Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

41.4%

Resolved

124

Trades

504

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 09-17 06:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Politics

43% 47% -$20

Other

27% 66% -$25

Sports

17% 50% +$36

Crypto

9% 67% +$22

Tech

4% 60% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	-18	-$15	97¢	$-18	-$3	06-06 03:55
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+14	$12	64¢	$9	-$3	06-02 17:57
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	-8	-$7	98¢	$-8	-$1	06-12 19:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+72	$48	8¢	$6	-$42	09-17 05:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	28	$112	378	378	+0	No	$0	04-12 06:38
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	25	$92	121	118	+3	Yes	-$20	04-08 20:17
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	28	$92	77	82	-5	Yes	+$5	04-30 01:44
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$60	148	148	+0	No	-$2	04-23 06:09
Will Trump dance today?	11	$51	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 22:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	10	$51	53	53	+0	Yes	+$7	04-09 15:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	32	$48	72	0	+72	open	—	09-17 05:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	15	$37	110	103	+8	No	-$3	05-28 17:14
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	11	$32	36	36	+0	Yes	-$2	04-15 10:02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	6	$29	26	26	+0	No	$0	04-16 17:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$29	60	57	+2	No	+$4	04-21 15:32
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	11	$25	55	43	+12	No	-$5	04-10 19:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	6	$23	110	110	+0	No	-$9	04-24 14:00
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	5	$23	106	106	+0	No	-$5	04-24 15:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$22	50	50	+0	No	-$2	05-03 15:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	06-20 22:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	5	$21	44	44	+0	No	-$5	04-22 09:29
bitcoin up or down april 17 2026 10am et	5	$20	23	13	+10	Up	-$6	04-17 14:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$20	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	04-06 14:39
nba hou phx 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	8	$19	42	0	+42	Rockets	+$22	04-08 05:03
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$18	18	18	+0	No	-$1	04-09 15:34
nhl car chi 2026 04 09 total 6pt5	5	$18	15	10	+5	Over	+$3	04-10 03:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$17	30	30	+0	No	+$8	04-17 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$16	11	11	+0	No	$0	04-23 17:47
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	1	$15	0	18	-18	open	—	06-06 03:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	4	$13	3	12	-8	open	—	06-12 19:38
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	6	$13	16	16	+0	No	$0	04-25 22:53
nhl car chi 2026 04 09	4	$12	7	7	+0	Hurricanes	+$2	04-10 03:50
nba atl cle 2026 04 08 spread home 3pt5	5	$12	22	0	+22	Cavaliers	+$10	04-08 23:00
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	06-02 17:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 06:06:24	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x0b11ab…
09-17 05:55:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x64bfb5…
09-17 05:36:01	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xa0a00c…
09-17 03:44:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xf47e61…
09-17 03:24:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xfc88aa…
07-31 06:08:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xa0d542…
07-31 03:45:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x201443…
07-31 03:25:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x972f8d…
07-31 00:40:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xd0c945…
07-30 22:52:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0x98d2c5…
07-29 13:59:38	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xb7a82a…
07-29 11:30:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0x6a0088…
07-19 01:39:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x764554…
07-14 18:12:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x2a3219…
07-02 06:18:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4aef4d…
07-02 06:12:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x64f6ab…
07-02 06:09:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x71d18a…
07-02 06:06:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x45b9e6…
07-02 05:11:44	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x60c7c7…
07-02 05:09:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x03981c…
07-02 04:49:05	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb2dcfe…
07-01 22:12:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb3062a…
07-01 20:58:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3816c3…
07-01 20:58:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd5850e…
07-01 13:02:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x3bf0e9…
06-25 15:06:17	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x7cd8f4…
06-23 15:07:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xbfa2a9…
06-23 07:10:07	will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	2	91¢	$1	0xd85995…
06-21 05:58:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xab2333…
06-21 05:58:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x2b3365…
06-21 05:58:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x62c2a6…
06-21 03:48:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3cd22b…
06-21 02:13:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xf15bdc…
06-21 02:13:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb190a6…
06-21 00:23:50	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xf3b9a6…
06-20 22:14:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0xb5b942…
06-19 08:03:04	will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x1a81cc…
06-19 06:36:58	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0xbb57ad…
06-18 16:10:02	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xd1b8fd…
06-13 19:50:52	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xb46f1b…
06-13 18:34:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x2c69d2…
06-12 19:38:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xc56b71…
06-12 19:33:57	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x83c192…
06-12 18:07:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x3fa1d2…
06-12 17:19:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0xca2866…
06-12 17:19:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x0bec39…
06-12 12:40:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xdf1331…
06-08 15:55:54	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x3439c2…
06-08 09:57:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1e94eb…
06-07 13:03:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x2a2fa8…
06-07 10:24:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5b3ad5…
06-07 02:56:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xa949e1…
06-07 02:02:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xce7e9c…
06-07 02:02:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbfbaa1…
06-07 01:29:06	ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	Tom Nolan	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x55ddc2…
06-07 01:08:55	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x9c970e…
06-06 15:25:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3a3985…
06-06 14:05:37	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x3a03ac…
06-06 10:08:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x4a232e…
06-06 05:42:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	11¢	$1	0x170cbc…
06-06 03:55:57	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x5935c0…
06-02 17:57:14	Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x13097f…
06-02 06:35:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc81c50…
06-01 09:53:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc7cdbf…
05-28 17:14:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb33653…
05-28 17:14:27	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb86f7e…
05-28 17:14:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x8e40bc…
05-28 17:14:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb61d8e…
05-28 16:48:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf24b6c…
05-28 14:15:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x18f057…
05-27 03:53:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xab7e1e…
05-25 22:42:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xf263f8…
05-25 22:35:43	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x65bfcc…
05-24 14:40:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x9f373e…
05-24 14:18:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x4eae99…
05-24 11:25:10	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x78e25b…
05-23 14:50:32	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xce7a7a…
05-23 08:44:32	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xa9c535…
05-21 17:27:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbf3428…
05-21 17:21:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0xe6c3e4…
05-19 15:07:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xff9f32…
05-19 15:07:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x7bd716…
05-19 08:02:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe09344…
05-18 23:29:13	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x10cc5d…
05-18 22:47:43	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x61b7c7…
05-18 20:36:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe0f7e4…
05-17 05:04:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x0937f9…
05-17 02:39:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xe48617…
05-16 14:11:10	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x1ea3da…
05-16 14:08:11	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xeff895…
05-15 12:32:30	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe423b3…
05-15 11:35:48	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x2ef7b2…
05-15 11:02:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x705089…
05-15 00:06:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xce3817…
05-13 19:33:58	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x66ce61…
05-13 19:33:56	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x94e630…
05-13 19:33:45	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x15550e…
05-13 01:18:50	Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x42febd…
05-12 19:24:45	Will Sweden advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xe41868…
05-12 19:21:42	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x6cd617…