Bright-Set — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-09 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

41% 0% $-1

Sports

32% 0% $-1

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

9% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	8	$1.2K	634	634	+0	open	—	03-16 00:17
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$984	513	513	-0	No	$-1	04-14 04:39
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	6	$730	390	390	+0	open	—	04-11 11:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$600	318	318	+0	Yes	$-1	03-24 13:39
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$585	302	302	+0	open	—	03-16 18:47
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$572	297	297	+0	open	—	03-21 08:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$540	281	281	+0	open	—	03-28 07:24
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$509	264	264	+0	open	—	04-11 20:40
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	6	$481	248	248	+0	open	—	04-27 10:57
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	3	$322	174	174	+0	open	—	03-07 02:04
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$322	165	165	+0	open	—	03-12 16:18
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$321	170	170	+0	open	—	03-12 02:42
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$319	167	167	+0	open	—	03-03 18:00
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$318	168	168	+0	open	—	03-15 07:29
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$318	169	169	+0	open	—	03-07 13:19
will mexico win the 2026 world baseball classic	3	$315	161	161	+0	open	—	03-09 16:19
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$313	164	164	+0	open	—	03-15 13:56
will tottenham hotspur reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$306	159	159	+0	open	—	03-13 04:27
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$305	156	156	+0	open	—	03-17 06:39
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$298	158	158	+0	open	—	03-19 20:59
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$297	152	152	+0	open	—	03-20 22:34
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$296	154	154	+0	open	—	03-22 04:59
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$289	148	148	+0	open	—	03-19 03:19
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$283	145	145	+0	open	—	03-20 14:49
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$283	154	154	+0	open	—	03-25 15:43
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	4	$277	148	148	+0	open	—	03-22 12:10
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$275	140	140	+0	open	—	03-26 15:28
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$274	143	143	+0	open	—	03-30 03:07
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$273	144	144	+0	open	—	03-25 22:31
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$268	137	137	+0	open	—	03-23 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:11:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	51	93¢	$47	0x34666d…
06-09 10:09:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x8297a0…
06-09 08:42:16	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x90a425…
06-07 11:00:43	Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xe8e464…
06-07 10:25:37	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	93¢	$42	0x984664…
06-07 02:19:33	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	94¢	$43	0xf78828…
06-06 20:04:30	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	51	93¢	$48	0xaf1aa2…
06-06 13:02:51	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x5cd99c…
06-06 12:25:52	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x5bb500…
06-06 06:17:40	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xebeaba…
06-05 21:02:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xc3a9b1…
06-05 15:56:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x76035d…
06-05 00:57:43	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x3b8bda…
06-04 17:53:31	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	44	95¢	$41	0x7959d3…
06-04 11:34:40	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xcf67d3…
06-04 05:31:33	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4e2cd8…
06-04 00:18:55	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	SELL	51	87¢	$45	0x67b48e…
06-03 17:17:49	Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$11	0x918029…
06-03 17:17:48	Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xefe52f…
06-03 04:22:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x513394…
06-02 09:28:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x089ca9…
06-02 04:23:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0xfcd20a…
04-28 00:45:18	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0xd1ed4e…
04-27 19:43:32	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x53d696…
04-27 10:57:56	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	138	97¢	$134	0xd11723…
04-27 03:51:50	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	138	97¢	$134	0xdb68cc…
04-21 05:11:28	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$58	0x3ba7e0…
04-20 22:53:50	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$58	0xb8cb3a…
04-20 14:31:14	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0x6b51c3…
04-20 05:47:40	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xd49a19…
04-18 23:55:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xb23bff…
04-18 15:35:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x456ad4…
04-16 08:29:36	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0xaa7027…
04-16 02:10:40	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0xb4e8f7…
04-14 04:39:19	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	57	93¢	$52	0x8afa33…
04-13 23:55:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xf4a848…
04-13 23:40:01	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x12e385…
04-13 17:37:43	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xde6e9d…
04-13 06:43:49	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xfe41b8…
04-12 23:41:33	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xbac70a…
04-12 03:37:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xc825ab…
04-11 20:44:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xd2a534…
04-11 20:40:37	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xbfd77b…
04-11 12:38:15	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0xa39877…
04-11 11:57:43	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x00636b…
04-11 06:22:01	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$59	0x8ab65e…
04-10 21:33:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x17a942…
04-10 14:33:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0x024df2…
04-09 23:58:47	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$59	0xef5803…
04-09 19:57:11	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$59	0x8cd109…
04-07 12:43:53	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	67	96¢	$65	0x2e3f0d…
04-01 03:37:15	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$66	0x6c0f56…
03-31 10:35:35	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0xa87049…
03-31 03:21:37	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xbce28b…
03-31 01:53:07	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x792b81…
03-30 17:45:55	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x64caad…
03-30 08:32:50	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	134	97¢	$130	0x3a659b…
03-30 05:49:10	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xce6afb…
03-30 03:22:46	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xc886a2…
03-30 03:18:54	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	85	97¢	$83	0x179339…
03-30 03:07:24	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	143	96¢	$137	0x78153a…
03-29 21:59:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	143	96¢	$137	0x33452a…
03-28 16:39:29	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	139	97¢	$134	0x499a65…
03-28 08:29:01	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0xe91ed6…
03-28 07:24:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	134	96¢	$129	0x533d90…
03-28 00:36:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	97¢	$129	0xd1d35a…
03-27 09:13:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	132	97¢	$128	0xa8c4af…
03-27 04:55:51	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0xe52dd9…
03-26 15:28:41	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	140	98¢	$137	0x8d0144…
03-26 10:12:13	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	140	98¢	$138	0x10f108…
03-26 07:49:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	147	96¢	$141	0xfb2700…
03-26 00:35:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	147	96¢	$141	0xa341f0…
03-25 22:31:55	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	144	94¢	$136	0x0c16a4…
03-25 22:18:25	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x84dd99…
03-25 16:49:45	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x182dea…
03-25 15:43:59	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	154	91¢	$140	0xf9eb7b…
03-25 09:11:11	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	154	93¢	$143	0xf3a909…
03-25 00:57:45	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	149	94¢	$139	0xa35202…
03-24 20:49:55	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	149	94¢	$140	0x19f0ac…
03-24 13:39:27	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	146	94¢	$138	0x924191…
03-24 07:48:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	146	95¢	$138	0x56d0ec…
03-23 01:13:05	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0x32de84…
03-22 19:34:19	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xd72fb8…
03-22 19:21:39	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0x422166…
03-22 19:03:01	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x87c1aa…
03-22 19:02:43	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x8225af…
03-22 18:46:31	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9427ac…
03-22 12:10:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	148	93¢	$138	0xaba76c…
03-22 06:08:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	94	94¢	$89	0x793629…
03-22 06:06:15	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xfeaf39…
03-22 06:06:15	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xca8d34…
03-22 04:59:43	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	154	96¢	$148	0x5d780c…
03-21 23:45:29	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0xf1e237…
03-21 08:47:23	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	142	96¢	$136	0x9c4360…
03-20 23:35:33	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	142	96¢	$136	0x50d0cf…
03-20 22:34:47	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	152	97¢	$148	0xcdfd31…
03-20 15:41:19	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	152	98¢	$149	0x19a9a3…
03-20 14:49:19	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x1539ae…
03-20 09:23:09	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	145	98¢	$142	0x6d1573…
03-19 20:59:47	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	94¢	$149	0xd8addd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$361.8K	8,006	06-09 14:37
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	45	$61.0K	965	06-08 20:16
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	43	$9.26K	6,337	06-09 20:10
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	41	$5.06K	2,349	06-09 13:05
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	39	$111.7K	8,076	06-09 20:34
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	38	$64.9K	29,504	04-16 14:10
Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8	37	$263.0K	8,423	06-09 21:27
Curly-Violin 0x8b06…86e6	36	$165.3K	5,419	06-03 14:10