Realized P&L (24h)
-$669
Unrealized P&L
+$44
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved (24h)
14
Trades (24h)
19
9,691 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$495
$420.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$548
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-01 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$11,241
Other
24% 34% +$5,203
Sports
4% 54% +$1,007
Tech
0% 100% +$37
Crypto
0% 42% -$177
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +401 $160 48¢ $191 +$31 11-01 17:36
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes +1,278 $238 8¢ $102 -$136 10-14 22:25
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +559 $14 12¢ $68 +$54 10-16 17:45
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,303 $245 4¢ $59 -$186 10-16 17:41
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +91 -$31 44¢ $41 +$71 10-28 22:42
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 -$1 4¢ $23 +$23 10-27 19:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +27 $26 84¢ $22 -$4 10-27 23:26
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -900 -$146 2¢ $-19 +$126 07-19 04:57
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +50 $18 32¢ $16 -$3 10-30 10:32
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$0 10-16 18:48
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$1 10-16 18:49
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $0 10-16 18:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 -$7 92¢ $0 +$7 06-06 15:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$59 5¢ $0 +$59 10-26 17:19