Creamy-Valance — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$182

Unrealized P&L

-$2.31K

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved (90d)

222

Trades (90d)

414

8,454 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$27.9K

$698.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$405

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-16 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Other

99% 94% +$1,195

Crypto

1% 50% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-300	-$360	68¢	$-205	+$154	06-05 18:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1,300	$423	8¢	$-98	-$520	09-19 20:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-600	$1,190	10¢	$-57	-$1,247	09-19 09:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-800	$359	4¢	$-32	-$391	09-19 13:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-500	$295	3¢	$-14	-$309	09-19 08:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tsla dip to 360 in february	6	$6.7K	6,243	522	+5,720	No	+$42	02-27 21:12
msft above 520 on january 23 2026	27	$6.4K	3,234	3,234	+0	No	+$40	01-23 01:27
will open close between 5 and 6 week march 6 2026	24	$6.1K	3,382	2,930	+452	Yes	+$192	03-07 00:35
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?	11	$5.6K	2,800	2,800	+0	No	+$31	05-01 07:46
msft above 520 on january 2 2026	1	$5.3K	5,287	0	+5,287	No	+$5	01-02 20:02
will spy dip to 735 by june 1 2026	12	$4.9K	4,641	399	+4,242	No	+$66	06-05 20:00
will spy dip to 730 by june 1 2026	11	$4.8K	2,459	2,459	+0	No	+$161	06-05 19:56
will spy reach 715 by april 13 2026	7	$4.7K	2,407	2,404	+3	No	+$68	04-17 19:53
will open close between 4 and 5 week february 20 2026	16	$4.6K	4,211	457	+3,754	No	+$45	02-20 21:40
googl above 370 on february 6 2026	23	$4.4K	2,284	2,284	+0	No	+$171	02-06 17:07
open above 2pt5 on february 13 2026	14	$4.2K	2,006	2,256	-250	Yes	+$25	02-13 03:19
will open close between 1 and 2 week february 13 2026	12	$4.2K	2,400	1,787	+614	No	+$24	02-10 14:54
tsla above 365 on march 20 2026	10	$3.7K	1,956	1,956	+0	Yes	+$175	03-20 20:03
will googl close between 310 and 315 week february 27 2026	11	$3.7K	1,927	1,927	+0	Yes	+$129	02-28 07:11
will spy dip to 725 by june 1 2026	6	$3.7K	1,866	1,866	+0	No	+$18	06-05 19:52
open above 2pt5 on march 6 2026	37	$3.6K	2,304	1,283	+1,021	Yes	+$20	03-05 20:33
nvda above 155 on march 6 2026	40	$3.4K	1,801	1,682	+119	Yes	+$86	03-06 02:16
aapl above 305 on february 13 2026	5	$3.3K	2,151	1,156	+995	No	+$21	02-13 03:24
amzn above 260 on february 6 2026	5	$2.9K	1,496	1,496	+0	No	+$61	02-06 20:07
aapl above 245 on march 6 2026	15	$2.8K	1,470	1,470	+0	Yes	+$115	03-06 16:53
si hit 150 high jan 2026	15	$2.7K	1,423	1,423	+0	No	+$96	01-30 18:22
amzn above 210 on february 6 2026	6	$2.7K	1,832	936	+896	Yes	+$43	02-06 22:27
will open dip to 2 50 in february	9	$2.7K	1,335	1,335	+0	No	+$14	02-27 15:45
googl above 315 on february 13 2026	4	$2.6K	1,329	1,329	+0	No	+$14	02-13 20:57
will silver si settle at 105 110 in march	83	$2.6K	1,382	1,382	+0	No	+$138	03-31 10:51
will aapl close between 275 and 280 week february 13 2026	9	$2.6K	1,292	1,292	+0	No	+$13	02-13 20:01
will rut reach 2600 in march	20	$2.5K	2,011	529	+1,482	No	+$11	03-31 23:00
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	6	$2.5K	1,245	1,245	+0	No	+$29	01-30 22:46
will amzn close above 265 week february 6 2026	16	$2.5K	1,273	1,273	+0	No	+$92	02-06 17:03
will gold gc settle at 5475 in february	3	$2.4K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$26	02-27 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 20:18:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x15a708…
10-16 20:18:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x94feab…
10-16 18:42:34	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc811c5…
10-16 18:42:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0x176cb9…
10-16 15:18:25	will open dip to 2 00 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x96bd01…
10-16 15:18:21	will open dip to 2 00 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6f93b0…
10-16 15:18:16	will open dip to 2 00 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1f16e4…
10-16 15:18:13	will open dip to 2 00 by october 12 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb6ed38…
10-16 15:17:39	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb16469…
10-16 15:17:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x46974c…
10-16 15:16:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	383	99¢	$379	0xa9c609…
10-16 15:16:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$68	0x6c99cb…
10-16 15:15:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x9b56ff…
10-16 15:15:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x32fabe…
10-16 15:15:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd85eb…
10-16 15:15:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xa25419…
10-16 15:14:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	405	99¢	$400	0xf440bb…
10-15 18:31:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xbc85ea…
10-15 18:31:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc5836c…
10-15 18:30:55	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x6609ba…
10-15 18:30:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xea1ce2…
10-15 18:30:32	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xf7b2eb…
10-15 18:26:16	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0101f6…
10-09 09:34:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $805 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3834ad…
10-09 09:34:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x36d1ba…
10-09 09:32:27	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb9d943…
10-03 14:16:06	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4282f1…
10-03 14:16:03	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1120a4…
10-03 14:15:27	will open reach 4 00 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x06ea3f…
10-03 14:15:21	will open dip to 1 00 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xe1ef26…
10-02 22:14:36	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x797339…
10-02 22:14:30	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd47b8d…
10-02 22:14:23	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $20-$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xee591c…
10-02 22:14:15	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$20 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0efce7…
10-02 22:13:03	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xa367de…
10-02 22:12:50	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe1952…
10-02 22:12:48	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.00 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc19193…
10-02 22:12:38	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0x64366b…
10-02 22:12:35	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6638a…
10-02 22:12:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x9901ea…
10-02 22:12:02	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xc8805c…
10-02 22:12:00	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.75 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xa22805…
10-02 22:11:33	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x25cc22…
10-02 22:11:26	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfdc258…
10-02 22:11:18	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x586f5c…
10-02 22:11:09	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c0b10…
10-02 22:11:05	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8b3bea…
10-02 22:11:02	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0b284f…
10-02 22:10:57	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1cb290…
10-02 16:44:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $244 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x43cf9d…
10-02 16:44:35	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	679	99¢	$672	0x82de50…
10-02 16:44:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $228 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xed4907…
10-02 16:43:48	will nvda reach 256 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58dd37…
10-02 16:43:38	will nvda reach 260 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x02e7d1…
10-02 16:41:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	550	99¢	$544	0x68611e…
10-02 16:37:21	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1,058	99¢	$1,048	0xc10de4…
10-02 16:37:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd5f728…
10-02 16:35:09	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0f00f2…
10-02 16:35:05	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcff14a…
10-02 16:33:51	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6b5b45…
10-02 16:33:02	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x38b415…
10-02 16:32:57	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0xfe180b…
10-02 16:32:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xaf44b2…
10-02 16:32:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	626	99¢	$620	0x65a7f4…
10-02 16:31:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xbf91ab…
10-02 16:31:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc3cb15…
10-02 16:31:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe6fae8…
10-02 16:31:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb22e4e…
10-02 16:31:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8288a3…
10-02 16:30:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	510	99¢	$505	0xd57fdc…
10-02 16:30:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xec29ae…
10-02 16:30:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x3d2b46…
10-02 16:29:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$130	0xbb7dd6…
10-02 16:29:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xf23440…
10-02 16:29:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	294	99¢	$291	0x6a57a3…
10-02 16:28:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa6907b…
10-02 16:28:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xa97aa5…
10-01 18:11:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	320	99¢	$316	0x2821f2…
10-01 18:11:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0xf6c80e…
10-01 08:22:26	will open reach 4 00 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd6025e…
10-01 08:22:23	will open reach 3 50 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x6a3f50…
09-26 14:54:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x5acab2…
09-26 14:54:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xd147bb…
09-26 14:53:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	496	100¢	$495	0xa3e7cd…
09-26 14:53:42	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65b0db…
09-26 14:53:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90d65f…
09-26 14:53:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x38522c…
09-26 14:52:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in September?	No	BUY	1,167	99¢	$1,160	0x752d23…
09-26 14:52:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in September?	No	BUY	398	100¢	$397	0xdb1e58…
09-26 14:51:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x01aaa2…
09-26 14:51:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	No	BUY	538	100¢	$536	0xd9f3ef…
09-26 14:51:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb9e65c…
09-26 14:51:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in September?	No	BUY	153	99¢	$152	0x2ff96c…
09-26 14:50:05	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $830 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x97fc10…
09-26 14:49:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in September?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xfb3982…
09-26 14:49:06	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xe2d952…
09-26 14:48:53	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 in September?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5148d3…
09-26 14:48:45	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $0.50 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x546651…
09-26 14:48:36	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.50 in September?	No	BUY	460	99¢	$455	0xb4b64e…
09-26 14:48:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 in September?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0x435fc4…