Webbed-Means — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$130

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-03 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

39% 46% -$13

Other

29% 40% -$21

Crypto

18% 29% -$9

Sports

10% 100% +$3

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		-3	-$2	99¢	$-3	-$1	05-20 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$3	07-19 21:49
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	3	$11	5,260	0	+5,260	Yes	-$11	02-03 15:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$11	351	0	+351	Yes	-$11	02-02 05:02
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 16:52
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	02-03 10:19
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$10	46	0	+46	No	-$10	03-03 04:36
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	-$5	01-30 05:24
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	1	$5	0	5	-5	Yes	$0	05-20 04:13
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-13 16:25
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-30 05:29
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 30 296	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	01-29 06:38
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	08-03 10:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:15 UTC	2	$3	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	01-30 04:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 11:15
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 04:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	10-03 01:29
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	0	2	-2	No	$0	06-06 05:32
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-02 05:01
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	2	$2	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 15:45
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-22 14:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:15 UTC	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	01-31 17:12
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	05-20 04:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 04:24
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	0	2	-2	No	$0	06-06 05:32
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$0	07-02 06:08
spx opens up or down on january 30 2026	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	01-30 05:06
spain snap election called by october 31	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	10-03 01:30
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	1	$1	27	0	+27	Yes	-$1	06-06 05:35
will france strike iran by march 31	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	03-03 09:11
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-12 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 01:30:59	spain snap election called by october 31	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb57f3a…
10-03 01:29:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xc6aefc…
08-03 10:03:35	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xe7fd09…
07-25 05:29:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x67e669…
07-23 04:59:58	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb42375…
07-20 04:24:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x230379…
07-20 04:24:40	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x8801b6…
07-19 21:49:49	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x31d6bb…
07-15 05:21:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1a7361…
07-09 05:15:10	untitled market 1 20260629155005352	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8b715b…
07-02 06:11:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2762b4…
07-02 06:11:17	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x71a626…
07-02 06:08:13	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf795a4…
06-12 16:49:00	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6dd9a0…
06-06 05:36:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9369a2…
06-06 05:35:39	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 15 2026	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8cea14…
06-06 05:35:03	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x7e06e2…
06-06 05:32:58	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x7a103c…
06-06 05:32:42	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x8bb431…
05-20 04:13:47	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x81167e…
05-20 04:11:55	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xb7f433…
03-22 14:12:53	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x24df9d…
03-13 16:25:21	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe77070…
03-09 16:54:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf9e31b…
03-09 16:52:41	bitcoin above 66k on march 9	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xffe0a6…
03-09 11:26:09	bitcoin above 66k on march 9	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x986981…
03-09 11:18:45	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe1f750…
03-09 11:15:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x9611bb…
03-03 09:11:09	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xe945d0…
03-03 04:36:45	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x59b177…
03-03 04:36:31	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x5ccc8b…
02-03 15:28:12	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	4,710	0¢	$9	0x682e32…
02-03 15:20:22	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2b6847…
02-03 10:19:44	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf0df4d…
02-02 05:09:20	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x38e795…
02-02 05:02:00	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xee2e6c…
02-02 05:01:22	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa3a015…
02-01 08:52:32	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb8ed5…
02-01 08:51:42	Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	$3k	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe24baf…
01-31 17:12:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x22d987…
01-30 05:29:08	will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x5e7678…
01-30 05:24:52	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3c00a8…
01-30 05:06:56	spx opens up or down on january 30 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x497953…
01-30 04:35:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9f1b46…
01-30 04:32:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2d14ba…
01-30 04:22:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc7a28b…
01-29 15:45:42	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xea7a80…
01-29 06:42:10	will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x95d6b3…
01-29 06:38:04	will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 30 296	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6aaf08…
01-29 06:25:30	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfbc8ec…
01-29 06:24:02	will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdd5e88…