Realized P&L (30d)
-$163
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
37.3%
Resolved (30d)
103
Trades (30d)
124
429 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$682
$6.09K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$344
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 11-08 05:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
51% 29% +$209
Sports
32% 42% +$92
Politics
13% 60% +$9
Crypto
4% 33% -$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? Yes +758 $138 22¢ $163 +$26 11-06 03:54
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? Yes +134 $30 36¢ $48 +$18 10-02 03:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +236 $50 17¢ $39 -$11 08-21 17:23
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +134 $20 18¢ $25 +$5 10-20 20:01
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +91 $10 15¢ $13 +$3 10-13 21:31
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +42 $10 24¢ $10 $0 10-13 21:30
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +71 $10 14¢ $10 $0 10-20 20:01
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +47 $10 15¢ $7 -$3 08-06 14:22
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? Yes +24 $5 21¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:54
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +190 $5 2¢ $5 $0 11-08 05:32
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +476 $10 1¢ $5 -$5 08-31 19:44
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? Yes +111 $30 4¢ $4 -$26 08-31 19:43
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? Yes +13 $3 19¢ $2 -$1 11-08 02:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +25 $2 8¢ $2 +$0 11-06 03:56
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +53 $2 4¢ $2 $0 11-06 03:56
Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Manchester City? Yes +60 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 10-26 03:53
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +86 $5 2¢ $2 -$3 10-26 03:53
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +111 $10 1¢ $1 -$9 08-06 14:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +25 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 10-25 02:11