Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.13K
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved (90d)
192
Trades (90d)
1,269
9,549 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$45.1K
$415.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$44
Open exposure
$1.50K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-28 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 213 days
Categories
Politics
71% 60% +$11,077
Other
24% 34% +$6,133
Sports
4% 55% +$1,014
Tech
0% 100% +$37
Crypto
0% 42% -$177
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +530 $454 100¢ $528 +$74 10-27 22:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +740 $329 44¢ $329 +$0 10-27 09:37
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +276 $29 100¢ $274 +$245 10-28 23:54
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 Yes +1,278 $238 6¢ $70 -$168 10-14 22:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +200 $71 34¢ $69 -$2 10-27 22:42
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,303 $245 4¢ $52 -$193 10-16 17:41
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +91 -$31 52¢ $48 +$78 10-28 22:42
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +559 $14 8¢ $47 +$33 10-16 17:45
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes -900 -$146 4¢ $-34 +$112 07-19 04:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +500 -$1 4¢ $20 +$21 10-27 19:27
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +27 $26 40¢ $11 -$15 10-27 23:26
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Opp. +651 $284 1¢ $7 -$278 10-27 23:40
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$1 10-16 18:49
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 $0 10-16 18:48
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,500 $13 0¢ $2 -$10 10-27 19:30
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 $0 10-16 18:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +0 -$7 91¢ $0 +$7 06-06 15:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 -$59 2¢ $0 +$59 10-26 17:19