Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$603
$1,717 in 24h
Trades
60
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$672
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 16:35
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+95.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $3
vs crowd: 4% YES on $577)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 41 | $26 | $509 | $483 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $51 | $50 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $78 | $77 |
| Median | 12 | $5 | $97 | $92 |
| Below median | 10 | $13 | $112 | $99 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $89 | $89 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $110 | $110 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
| unranked | 2 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | +436 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 11:39 |
| Orange-Scrambled 0x66c6…c7bf | Yes | +170 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:56 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +160 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:30 |
| Terrible-Stadium 0xea89…26ab | No | +102 | $102 | $102 | 1 | 05-10 16:01 |
| Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | +90 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-09 18:51 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +89 | $3 | $3 | 6 | 05-10 14:07 |
| Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | +80 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Uneven-Tenet 0xe2af…c477 | No | +75 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-10 02:00 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +65 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:04 |
| French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-10 00:05 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 03:30 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Easy-Menopause 0x8506…2a45 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 22:01 |
| Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-08 22:46 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:02 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 10:56 |
| Relieved-Orchard 0xb28a…834b | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 09:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-10 03:24 |
| Full-Stick 0x4bea…bab9 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 11:54 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 22:16 |
| Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 08:26 |
| Innocent-Pitcher 0xe47a…0777 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-10 16:12 |
| Yawning-Sleepiness 0xc5cd…9aa5 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 15:31 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 22:21 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 13:35 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 13:41 |
| Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 07:29 |
| Lumbering-Back 0xfd9a…18f9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 09:08 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 05:32 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:22 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:27 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:07 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 02:47 |
| Similar-Annual-Aluminium 0xb838…f5d1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 16:35:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58e037… |
| 05-10 16:35:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ff5fd… |
| 05-10 16:35:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2b0bad… |
| 05-10 16:35:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6aa27f… |
| 05-10 16:35:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5315dd… |
| 05-10 16:12:41 | Innocent-Pitcher 0xe47a…0777 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xeb0a34… |
| 05-10 16:01:26 | Terrible-Stadium 0xea89…26ab | No | BUY | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0x0a4863… |
| 05-10 15:31:53 | Yawning-Sleepiness 0xc5cd…9aa5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x41a1e8… |
| 05-10 14:27:26 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x55f78b… |
| 05-10 14:25:39 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xafdc1b… |
| 05-10 14:07:25 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0c43d4… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xea0772… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xec03e0… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x22bc9c… |
| 05-10 14:02:21 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd259ab… |
| 05-10 14:02:15 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdefddd… |
| 05-10 14:02:12 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa723a9… |
| 05-10 14:02:10 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa83ebe… |
| 05-10 14:02:10 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5c57f1… |
| 05-10 14:02:08 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d8bea… |
| 05-10 14:02:08 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe4bf96… |
| 05-10 13:41:42 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x42443c… |
| 05-10 13:35:59 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x938090… |
| 05-10 13:10:50 | Relieved-Orchard 0xb28a…834b | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x965c3f… |
| 05-10 11:39:27 | Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | BUY | 436 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x836e85… |
| 05-10 10:56:16 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x39d447… |
| 05-10 10:07:19 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2017dc… |
| 05-10 09:42:21 | Similar-Annual-Aluminium 0xb838…f5d1 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x9cbfc3… |
| 05-10 09:14:30 | (anonymous) 0x13c9…fcf3 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x6f6dd8… |
| 05-10 09:08:00 | Lumbering-Back 0xfd9a…18f9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xee1203… |
| 05-10 09:04:47 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4ff1cf… |
| 05-10 08:26:33 | Fickle-Covariate 0x1b0e…f132 | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0xe3270b… |
| 05-10 07:36:53 | Frequent-Blackbird 0xdc38…eef3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x86b086… |
| 05-10 07:22:23 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb37697… |
| 05-10 05:52:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x600a6a… |
| 05-10 05:32:38 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa942ee… |
| 05-10 04:57:48 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 11 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x3afea7… |
| 05-10 04:57:41 | French-Boundary 0x3b8c…e802 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xd5d67c… |
| 05-10 04:56:19 | Orange-Scrambled 0x66c6…c7bf | Yes | BUY | 170 | 3¢ | $5 | 0xd9c4e3… |
| 05-10 04:32:05 | Heavenly-Monocle 0x5616…61c1 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x417616… |
| 05-10 03:30:51 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xf1f186… |
| 05-10 03:24:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x946906… |
| 05-10 03:24:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x349dcb… |
| 05-10 03:24:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd8edb9… |
| 05-10 02:47:19 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc09e73… |
| 05-10 02:07:07 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x43a139… |
| 05-10 02:07:07 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x584bc7… |
| 05-10 02:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x9726…1b0d | No | SELL | 26 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x32e845… |
| 05-10 02:00:23 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x35d696… |
| 05-10 02:00:19 | Uneven-Tenet 0xe2af…c477 | No | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x06f07c… |
| 05-10 00:05:35 | (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | BUY | 35 | 98¢ | $34 | 0xbe9715… |
| 05-09 18:51:47 | Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9410d0… |
| 05-09 18:30:36 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 160 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa692a5… |
| 05-08 22:46:31 | Gigantic-Grove 0x0dd8…2b6c | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x9dc856… |
| 05-08 22:21:44 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x10dbe1… |
| 05-08 22:16:48 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x4778b4… |
| 05-08 22:01:40 | Easy-Menopause 0x8506…2a45 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x4dd68f… |
| 05-08 21:06:29 | Prestigious-Chronicle 0xdb04…f9dd | Yes | BUY | 97 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3633c3… |
| 05-08 11:54:36 | Full-Stick 0x4bea…bab9 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x608e62… |
| 05-08 07:29:25 | Frosty-Series 0x8f60…39c4 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1e4a58… |