07:43:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0x9b2fed…
09-02 07:43:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x5ca30f…
09-02 07:43:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x4a13ad…
09-02 07:43:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x002fe1…
09-02 07:37:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xb6bfa2…
09-02 07:34:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x0e7006…
09-02 07:29:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0x46ce7d…
09-02 07:22:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x6acb39…
09-02 07:13:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x5402fd…
09-02 07:07:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	952	1¢	$9	0x803faa…
08-18 12:54:24	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	1,100	9¢	$99	0x976264…
08-17 13:42:12	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	270	9¢	$24	0xd66622…
08-16 19:46:03	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf5fa28…
08-15 23:01:12	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0xb2ff2a…
08-15 23:00:00	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	317	9¢	$29	0x8544e7…
07-23 13:33:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6,400	44¢	$2,816	0x6a4cdc…
07-08 14:44:50	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xd494d2…
07-08 14:42:56	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	357	14¢	$50	0xe99ca0…
07-02 13:33:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	263	10¢	$25	0x149791…
07-02 13:33:01	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,880	2¢	$52	0xd93bf5…
07-02 13:32:16	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	251	14¢	$35	0x90f500…
06-29 22:05:50	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	63	16¢	$10	0xa11749…
06-26 06:05:53	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xdc19cc…
06-26 04:36:04	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x6c66c9…
06-25 00:44:14	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50,441	5¢	$2,573	0xaf137d…
06-24 16:22:32	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x52882b…
06-24 11:26:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,348	53¢	$713	0x851e1a…
06-24 11:25:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	55¢	$86	0x7b8554…
06-24 11:25:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	55¢	$54	0x1b15a8…
06-24 11:25:35	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,200	55¢	$4,539	0x762246…
06-24 11:10:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	57¢	$132	0x19875a…
06-24 11:10:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	57¢	$46	0x2b71ec…
06-24 11:05:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	57¢	$56	0x87d749…
06-24 11:05:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	57¢	$56	0xe3ab41…
06-24 11:05:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13,962	57¢	$7,958	0x2be48f…
06-24 11:04:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	58¢	$57	0x1d6a35…
06-24 11:04:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	58¢	$57	0xc8f59a…
06-24 11:04:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17,740	58¢	$10,335	0x36a8b1…
06-24 09:31:23	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x732dd0…
06-24 06:05:44	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	5,590	16¢	$894	0x0cf40b…
06-24 05:25:07	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	661	5¢	$34	0x309d21…
06-23 23:08:19	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xc48424…
06-23 22:47:46	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x81ed90…
06-23 10:07:34	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	69	16¢	$11	0xe01f3c…
06-23 05:00:02	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x73fc0d…
06-23 03:43:02	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x148934…
06-23 03:41:46	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x850f41…
06-23 03:39:20	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6d7da2…
06-23 03:36:25	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x07608a…
06-23 03:28:22	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x34e002…
06-23 01:58:23	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x3fb27a…
06-23 01:57:34	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x5125fb…
06-23 01:47:44	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc348ba…
06-23 01:32:14	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x31f642…
06-23 01:23:02	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x0393ff…
06-23 01:21:04	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7c6a63…
06-23 01:12:11	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x555a71…
06-23 00:48:41	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xba5435…
06-23 00:46:59	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x0c6c36…
06-23 00:24:31	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xb89764…
06-23 00:01:50	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xc05768…
06-23 00:00:29	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	75	5¢	$4	0xfca8e4…
06-22 23:58:05	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x4d0ef5…
06-22 23:22:41	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xdc8d1a…
06-22 22:26:14	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,770	5¢	$90	0x982e28…
06-22 13:15:05	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	294	5¢	$15	0x028bc1…
06-22 13:06:58	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	244	5¢	$12	0xa04a08…
06-22 12:53:47	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2,085	5¢	$106	0x2602e8…
06-22 12:08:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x324ddc…
06-22 12:05:28	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x7e87dc…
06-22 12:05:23	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x6efd0e…
06-22 12:00:22	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xd5fd81…
06-22 11:49:19	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x7ed08c…
06-22 10:18:20	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	4,508	5¢	$230	0xed244f…
06-22 08:32:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xa25d67…
06-22 07:26:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,501	61¢	$1,525	0x31f64d…
06-22 06:06:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	230	61¢	$140	0x740a3c…
06-22 05:59:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x876d5e…
06-22 03:30:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	61¢	$152	0x67e52d…
06-22 02:57:02	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x642208…
06-22 02:22:43	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1,154	2¢	$23	0xd5e9cf…
06-14 02:11:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,696	41¢	$3,933	0xc355a9…
06-14 02:11:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	40¢	$24	0xc01181…
06-14 02:10:33	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	583	3¢	$18	0xf17f95…
06-14 02:10:09	Netanyahu out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,862	1¢	$53	0xccff01…
06-14 02:09:43	Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	164,683	1¢	$1,317	0x7002bf…