Muffled-Exile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$1.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-21 10:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$2

Sports

25% 0% $-17

Tech

12% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	23	$144	86	86	+0	open	—	05-13 16:31
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	25	$120	142	142	+0	open	—	05-20 10:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$100	58	58	+0	open	—	04-27 16:34
bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	2	$66	275	275	+0	open	—	06-07 13:01
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	11	$56	39	39	+0	open	—	05-18 18:32
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	10	$46	59	59	+0	open	—	05-06 08:33
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	05-02 09:39
Knicks vs. 76ers	3	$43	60	40	+20	Knicks	$-17	05-08 23:23
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$42	41	41	+0	open	—	05-02 09:41
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	12	$40	62	52	+10	open	—	05-19 00:00
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	05-06 20:20
mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 00:17
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	14	$35	1,322	764	+558	open	—	05-19 11:33
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$27	32	30	+2	open	—	05-20 10:44
mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	3	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 01:08
nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	3	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	06-12 01:36
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$23	45	45	+0	open	—	04-09 13:17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$19	60	59	+2	open	—	04-27 22:29
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 00:53
Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	3	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	04-30 21:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 16:05
mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	3	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	06-13 00:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 09:46
will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	2	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	06-13 02:03
Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 02:48
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 21:01
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$10	6	6	+0	Team Vitality	+$2	05-04 17:36
mlb sea bal 2026 06 10	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-10 22:20
mlb bos tb 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-08 21:17
mlb stl nym 2026 06 10 total 7pt5	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	06-10 22:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 10:50:49	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xd89630…
06-18 18:44:58	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xd19a72…
06-17 13:00:13	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xbf1c53…
06-17 12:59:02	will portugal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120775	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x0a6574…
06-15 10:31:36	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x3269a9…
06-15 10:29:34	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9d5730…
06-13 04:47:04	will south korea reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120736	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x3e7131…
06-13 02:04:00	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x04d004…
06-13 02:03:21	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0561cf…
06-13 01:45:19	will usa reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120747	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1382ff…
06-13 00:53:30	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xbee860…
06-12 23:41:22	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xfaf327…
06-12 23:41:16	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xc5e166…
06-12 18:13:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x11b622…
06-12 01:36:21	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xcd3781…
06-12 01:08:24	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x3d641b…
06-12 00:59:12	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x1b2922…
06-12 00:45:30	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0xbf28c2…
06-12 00:17:58	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	Over	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x04ada9…
06-11 22:34:13	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xdcb220…
06-11 22:32:33	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8c14c1…
06-11 22:31:37	mlb lad pit 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xabde7e…
06-10 22:20:21	mlb sea bal 2026 06 10	Seattle Mariners	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x77d971…
06-10 22:19:19	mlb stl nym 2026 06 10 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb3223a…
06-08 21:17:33	mlb bos tb 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7b08e3…
06-07 13:01:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	275	13¢	$36	0x47ffe5…
06-07 02:15:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	275	11¢	$30	0xd5ef4b…
05-28 15:53:05	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x160ec5…
05-20 10:45:21	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8fa7…
05-20 10:44:47	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x28b17e…
05-20 02:58:13	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2c9c1e…
05-19 12:31:49	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0542a2…
05-19 11:33:29	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4707ae…
05-19 11:22:03	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3548b0…
05-19 00:00:13	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x552c15…
05-18 23:41:19	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x44a734…
05-18 22:00:24	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	546	1¢	$5	0x37e697…
05-18 18:32:02	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xeebcdc…
05-18 18:12:19	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xe30392…
05-17 16:28:23	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x556e39…
05-17 15:28:41	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xb92755…
05-17 15:07:34	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xa7ff74…
05-17 12:19:35	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x7ac41f…
05-16 15:10:28	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x2daa92…
05-16 15:08:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x08b0c9…
05-16 14:57:10	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	892	0¢	$3	0xd8d531…
05-16 13:51:57	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdf090f…
05-15 13:04:44	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xd63092…
05-15 01:13:20	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x369b5a…
05-14 06:20:42	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x0cad92…
05-14 06:12:30	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x20e5fd…
05-14 04:42:37	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0xfb7ee7…
05-13 16:31:16	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x24c9db…
05-13 14:20:13	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x37ff54…
05-13 13:35:02	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x53036a…
05-13 13:13:39	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x5ae2db…
05-08 23:23:04	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x289c52…
05-08 23:22:03	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xc523f5…
05-08 22:29:21	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x6a8c55…
05-07 00:22:31	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x87868b…
05-06 20:20:30	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc69928…
05-06 09:48:26	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x30ab5e…
05-06 08:33:18	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xa165d1…
05-04 20:40:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x9ccfd7…
05-04 17:36:54	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3cb462…
05-04 00:54:00	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1094fc…
05-04 00:53:40	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaad5a9…
05-03 10:57:12	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2d40b9…
05-03 10:36:58	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0dabff…
05-03 10:27:12	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2021d1…
05-02 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6fac45…
05-02 13:25:18	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x11d739…
05-02 09:41:14	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xc0e33a…
05-02 09:39:38	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xbd067e…
05-02 05:35:32	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x51e2c3…
05-02 02:30:44	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x231347…
05-01 22:57:26	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x994ada…
05-01 16:34:26	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x93c535…
05-01 14:55:26	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x83efe0…
05-01 12:42:56	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x6643bc…
05-01 00:37:12	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x198a40…
04-30 21:33:02	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1490b6…
04-30 16:07:12	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdd66b3…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd8a278…
04-30 10:32:20	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0xbd4be0…
04-30 09:26:32	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbdfd08…
04-30 09:15:34	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xc74d2e…
04-30 09:13:00	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x3f0527…
04-30 02:48:26	Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1456f7…
04-29 21:01:44	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Keyd	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4d9b84…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xf6c89b…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xa01c1c…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x34dc25…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x1990ba…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x0baad1…
04-29 09:23:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe33f8a…
04-29 09:23:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x512499…
04-29 09:23:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x034729…
04-29 09:21:50	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x593aac…
04-28 21:28:48	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9b6ca7…