Likable-Mule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.60K

Unrealized P&L

+$61

Hit rate

94.2%

Resolved

Trades

548

lifetime

Volume

$195.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$357

Open exposure

$238

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-30 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

94% 33% +$3,598

Other

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+342	$177	70¢	$238	+$61	06-30 13:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	134	$52.8K	64,496	65,457	-961	open	—	05-31 17:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	35	$40.5K	50,359	50,359	+0	open	—	05-22 21:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	17	$18.2K	10,427	11,174	-747	open	—	06-04 05:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	39	$9.7K	31,112	31,112	+0	open	—	05-08 18:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	27	$8.3K	43,358	43,358	+0	Yes	+$3,740	05-08 18:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	43	$7.9K	20,636	20,636	+0	open	—	04-30 21:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	18	$7.6K	7,434	7,922	-488	open	—	06-15 08:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$6.0K	3,782	3,782	+0	open	—	05-24 15:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$4.7K	102,797	102,797	+0	open	—	06-02 12:39
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	32	$3.4K	62,492	50,256	+12,237	open	—	06-30 13:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$3.3K	5,518	5,518	+0	open	—	04-22 17:32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$3.2K	1,898	1,898	+0	open	—	05-28 08:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	8	$2.9K	4,505	4,505	+0	open	—	04-22 06:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$2.8K	3,325	3,210	+115	open	—	06-14 21:55
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	14	$2.0K	1,353	1,353	+0	open	—	04-11 05:35
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	9	$1.9K	1,797	1,797	+0	open	—	04-10 18:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	2	$1.6K	784	784	+0	open	—	04-23 17:40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,853	1,853	+0	open	—	04-24 15:11
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	18	$1.0K	9,753	9,753	+0	open	—	04-27 21:39
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$969	11,725	0	+11,725	open	—	06-07 21:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	3	$967	510	510	+0	open	—	04-22 09:47
will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	2	$916	761	761	+0	open	—	06-08 05:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	2	$915	885	885	+0	open	—	05-22 21:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	5	$904	5,329	9,827	-4,499	open	—	06-01 07:48
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$819	625	625	+0	open	—	04-19 17:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	4	$795	902	902	+0	open	—	04-24 17:57
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	4	$722	417	417	+0	open	—	04-22 16:07
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	5	$690	1,618	1,618	+0	open	—	04-22 10:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$658	18,000	13,000	+5,000	open	—	06-15 05:21
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	4	$619	1,201	1,201	+0	open	—	05-21 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 13:13:31	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,200	0¢	$11	0x576910…
06-30 13:13:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0xe76e89…
06-29 21:18:02	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,562	0¢	$22	0x968276…
06-29 21:17:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0x6ff9e8…
06-26 14:36:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0xd0288b…
06-26 06:14:56	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,501	1¢	$20	0x071c1c…
06-24 12:52:44	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,839	1¢	$31	0x6f9e32…
06-24 07:51:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	318	55¢	$175	0x5977f0…
06-24 07:30:37	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,909	1¢	$20	0x5b2b10…
06-17 21:02:49	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	849	3¢	$22	0xc3b1aa…
06-17 14:06:05	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,798	2¢	$56	0xbc2c69…
06-17 13:51:14	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	202	2¢	$4	0x0a2d01…
06-15 08:51:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,445	13¢	$186	0x9b6a0f…
06-15 07:42:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	728	14¢	$100	0x21d202…
06-15 07:41:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	717	14¢	$100	0x518e1e…
06-15 07:28:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,113	2¢	$25	0x1d51e0…
06-15 05:26:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,425	15¢	$219	0xf1c233…
06-15 05:21:04	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$6	0xf5e29c…
06-15 05:03:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	1,425	15¢	$220	0xadf56c…
06-14 21:56:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	748	25¢	$184	0x863254…
06-14 21:55:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,415	13¢	$184	0xa0e6cd…
06-14 21:27:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,415	24¢	$334	0xbd9c60…
06-14 20:27:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x676857…
06-14 20:23:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	616	81¢	$502	0xfca78f…
06-14 20:16:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	291	82¢	$240	0x53d141…
06-14 20:03:03	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	321	75¢	$241	0xb24c87…
06-14 18:59:18	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	358	3¢	$11	0x6fc7ca…
06-14 18:59:06	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	545	3¢	$17	0xb9067a…
06-14 17:08:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	115	53¢	$61	0xdacbe2…
06-14 16:39:01	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,228	2¢	$50	0x0cecae…
06-14 09:09:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	505	75¢	$380	0x35b3af…
06-14 09:09:40	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26,110	1¢	$380	0xff02c0…
06-14 08:59:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	397	76¢	$302	0x613e7d…
06-14 08:59:25	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	18,907	2¢	$302	0x5935f3…
06-13 11:38:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	715	76¢	$546	0x86cb9c…
06-13 11:38:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,051	52¢	$546	0xd5a592…
06-13 11:25:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,051	53¢	$557	0x18b3c5…
06-11 21:06:04	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,087	3¢	$94	0xe103d6…
06-11 21:05:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	108	87¢	$94	0x395dfb…
06-11 17:38:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	430	86¢	$370	0x37df7e…
06-10 11:44:12	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,879	3¢	$95	0x7ab44e…
06-08 20:00:54	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	2,201	2¢	$48	0x125d93…
06-08 15:58:07	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	1,260	4¢	$50	0x72d699…
06-08 08:09:34	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,030	3¢	$100	0x58145e…
06-08 07:59:54	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,030	3¢	$100	0x25873a…
06-08 06:51:42	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	104	13¢	$14	0xcc47a2…
06-08 05:03:33	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	SELL	761	94¢	$716	0x22bbd1…
06-07 21:19:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	920	8¢	$69	0x5baf1a…
06-07 20:58:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10,805	8¢	$900	0x80d78a…
06-07 19:41:46	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	1,077	18¢	$195	0xd9566f…
06-07 19:37:22	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 7 2026	No	BUY	761	26¢	$199	0x440f62…
06-07 18:10:25	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	2¢	$90	0xebda67…
06-07 13:16:22	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x17f46f…
06-06 14:03:36	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,420	1¢	$65	0x0296b6…
06-06 14:01:43	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,297	4¢	$52	0x4c41d7…
06-06 14:01:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12,000	2¢	$252	0xb91994…
06-06 06:27:07	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,086	4¢	$40	0x9a2c5a…
06-06 06:26:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,176	16¢	$188	0xa6ab49…
06-06 06:26:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,846	3¢	$109	0xe99ee6…
06-06 06:26:10	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	Yes	SELL	836	2¢	$19	0x6133f6…
06-06 06:26:06	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	SELL	484	5¢	$23	0xf24c63…
06-05 13:05:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0xfdceaa…
06-05 09:40:06	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	Yes	BUY	836	6¢	$50	0xf668b0…
06-05 09:40:03	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	484	10¢	$50	0xbefc65…
06-05 05:17:36	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,420	2¢	$97	0xbb2775…
06-04 14:05:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8,000	2¢	$200	0x50badc…
06-04 14:03:48	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,846	3¢	$100	0x0e2e4e…
06-04 14:03:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,000	2¢	$100	0x136ca8…
06-04 05:59:52	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,661	5¢	$78	0x240a7a…
06-04 05:59:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2,072	95¢	$1,977	0x00d088…
06-03 16:55:30	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	1,003	32¢	$321	0x12b04e…
06-03 16:13:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	633	5¢	$31	0xc6638f…
06-03 15:55:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,072	97¢	$2,000	0x416c72…
06-03 11:46:49	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	155	5¢	$7	0x2bb41b…
06-03 08:25:37	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$22	0xcb6442…
06-03 08:04:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	2,515	95¢	$2,390	0xfcf038…
06-02 20:32:47	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11,761	4¢	$500	0xa9fcd3…
06-02 19:10:41	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,137	5¢	$100	0xb6efa1…
06-02 16:47:42	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	247	5¢	$13	0x4a3bee…
06-02 16:13:10	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,045	5¢	$100	0x64f6e7…
06-02 16:04:24	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,160	5¢	$100	0xd7dfdc…
06-02 16:02:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,390	5¢	$200	0x245c1b…
06-02 16:02:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1,078	94¢	$1,013	0x96513d…
06-02 15:26:18	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,918	5¢	$233	0x5b1261…
06-02 15:25:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	272	85¢	$232	0xc73696…
06-02 14:00:42	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	1,502	15¢	$225	0xc4e3a2…
06-02 14:00:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	272	85¢	$232	0xa2ef0d…
06-02 12:45:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	545	87¢	$474	0xf0206e…
06-02 12:43:24	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xe34506…
06-02 12:39:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100,000	1¢	$600	0x8325c6…
06-01 17:34:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,846	93¢	$2,647	0x6a0211…
06-01 17:14:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x1f5938…
06-01 17:01:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	671	6¢	$40	0xb1e318…
06-01 17:00:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,797	97¢	$2,713	0xa88c35…
06-01 14:12:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,148	49¢	$563	0xed82b6…
06-01 14:12:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	744	77¢	$573	0x82f3cc…
06-01 14:09:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,648	41¢	$676	0x041536…
06-01 14:08:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	747	93¢	$695	0xcc24d4…
06-01 09:04:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	798	94¢	$750	0xa01d2f…
06-01 08:54:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	744	76¢	$563	0x8d71db…