Realized P&L (24h)
-$712
Unrealized P&L
+$50
Hit rate
70.2%
Resolved (24h)
18
Trades (24h)
43
9,690 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$1.39K
$420.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$473
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-31 23:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 216 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$11,296
Other
24% 34% +$5,211
Sports
4% 54% +$1,007
Tech
0% 100% +$37
Crypto
0% 42% -$177
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +1,278 $238 8¢ $109 -$129 10-14 22:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +201 $64 51¢ $103 +$39 10-31 13:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +559 $14 11¢ $63 +$49 10-16 17:45
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,303 $245 4¢ $59 -$186 10-16 17:41
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +91 -$31 52¢ $47 +$78 10-28 22:42
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -900 -$146 3¢ $-27 +$119 07-19 04:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 -$1 4¢ $23 +$23 10-27 19:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +27 $26 69¢ $18 -$8 10-27 23:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +50 $18 36¢ $18 -$1 10-30 10:32
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +10 $3 37¢ $4 +$0 10-16 18:48
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 10-16 18:49
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $0 10-16 18:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 -$7 92¢ $0 +$7 06-06 15:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$59 4¢ $0 +$59 10-26 17:19