Marvelous-Message 0xdd9f3d…257f50
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$9.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$576
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
275
Trades
1,880
lifetime
Volume
$197.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$3.35K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 10-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
56% 55% -$2,556
Other
44% 61% -$6,833
Tech
0% 0% -$73
Crypto
0% 88% -$3
Sports
0% 50% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,082 $685 68¢ $730 +$46 10-20 17:50
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -619 -$399 81¢ $-501 -$102 06-26 20:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +673 $214 73¢ $492 +$277 10-26 23:41
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +522 $386 82¢ $425 +$39 10-29 14:52
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +500 $320 68¢ $338 +$18 10-14 18:42
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -476 -$256 70¢ $-334 -$78 07-02 18:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,000 $477 3¢ $274 -$202 10-19 18:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +200 $106 38¢ $76 -$30 10-19 21:04
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes -172 -$96 41¢ $-71 +$26 08-05 06:25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -360 -$52 15¢ $-52 $0 06-17 04:01
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -47 -$30 91¢ $-43 -$13 05-11 00:40
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -12 -$52 82¢ $-10 +$42 07-16 01:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -3 -$3 97¢ $-3 $0 06-22 05:07
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 06-22 05:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 06-23 03:51
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 03:51
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +0 -$555 22¢ $0 +$555 10-19 11:30