Muffled-Exile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.5%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 06-08 21:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$2

Tech

14% — —

Sports

14% 0% $-17

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	23	$144	86	86	+0	open	—	05-13 16:31
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	25	$120	142	142	+0	open	—	05-20 10:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	8	$100	58	58	+0	open	—	04-27 16:34
bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	2	$66	275	275	+0	open	—	06-07 13:01
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	11	$56	39	39	+0	open	—	05-18 18:32
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	10	$46	59	59	+0	open	—	05-06 08:33
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	05-02 09:39
Knicks vs. 76ers	3	$43	60	40	+20	Knicks	$-17	05-08 23:23
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	6	$42	41	41	+0	open	—	05-02 09:41
Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	12	$40	62	52	+10	open	—	05-19 00:00
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	05-06 20:20
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	14	$35	1,322	764	+558	open	—	05-19 11:33
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	7	$27	32	30	+2	open	—	05-20 10:44
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$23	45	45	+0	open	—	04-09 13:17
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	5	$19	60	59	+2	open	—	04-27 22:29
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 00:53
Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	3	$16	21	0	+21	open	—	04-30 21:33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 16:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 09:46
Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 02:48
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 21:01
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	2	$10	6	6	+0	Team Vitality	+$2	05-04 17:36
mlb bos tb 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-08 21:17
bra cru bra 2026 04 12 bra	3	$9	27	27	+1	open	—	04-12 22:54
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	5	$9	26	26	+0	open	—	04-23 22:31
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-03 10:57
Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-21 22:49
btc updown 5m 1775855400	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-02 14:12
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-11 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:17:33	mlb bos tb 2026 06 08 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7b08e3…
06-07 13:01:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	Yes	SELL	275	13¢	$36	0x47ffe5…
06-07 02:15:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	275	11¢	$30	0xd5ef4b…
05-28 15:53:05	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x160ec5…
05-20 10:45:21	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2d8fa7…
05-20 10:44:47	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x28b17e…
05-20 02:58:13	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2c9c1e…
05-19 12:31:49	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0542a2…
05-19 11:33:29	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x4707ae…
05-19 11:22:03	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3548b0…
05-19 00:00:13	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x552c15…
05-18 23:41:19	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x44a734…
05-18 22:00:24	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	546	1¢	$5	0x37e697…
05-18 18:32:02	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xeebcdc…
05-18 18:12:19	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xe30392…
05-17 16:28:23	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x556e39…
05-17 15:28:41	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xb92755…
05-17 15:07:34	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xa7ff74…
05-17 12:19:35	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x7ac41f…
05-16 15:10:28	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x2daa92…
05-16 15:08:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x08b0c9…
05-16 14:57:10	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	892	0¢	$3	0xd8d531…
05-16 13:51:57	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdf090f…
05-15 13:04:44	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xd63092…
05-15 01:13:20	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x369b5a…
05-14 06:20:42	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x0cad92…
05-14 06:12:30	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x20e5fd…
05-14 04:42:37	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	54	0¢	$0	0xfb7ee7…
05-13 16:31:16	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x24c9db…
05-13 14:20:13	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	39	88¢	$34	0x37ff54…
05-13 13:35:02	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x53036a…
05-13 13:13:39	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0x5ae2db…
05-08 23:23:04	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x289c52…
05-08 23:22:03	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xc523f5…
05-08 22:29:21	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x6a8c55…
05-07 00:22:31	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0x87868b…
05-06 20:20:30	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xc69928…
05-06 09:48:26	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x30ab5e…
05-06 08:33:18	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xa165d1…
05-04 20:40:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x9ccfd7…
05-04 17:36:54	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3cb462…
05-04 00:54:00	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1094fc…
05-04 00:53:40	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xaad5a9…
05-03 10:57:12	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x2d40b9…
05-03 10:36:58	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0dabff…
05-03 10:27:12	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Pistons	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2021d1…
05-02 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6fac45…
05-02 13:25:18	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x11d739…
05-02 09:41:14	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xc0e33a…
05-02 09:39:38	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xbd067e…
05-02 05:35:32	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x51e2c3…
05-02 02:30:44	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x231347…
05-01 22:57:26	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x994ada…
05-01 16:34:26	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x93c535…
05-01 14:55:26	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x83efe0…
05-01 12:42:56	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x6643bc…
05-01 00:37:12	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x198a40…
04-30 21:33:02	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x1490b6…
04-30 16:07:12	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdd66b3…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd8a278…
04-30 10:32:20	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0xbd4be0…
04-30 09:26:32	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xbdfd08…
04-30 09:15:34	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xc74d2e…
04-30 09:13:00	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x3f0527…
04-30 02:48:26	Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x1456f7…
04-29 21:01:44	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Keyd	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4d9b84…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xf6c89b…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xa01c1c…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x34dc25…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x1990ba…
04-29 09:23:42	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x0baad1…
04-29 09:23:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xe33f8a…
04-29 09:23:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x512499…
04-29 09:23:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x034729…
04-29 09:21:50	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x593aac…
04-28 21:28:48	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x9b6ca7…
04-28 21:24:34	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xb2189c…
04-28 10:19:10	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x8ef0b2…
04-28 08:29:58	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x879b32…
04-28 06:07:46	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x478c5f…
04-28 04:36:28	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x121716…
04-28 01:54:24	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xddafbb…
04-28 01:45:26	Will Pittsburgh Penguins advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x98f099…
04-28 00:06:14	Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3d8e9a…
04-27 22:29:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x309bdf…
04-27 22:15:28	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x96a02c…
04-27 21:24:10	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x839ac5…
04-27 21:20:20	Will Edmonton Oilers advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x193bc1…
04-27 16:34:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x52068a…
04-27 13:07:08	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1ce545…
04-27 01:52:54	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Keyd	BUY	1	78¢	$0	0x30c20a…
04-27 00:08:54	Guadalupe FC vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x044616…
04-26 20:24:38	Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stage	Keyd	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x11d343…
04-26 18:11:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x67dfef…
04-26 06:11:48	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xa345f1…
04-25 23:56:34	Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x37a484…
04-25 22:48:32	Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9c806e…
04-25 15:52:06	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x72571e…
04-25 00:49:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x4f2e80…
04-24 23:30:24	Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	24	39¢	$9	0x4c0f92…