Realized P&L (7d)
+$204
Unrealized P&L
+$162
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved (7d)
29
Trades (7d)
432
9,591 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$17.2K
$415.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$2.65K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 02:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$11,077
Other
24% 34% +$6,070
Sports
4% 55% +$1,014
Tech
0% 100% +$37
Crypto
0% 42% -$177
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +725 $480 99¢ $718 +$238 10-27 22:16
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +710 $441 82¢ $586 +$145 10-28 02:18
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +530 $454 96¢ $511 +$57 10-27 22:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +740 $329 51¢ $377 +$48 10-27 09:37
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +183 $23 64¢ $118 +$95 10-28 01:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +200 $71 36¢ $73 +$2 10-27 22:42
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 Yes +1,278 $238 6¢ $70 -$168 10-14 22:25
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,303 $245 4¢ $52 -$193 10-16 17:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +559 $14 8¢ $47 +$33 10-16 17:45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -900 -$146 4¢ $-36 +$110 07-19 04:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 -$1 6¢ $28 +$28 10-27 19:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +27 $26 39¢ $10 -$16 10-27 23:26
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +651 $284 2¢ $10 -$274 10-27 23:40
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +10 $3 41¢ $4 +$1 10-16 18:48
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 28¢ $3 +$0 10-16 18:49
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,500 $13 0¢ $2 -$10 10-27 19:30
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +5 $2 26¢ $1 $0 10-16 18:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 -$7 91¢ $0 +$7 06-06 15:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$59 2¢ $0 +$59 10-26 17:19