Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$138

Unrealized P&L

-$44

Hit rate

5.1%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

410 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$147

$6.02K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$160

16 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 11-06 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

51% 29% +$209

Sports

32% 42% +$92

Politics

13% 60% +$9

Crypto

4% 33% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+236	$50	19¢	$45	-$5	08-21 17:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+134	$20	20¢	$26	+$6	10-20 20:01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+91	$10	15¢	$13	+$3	10-13 21:31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+71	$10	15¢	$10	+$0	10-20 20:01
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+42	$10	24¢	$10	$0	10-13 21:30
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+111	$30	8¢	$9	-$21	08-31 19:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+47	$10	19¢	$9	-$1	08-06 14:22
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+67	$10	12¢	$8	-$2	10-13 21:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+143	$10	6¢	$8	-$2	10-13 21:31
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	+476	$10	1¢	$6	-$4	08-31 19:44
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+333	$10	2¢	$5	-$5	10-13 21:31
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	+86	$5	4¢	$3	-$2	10-26 03:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+25	$2	11¢	$3	+$1	11-06 03:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+53	$2	4¢	$2	+$0	11-06 03:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+25	$5	6¢	$2	-$3	10-25 02:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	+111	$10	1¢	$1	-$9	08-06 14:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$608	1,431	1,431	+0	No	+$96	07-19 20:43
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	4	$562	608	608	+0	Argentina	+$162	07-15 20:48
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$301	6,085	5,630	+455	No	-$21	07-06 02:35
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	2	$232	192	192	+0	No	+$132	08-24 13:20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$216	324	324	+0	No	+$36	07-14 06:00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$209	3,093	2,566	+526	No	-$1	07-11 23:12
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	14	$164	808	50	+758	open	—	11-06 03:54
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	2	$139	89	89	+0	Yes	+$39	08-19 15:33
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$134	339	339	+0	Yes	+$9	07-14 05:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$107	255	255	+0	No	+$7	07-15 04:17
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	1	$100	430	0	+430	open	—	07-16 16:26
Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?	2	$95	132	91	+40	open	—	10-06 08:50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$92	99	68	+31	No	+$22	10-25 23:06
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	6	$89	75	75	+0	Yes	+$9	07-06 02:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$73	54	54	+0	Yes	+$13	09-11 12:53
Will Alfonso Sánchez García win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	4	$70	388	0	+388	open	—	09-29 05:03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$58	117	117	+0	No	-$42	07-19 21:11
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	4	$50	119	119	+0	No	-$10	07-06 02:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$50	236	0	+236	open	—	08-21 17:23
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$50	84	0	+84	Spain	-$50	07-14 05:58
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?	2	$44	88	88	+0	Yes	+$4	07-07 14:51
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	2	$43	42	42	+0	Yes	+$33	07-10 20:59
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	2	$43	42	42	+0	Yes	+$33	07-19 21:12
fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 spread home 1pt5	2	$41	33	33	+0	DR Congo	+$21	06-28 01:28
Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	2	$40	42	42	+0	Yes	+$30	10-20 20:47
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	2	$39	34	34	+0	Yes	+$29	07-03 01:02
ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$38	28	28	+0	Aston Villa FC	+$18	10-14 20:46
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	1	$35	49	0	+49	No	+$14	07-12 02:56
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?	2	$31	45	45	+0	Yes	+$21	06-24 23:47
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	09-29 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 03:56:58	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc17d14…
11-06 03:56:37	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xd491c1…
11-06 03:54:46	Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x2e4e16…
11-02 04:14:54	Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 FC Bayern München?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcbaab4…
11-02 04:14:40	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf6a805…
11-02 04:12:48	Exact Score: Villarreal CF 1 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc1955b…
11-02 04:12:13	Exact Score: Feyenoord Rotterdam 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb2400d…
11-02 04:11:18	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2d2bc5…
11-02 04:07:40	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7b93ac…
11-02 04:06:21	Will Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x73eb6d…
11-02 04:05:10	Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa5d268…
11-02 04:03:43	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 AS Roma?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7ebb17…
11-02 04:02:21	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x74550c…
11-02 04:01:58	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x179c53…
11-02 04:00:03	Exact Score: LASK Linz 2 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x45aef7…
11-02 03:56:30	Exact Score: FK Bodø/Glimt 2 - 1 Lille OSC?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x83de6e…
11-02 03:54:18	Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1344e5…
11-02 03:52:37	Exact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1 - 2 Sporting CP?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8bc21c…
11-01 23:00:18	Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Club León FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4dff59…
11-01 23:00:06	Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Club León FC?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xf28268…
11-01 14:05:49	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8a0c3c…
11-01 14:05:27	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0eef3c…
11-01 14:05:15	Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x3e0252…
11-01 01:39:06	Exact Score: CD Guadalajara 3 - 0 Atlante FC?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x8e4b1a…
10-31 23:07:58	Will CF Pachuca vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x9dac0f…
10-31 23:07:06	Exact Score: CF Pachuca 2 - 1 Tigres de la UANL?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2ca035…
10-31 22:55:55	Exact Score: CD Guadalajara 2 - 1 Atlante FC?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x98c6cd…
10-31 19:47:51	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Fulham FC?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xea1d3a…
10-31 19:47:28	Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7a2d19…
10-31 03:53:42	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd1c6e0…
10-31 03:53:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe1d10c…
10-30 23:27:42	Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 1 Crystal Palace FC?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x33d33c…
10-28 17:50:11	Will Gilberto Mora play for Arsenal next?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x09a49f…
10-28 06:16:38	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8113a3…
10-28 06:16:05	Will Sergio Perez finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	53	9¢	$5	0x81f4d9…
10-28 04:56:37	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa03143…
10-26 19:38:32	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd534ef…
10-26 03:54:11	Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x54e281…
10-26 03:53:38	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x325b71…
10-26 03:53:09	Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Manchester City?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xaca098…
10-26 01:12:14	Exact Score: CF América 2 - 1 CF Pachuca?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5764f8…
10-26 01:11:50	Spread: CF América (-2.5)	CF América	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x97a844…
10-25 23:06:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xec7b47…
10-25 23:02:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0x7388fb…
10-25 21:47:48	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0xe91489…
10-25 20:51:59	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x3b6a97…
10-25 20:51:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xf49416…
10-25 16:51:36	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 1 - 2 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7b1e26…
10-25 16:42:38	Exact Score: Sunderland AFC 0 - 1 Leeds United FC?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8b3961…
10-25 16:42:18	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa97e50…
10-25 15:31:00	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0xaf9fe9…
10-25 15:09:42	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x5cf85d…
10-25 14:41:45	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x319a66…
10-25 13:32:20	Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x79d833…
10-25 13:32:02	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x838062…
10-25 03:59:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xaaf280…
10-25 03:27:54	Exact Score: Pumas de la UNAM 2 - 1 Tigres de la UANL?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe105f9…
10-25 03:27:38	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf4926a…
10-25 02:11:00	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfc9b00…
10-25 02:09:50	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x3049bd…
10-25 01:15:53	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1e478c…
10-25 00:59:20	Exact Score: CF Monterrey 2 - 1 CD Guadalajara?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe6e72e…
10-25 00:58:57	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd4ef37…
10-25 00:26:57	Exact Score: Club León FC 1 - 2 Deportivo Toluca FC?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x501781…
10-23 03:31:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2e84a7…
10-21 20:44:59	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	Yes	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0x516d3b…
10-21 20:22:35	Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x6ecd80…
10-21 20:18:44	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	SELL	42	6¢	$2	0xb26f0e…
10-21 20:08:44	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	SELL	56	9¢	$5	0x2452a0…
10-21 15:38:53	Exact Score: Lille OSC 2 - 1 Galatasaray SK?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc23390…
10-21 15:37:24	Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x333b99…
10-20 20:47:05	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	SELL	42	83¢	$35	0x0505a6…
10-20 20:30:53	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0xb92c5e…
10-20 20:01:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x94174f…
10-20 20:01:39	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x750f90…
10-20 18:25:20	Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xf5c79f…
10-20 18:04:18	Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x80440f…
10-19 05:12:53	Exact Score: VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x185b78…
10-19 05:12:03	Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x285fbc…
10-19 05:10:06	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8c26d3…
10-19 05:09:48	Will FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf51fd3…
10-19 05:08:21	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x15b6f5…
10-19 05:08:03	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x957b7f…
10-19 05:07:48	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 FC Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x3f8c01…
10-19 05:07:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x878241…
10-19 05:06:41	Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Viking FK?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5df177…
10-19 05:05:51	Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 1 RB Leipzig?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x619e99…
10-19 04:59:56	Exact Score: Sporting CP 3 - 0 LASK Linz?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x23dd42…
10-19 04:59:38	Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)	Sporting CP	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7cdc8a…
10-19 04:58:20	Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9b18d3…
10-19 04:57:57	Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)	AS Roma	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9295af…
10-19 04:56:50	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 1 Villarreal CF?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x745bc0…
10-19 04:56:23	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x72b2c7…
10-19 04:55:11	Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 AEK?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2240c4…
10-19 04:54:08	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb97341…
10-18 15:43:21	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa31ccd…
10-18 15:42:57	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x4e6aa5…
10-18 02:51:48	Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)	CF Cruz Azul	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x415a9a…
10-18 02:51:21	Exact Score: CF Cruz Azul 2 - 1 FC Juárez?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xa70e91…
10-17 23:26:44	Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)	CD Guadalajara	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4f4298…