Realized P&L
+$5.56K
Unrealized P&L
-$673
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
378
Trades
1,879
lifetime
Volume
$46.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$922
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-01
last 10-29 01:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 141 days
Categories
Politics
72% 37% +$3,763
Other
23% 32% +$1,378
Crypto
2% 75% +$533
Sports
2% 38% +$2
Tech
0% 0% -$120
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,400 $1,058 16¢ $396 -$662 10-23 18:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $209 24¢ $235 +$26 10-17 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +500 $179 36¢ $177 -$2 10-25 22:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $79 16¢ $78 -$2 10-07 16:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +348 $24 8¢ $26 +$2 10-24 14:47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $5 4¢ $4 -$1 05-12 21:07
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +300 $29 1¢ $2 -$27 10-28 18:01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +400 $10 0¢ $2 -$8 10-10 17:23
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +200 $8 1¢ $2 -$6 10-16 20:23
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +0 -$6 94¢ $0 +$6 07-25 19:51