Frequent-Blackbird — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$749

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

178

Trades

1,125

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-22 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

64% 37% -$760

Crypto

34% 80% +$91

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Politics

1% 100% +$22

Sports

0% 0% -$103

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 06:00 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	Up	+$11	03-24 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 05:40 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$21	03-24 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:45 UTC	1	$1.0K	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	03-23 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:35 UTC	1	$990	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	+$10	03-23 13:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 13:25 UTC	1	$975	990	0	+990	Down	+$16	03-23 13:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 10:05 UTC	1	$965	975	0	+975	Up	+$10	03-23 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 09:55 UTC	1	$927	965	0	+965	Up	+$39	03-23 09:57
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 22?	2	$800	401	401	+0	No	+$0	05-22 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 9?	14	$560	289	289	+0	No	+$17	05-09 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	3	$443	225	225	+0	No	+$7	05-13 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?	12	$438	505	5	+500	Yes	+$71	05-08 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	3	$432	433	0	+433	Yes	+$1	05-24 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	7	$418	215	215	+0	No	+$11	05-10 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 5?	44	$306	435	225	+210	No	+$6	05-05 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 13?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-13 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 4?	1	$281	281	0	+281	No	+$0	06-04 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?	1	$281	281	0	+281	No	+$0	06-20 04:23
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 23?	1	$281	281	0	+281	Yes	+$0	05-23 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?	1	$277	277	0	+277	No	+$0	06-22 07:28
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$266	266	0	+266	No	+$0	05-25 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 3?	40	$256	250	250	+0	Yes	+$18	05-03 12:39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	7	$254	298	0	+298	Yes	-$254	05-10 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 12?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	05-12 16:26
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 11?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	05-11 08:34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 12?	1	$249	250	0	+250	No	+$1	05-12 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 9?	6	$233	185	185	+0	Yes	+$85	05-09 10:59
Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	3	$232	119	119	+0	No	-$6	05-25 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?	4	$225	228	0	+228	No	+$3	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 9?	4	$222	231	0	+231	No	+$9	05-09 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 5?	26	$214	247	172	+76	Yes	+$86	05-05 11:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 07:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0xb456eb…
06-20 04:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0x280772…
06-17 13:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37de79…
06-17 10:49:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on June 17?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcd2b18…
06-08 04:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xeb3da3…
06-08 04:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 8?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x743e63…
06-08 04:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on June 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd32d98…
06-08 04:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on June 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x15a32f…
06-04 06:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 4?	No	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0xfcdc51…
06-02 08:58:30	Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,532	2¢	$77	0x5f99da…
06-02 06:08:10	Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,709	2¢	$26	0xf7921b…
06-02 05:59:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x2233d1…
05-25 11:46:35	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x7b98af…
05-25 11:44:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xa89605…
05-25 05:06:36	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	SELL	119	95¢	$113	0x1b6d81…
05-25 04:57:54	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1454ab…
05-25 04:56:22	Enhanced Games: Men’s 50m Butterfly World Record Broken?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x155854…
05-25 04:54:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xacb491…
05-25 04:47:10	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$19	0xb2ebc4…
05-25 04:47:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	56	87¢	$49	0xbd93f7…
05-24 05:57:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0xf971be…
05-24 05:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe0f5c6…
05-24 05:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x794054…
05-23 04:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 23?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xcd2bdb…
05-23 04:29:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	281	100¢	$281	0x8ce605…
05-22 17:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 22?	No	SELL	401	100¢	$400	0xba80b1…
05-22 17:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 22?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x412fb2…
05-15 04:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x345a09…
05-15 04:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x554964…
05-15 04:42:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb43da3…
05-15 04:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x69914d…
05-13 18:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xe78ea5…
05-13 17:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	85	98¢	$83	0x3b5016…
05-13 17:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xa0204b…
05-13 17:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x4de5f4…
05-13 11:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6f47de…
05-13 11:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0e4293…
05-13 11:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x96c38d…
05-13 11:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd07966…
05-13 10:55:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x480a8e…
05-13 10:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x1e3569…
05-13 10:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0b3a80…
05-13 10:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x46045d…
05-13 10:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfbfcbc…
05-13 10:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xf8237b…
05-13 10:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbc1601…
05-13 10:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xd7370c…
05-13 10:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x2faf1b…
05-13 10:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x7ee8c3…
05-13 10:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3dd70a…
05-13 09:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x58adf9…
05-13 09:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x70483a…
05-13 07:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x39d4d3…
05-13 07:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x4165a8…
05-13 05:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb87dad…
05-13 05:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 13?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x8827b6…
05-13 05:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x66ae03…
05-12 19:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xa9c964…
05-12 19:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xa9a865…
05-12 19:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xedab2b…
05-12 18:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0x208280…
05-12 17:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x92dcd0…
05-12 17:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe9b1eb…
05-12 16:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x58d68e…
05-12 06:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 12?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x8f7c59…
05-11 16:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x2e73e9…
05-11 08:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb97a4a…
05-11 08:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 11?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x1b8f43…
05-11 05:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xf22300…
05-11 05:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xa08682…
05-10 13:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdbc851…
05-10 09:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8c04cf…
05-10 09:24:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	77	85¢	$66	0xf2aae7…
05-10 09:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xc9432c…
05-10 09:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x7c2f76…
05-10 07:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$8	0x49b70c…
05-10 07:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x6f1b5b…
05-10 07:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x72e60f…
05-10 07:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0x86b086…
05-10 07:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0x4ccb11…
05-10 07:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0x4aee10…
05-10 07:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10?	No	BUY	63	78¢	$49	0x66e07c…
05-10 07:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x7e59aa…
05-10 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x11ad8e…
05-10 07:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x84face…
05-10 07:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe1d5a7…
05-10 07:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0xd45593…
05-10 07:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x5eb7ec…
05-10 06:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 10?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xd02951…
05-10 05:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5fdf9c…
05-10 05:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6d6f0e…
05-10 05:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x5ee263…
05-10 05:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xc8158f…
05-10 04:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x9a7c90…
05-10 04:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe2b59a…
05-10 04:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x514080…
05-10 04:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	37	22¢	$8	0xf43a02…
05-09 10:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	185	86¢	$159	0x54eabb…
05-09 10:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xea5a94…
05-09 10:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 9?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xf1370d…