Shy-Turning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$183

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-22 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 0% $-4

Other

24% 0% $-5

Politics

12% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 00:44
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	4	$20	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 10:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	3	$14	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 13:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-07 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 11:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 12:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 16:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	$-5	05-04 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-02 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 15:57
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	1	$3	59	0	+59	Yes	$-3	05-11 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-22 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 23:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$2	42	42	+0	open	—	05-22 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 11:12
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-18 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	467	0	+467	open	—	05-19 11:39
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-08 02:27
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	05-21 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 06:58
Will Bernie Sanders say "OpenAI" or "ChatGPT" in Michigan?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-03 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 23:28:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	42	2¢	$1	0x313ba7…
05-22 23:15:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x797041…
05-22 23:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x850a92…
05-22 21:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa4810e…
05-21 12:00:45	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x39c49e…
05-19 11:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	467	0¢	$1	0xe8d757…
05-18 09:58:39	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4b0fb4…
05-15 22:05:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x8c6354…
05-11 12:54:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0xe5b8a1…
05-11 11:50:09	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x89fcb3…
05-08 11:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xe3bbfa…
05-08 11:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf7f46d…
05-08 11:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x38c413…
05-08 11:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5c7dba…
05-07 04:13:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2e713a…
05-04 23:22:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x18af12…
05-03 23:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6c868a…
05-03 22:20:16	Will Bernie Sanders say "OpenAI" or "ChatGPT" in Michigan?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x623c2a…
05-03 21:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x437773…
05-03 21:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8d742…
05-02 16:37:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x16b63c…
05-02 15:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3ef1f5…
05-02 15:50:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f896d…
05-02 13:01:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x80df7b…
05-02 12:25:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb96ff2…
05-02 11:00:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x17acf0…
05-02 10:46:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6e6563…
05-02 06:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xef40f9…
05-02 06:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x855b49…
05-02 03:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x4e440e…
05-02 03:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa16046…
05-02 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3af0d8…
05-02 01:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd308b5…
05-02 01:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba3bb8…
05-02 00:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc7d3fc…
05-01 10:07:06	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0xf6b563…
05-01 00:15:38	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x28e71a…
05-01 00:01:18	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcd0f3a…
04-30 23:30:54	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xffe2a0…
04-30 11:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe26023…
04-30 11:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x86829a…
04-08 02:27:09	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbc7377…