Realized P&L
-$810
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
101
Trades
134
lifetime
Volume
$13.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$101
Open exposure
$846
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-01 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Crypto
84% 84% -$758
Politics
8% 71% -$33
Other
8% 60% -$20
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +264 $244 96¢ $254 +$10 07-02 10:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +225 $200 98¢ $220 +$20 07-02 10:58
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +212 $200 95¢ $202 +$2 07-02 10:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +119 $104 96¢ $115 +$11 05-19 05:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -249 -$82 22¢ $-54 +$28 05-23 17:58
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 10-01 11:11
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $0 09-18 09:42