Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

160 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$19.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$77

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-24 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

53% 79% +$162

Tech

19% 88% +$255

Crypto

15% 92% -$69

Sports

7% 62% -$16

Politics

7% 44% -$448

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+84	$58	77¢	$65	+$7	10-05 18:00
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+58	$15	12¢	$7	-$8	09-05 10:29
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+68	$15	4¢	$3	-$12	08-07 07:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$15	2¢	$2	-$13	09-05 10:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$996	1,009	0	+1,009	No	+$13	01-04 03:28
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$647	648	0	+648	No	+$1	05-02 09:20
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$633	634	0	+634	No	+$1	07-11 10:34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$618	630	0	+630	No	+$11	07-22 07:51
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$600	575	26	+549	No	+$1	08-07 07:49
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	1	$547	550	0	+550	No	+$3	03-08 05:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$537	550	0	+550	Yes	+$12	03-26 10:25
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$534	535	0	+535	Yes	+$1	02-03 03:30
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$533	535	0	+535	No	+$2	02-03 03:29
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$515	516	0	+516	No	+$1	06-04 10:45
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$490	440	51	+389	No	+$1	04-21 10:49
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$461	464	0	+464	No	+$2	09-05 10:32
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	2	$422	212	212	+0	No	+$0	02-25 07:17
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$400	407	0	+407	Yes	+$7	03-06 04:08
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$400	402	0	+402	No	+$2	02-11 04:02
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$380	381	0	+381	No	+$1	03-26 10:25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	3	$351	322	30	+292	No	+$1	10-18 14:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$327	344	0	+344	Yes	+$17	01-12 04:55
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$327	351	0	+351	Yes	+$24	01-12 04:56
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$308	280	31	+249	Yes	+$3	01-27 03:19
Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$302	303	0	+303	No	+$1	02-11 04:02
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$276	139	139	+0	Yes	+$2	05-18 03:40
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$273	277	0	+277	Yes	+$4	01-12 04:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$260	271	0	+271	Yes	+$11	06-14 09:37
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$248	124	124	+0	No	+$0	02-25 07:18
will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in february 2026 326 643 359 148 891	1	$205	207	0	+207	No	+$2	02-25 07:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$191	217	0	+217	Yes	+$26	05-30 06:30
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$183	184	0	+184	Yes	+$1	02-27 05:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$183	0	184	-184	Yes	-$1	02-27 05:04
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$175	224	0	+224	Yes	-$175	02-27 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 09:35:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	61¢	$36	0x904ade…
10-18 14:16:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0x3337d0…
10-18 14:15:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9826f1…
10-16 10:59:13	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x83d1be…
10-16 10:58:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x0b6d99…
10-14 18:13:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	52	28¢	$14	0x450b6c…
10-14 18:13:03	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9deaea…
10-05 18:01:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	322	100¢	$321	0xeedd2f…
10-05 18:01:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	73	79¢	$58	0x57ac6c…
10-05 18:00:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	82¢	$58	0xc0579a…
10-05 18:00:41	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	69¢	$58	0x9efdcb…
10-05 18:00:26	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	67¢	$58	0xdcda9c…
10-05 18:00:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x5d27bd…
10-05 17:59:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0xee02b7…
10-05 17:59:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	96¢	$78	0x9469be…
10-05 17:59:20	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x3cfe09…
09-05 10:32:58	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	464	99¢	$461	0x4e1fff…
09-05 10:32:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x2196d0…
09-05 10:31:36	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	87	69¢	$60	0xc7d67b…
09-05 10:31:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	85	93¢	$79	0x8c54f0…
09-05 10:30:46	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0x511a82…
09-05 10:30:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	86¢	$79	0x97647b…
09-05 10:29:46	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x17c125…
09-05 10:29:10	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xb7a64e…
08-07 07:50:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x2ae099…
08-07 07:49:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xc73f47…
08-07 07:49:27	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x31fb74…
08-06 19:53:51	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	575	100¢	$574	0x41fb19…
08-06 19:53:15	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0xcb35c4…
08-06 19:52:57	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	75¢	$49	0x8160f5…
08-06 19:52:39	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0x4e2d8c…
08-06 19:52:18	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x173ec7…
08-06 19:51:59	Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0xe3ce69…
08-06 19:51:39	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x88e224…
08-06 19:51:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	111	88¢	$98	0xa547f3…
08-06 19:50:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	93¢	$98	0xd4f8c9…
08-06 19:50:17	Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x0e903d…
08-06 19:49:47	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x464b8b…
08-06 19:48:29	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x247d77…
07-22 07:51:00	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	630	98¢	$618	0x9950f6…
07-22 07:50:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	95	75¢	$71	0xa1cd10…
07-11 10:34:53	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	634	100¢	$633	0x2e6037…
07-11 10:34:11	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	76	98¢	$75	0x4d5aaf…
07-11 10:33:53	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9b733b…
07-11 10:33:32	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x3f407b…
07-11 10:33:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x51fa6a…
07-11 10:32:59	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x31ea13…
07-11 10:32:41	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6e7f9c…
07-11 10:32:25	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x715165…
07-11 10:32:07	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x9d636d…
06-14 09:37:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	271	96¢	$260	0x2bb559…
06-04 10:45:48	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	516	100¢	$515	0x4be02c…
06-04 10:45:27	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0xce02d6…
06-04 10:45:04	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	86	96¢	$83	0x99f2fc…
06-04 10:44:49	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	119	70¢	$83	0x2caa9a…
06-04 10:44:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	108	90¢	$97	0xc99853…
06-04 10:44:12	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	63¢	$97	0xb9f77d…
06-04 10:43:52	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x6b10df…
06-04 10:43:37	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	82¢	$111	0x9dcfb8…
06-04 10:43:24	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$35	0x12eeb1…
05-30 06:30:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd0b51d…
05-30 06:29:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x208179…
05-18 03:42:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	123	97¢	$118	0x2c6c7b…
05-18 03:41:33	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x925770…
05-18 03:40:47	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0x76a3b0…
05-02 09:20:58	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	648	100¢	$647	0x47062c…
05-02 09:20:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x71b867…
05-02 09:20:10	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x4394b6…
05-02 09:18:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	79¢	$96	0x642c86…
05-02 09:17:48	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	122	79¢	$96	0x91622d…
05-02 09:17:02	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x54e0e7…
05-02 09:16:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	131	95¢	$124	0x2682c6…
05-02 09:15:54	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	139	98¢	$137	0x5b566d…
05-02 09:14:28	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xeb5360…
05-02 09:14:06	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0x325844…
04-21 10:49:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	72¢	$51	0xaaa37c…
04-21 10:49:20	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x5ac528…
04-19 04:57:14	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x480ae8…
04-19 04:56:14	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xd98a79…
04-14 05:02:03	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	69¢	$29	0x1ebf4a…
04-14 05:01:01	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xd25ec9…
04-14 05:00:45	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x4888ff…
04-14 05:00:23	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x9bddd5…
04-14 04:59:55	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x6bbe43…
04-07 14:06:29	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$439	0x76fa9f…
04-07 14:05:57	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4c39e4…
04-07 14:05:37	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xa6f2b7…
04-07 14:05:23	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x438b00…
04-07 14:03:33	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	67¢	$24	0xcc1ceb…
04-04 05:39:45	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	94¢	$76	0x908e42…
04-04 05:39:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0x059cf5…
04-04 05:38:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	158	96¢	$151	0xadbf42…
04-04 05:38:27	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$101	0xef6306…
04-02 05:09:17	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	160	61¢	$98	0x5d3ac6…
04-02 04:17:05	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xa353bc…
04-02 04:16:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0x74c3d2…
04-02 04:16:27	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	78¢	$97	0xb51ddc…
03-26 10:25:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	388	100¢	$387	0x80c2c0…
03-26 10:25:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	381	100¢	$380	0x57afcc…
03-26 04:56:35	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	143	96¢	$138	0xdb16ae…