Unknown-Permission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$6.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 07-14 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

69% — —

Other

31% 50% $-53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	33	$3.4K	2,327	1,678	+649	open	—	04-07 09:55
spx up or down on april 23 2026	25	$545	415	411	+4	open	—	04-23 19:50
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	24	$497	391	391	+0	open	—	03-14 19:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	10	$322	388	390	-2	Down	+$28	05-04 14:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$231	1,230	1,230	+0	open	—	04-25 18:05
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	5	$215	396	297	+99	open	—	04-25 18:35
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	22	$207	4,327	358	+3,969	open	—	05-10 08:25
us evacuates jerusalem embassy by march 31	4	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-29 17:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$162	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	05-07 14:34
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$82	340	0	+340	Up	$-82	05-05 12:53
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	1	$70	283	0	+283	open	—	07-14 19:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	6	$54	150	0	+150	open	—	04-30 23:58
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	1	$54	300	0	+300	open	—	05-05 19:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	25	$53	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 18:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	1	$22	59	0	+59	open	—	04-29 10:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-03 20:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 19:07:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	283	25¢	$70	0xdc148b…
05-10 08:25:11	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	358	3¢	$12	0xadd060…
05-07 14:34:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,800	9¢	$162	0xe51dc7…
05-06 16:35:35	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	22	2¢	$1	0xba7d6f…
05-06 16:11:14	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x76f944…
05-06 16:07:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x3d628b…
05-06 15:45:41	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	205	2¢	$5	0x9538f7…
05-06 15:36:28	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	71	2¢	$2	0x39b44e…
05-06 14:56:48	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	210	3¢	$5	0x87d37e…
05-06 14:56:45	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	161	3¢	$4	0xd1057a…
05-06 14:53:25	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xb985d9…
05-06 14:47:44	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	236	3¢	$6	0x72fb5e…
05-06 14:46:39	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	463	3¢	$14	0x9a1105…
05-05 19:00:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x9df336…
05-05 12:53:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	140	14¢	$20	0xc2833e…
05-05 05:39:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xa4ae43…
05-05 05:27:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	123	31¢	$38	0x1d6f22…
05-05 05:15:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	69	31¢	$21	0x878688…
05-04 14:46:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	43	28¢	$12	0xa023b0…
05-04 13:51:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	347	47¢	$164	0xc06f71…
05-04 06:17:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0x4c4f2a…
05-04 05:57:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x1c2094…
05-03 22:01:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xe7967c…
05-03 22:01:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0xb76eec…
05-03 22:01:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0xa0dc4e…
05-03 22:01:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0131e5…
05-03 22:01:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	108	40¢	$43	0xf39fb3…
05-03 22:01:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0xbf56ef…
05-03 14:39:26	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	1,365	4¢	$59	0x94fdca…
05-02 10:11:00	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0xdb3081…
05-02 10:09:20	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	312	7¢	$22	0x395455…
05-02 10:07:56	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	149	6¢	$9	0xf5dbbd…
05-02 09:53:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	342	6¢	$21	0xfe45fb…
05-02 09:53:22	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	106	6¢	$6	0x2902cf…
05-02 09:47:36	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	152	6¢	$9	0x05ca86…
05-02 08:28:30	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0xa0ba91…
05-02 08:04:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0xef1fa9…
05-02 07:59:58	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xaed339…
05-02 07:48:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	103	7¢	$7	0xe456ec…
04-30 23:58:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x41c3d7…
04-30 23:18:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x16017f…
04-30 22:23:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa9bb99…
04-30 22:23:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8be722…
04-30 22:17:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xa945c6…
04-30 22:16:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x635314…
04-29 10:51:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	59	37¢	$22	0x13e733…
04-26 08:09:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x8206ad…
04-25 18:35:20	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	297	24¢	$72	0x38b659…
04-25 18:05:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	3¢	$19	0xb83020…
04-25 05:32:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	9¢	$54	0xe1e32b…
04-24 18:23:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	SELL	200	1¢	$3	0xd87e93…
04-24 13:04:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x7cb850…
04-24 13:03:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0xe7e9a0…
04-24 13:02:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	10¢	$6	0x403bd2…
04-24 13:01:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x782d6c…
04-24 12:25:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	15¢	$90	0x7a079b…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xb964a3…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xb46476…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x94bf41…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x8a5d15…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x821d38…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x5f3b2b…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x58c400…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x2eff38…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x28f37e…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x2637b0…
04-24 12:13:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x05c08a…
04-24 12:13:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x77bcc0…
04-24 12:12:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xb1bf24…
04-24 12:12:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3e489a…
04-24 12:12:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x2e04ee…
04-24 12:12:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xc33f77…
04-24 12:12:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x8ffdde…
04-24 12:11:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x760008…
04-24 12:11:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x1c877c…
04-24 12:11:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xf3c8de…
04-24 12:10:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xb93acc…
04-24 12:10:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x9ae2e9…
04-24 12:10:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x10fe11…
04-24 12:09:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 24?	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x03e5bd…
04-23 19:50:30	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xb5ddf5…
04-23 18:34:46	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x6320a6…
04-23 18:33:38	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	21	87¢	$18	0x4a60e5…
04-23 18:31:52	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x1fae14…
04-23 18:21:34	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x62cef9…
04-23 18:08:32	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	25	94¢	$24	0x501877…
04-23 18:03:58	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0xc8d6a1…
04-23 18:03:00	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x2cb929…
04-23 17:56:36	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xde7ce5…
04-23 17:56:24	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x3f18a6…
04-23 17:56:02	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0xb55120…
04-23 17:46:50	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0xa7db6a…
04-23 17:45:48	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xd5f782…
04-23 17:45:24	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb8e47f…
04-23 17:45:10	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x374e13…
04-23 15:34:18	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	126	31¢	$39	0x497cb5…
04-23 15:23:48	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x2c9382…
04-23 15:23:46	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xb21cf0…
04-23 15:23:46	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$11	0x1f4abf…
04-23 15:23:42	spx up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa16407…