Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$167

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 11-05 05:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

47% 83% +$5

Politics

26% 100% +$8

Sports

12% 100% +$2

Crypto

9% 100% +$1

Tech

7% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+63	$59	96¢	$61	+$2	11-05 05:08
Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	No	+55	$55	99¢	$55	$0	11-02 01:44
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	+55	$54	94¢	$52	-$2	09-27 19:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	5	$111	58	58	+0	No	+$0	07-15 19:09
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	3	$111	56	56	+0	No	+$0	07-31 06:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	3	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	08-13 17:33
Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	3	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	09-18 16:29
Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	2	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$0	08-13 20:04
netanyahu out by july 31	2	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$0	06-28 17:45
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	3	$107	56	56	+0	open	—	09-19 00:38
Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	2	$107	54	54	+0	No	+$0	08-28 09:44
Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	5	$107	55	55	-0	No	$0	05-05 17:09
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$106	54	54	+0	Yes	+$0	07-04 05:38
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	3	$105	53	53	+0	open	—	07-27 00:05
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	2	$104	53	53	+0	Yes	+$0	11-03 13:27
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$102	55	55	+0	No	+$2	05-04 13:19
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	08-20 14:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	-$1	05-13 14:18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 07:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	2	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	09-21 05:40
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	2	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-10 16:31
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	2	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-19 09:49
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	06-01 17:58
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-22 07:43
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	2	$95	49	49	+0	No	+$2	05-14 08:15
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	5	$93	49	49	+0	No	+$0	05-11 14:10
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	1	$60	64	0	+64	open	—	09-30 21:10
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$59	63	0	+63	open	—	11-05 05:08
Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	1	$55	55	0	+55	open	—	11-02 01:44
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	04-29 12:25
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	8	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	09-27 19:55
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	1	$53	55	0	+55	No	+$2	04-29 09:57
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$53	53	0	+53	Yes	+$0	06-12 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 05:08:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0x06a381…
11-03 13:27:24	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xe7076c…
11-02 01:44:09	Will Cole Young win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x09557a…
09-30 21:10:17	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$60	0xc9042a…
09-27 19:55:08	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xcbf129…
09-21 12:49:14	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa4052f…
09-21 12:49:09	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x88dd75…
09-21 12:49:05	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc58840…
09-21 12:49:03	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdf3be7…
09-21 12:49:00	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x915ac0…
09-21 12:48:57	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xedb7ce…
09-21 12:48:56	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe3ffa7…
09-21 05:40:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0x6f7430…
09-19 00:38:24	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0x6f10e4…
09-18 16:29:43	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x3dd40b…
09-11 06:40:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x779722…
09-09 10:16:49	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x560b5f…
09-03 16:02:30	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa30e28…
08-29 18:13:40	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xcce2aa…
08-28 09:44:27	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x85f4cf…
08-26 21:53:43	Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$54	0x7601cb…
08-20 14:52:42	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x0215f1…
08-13 20:04:33	Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x7a4be0…
08-13 17:33:04	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd12c56…
08-13 17:33:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa0eb2b…
08-11 20:31:22	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xf0cf10…
08-10 14:06:54	Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xd22273…
07-31 06:21:42	Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xacacdf…
07-31 06:19:42	Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x53ce73…
07-28 12:24:14	Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x0f6532…
07-27 00:05:25	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x936826…
07-22 06:30:16	Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0x46b114…
07-15 19:09:43	Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x9489d7…
07-11 02:09:59	Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x29a7cb…
07-09 20:37:22	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f8f45…
07-09 16:32:58	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$20	0xa79fb1…
07-09 15:11:37	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x0c9629…
07-07 06:20:38	Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xf3e122…
07-05 16:21:26	Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x552604…
07-04 05:38:31	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x59e9cf…
06-28 17:45:55	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x9bad8c…
06-27 16:10:02	Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x08ced6…
06-22 09:11:49	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x8d9670…
06-15 07:24:10	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xee6249…
06-14 08:31:22	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xcbacf2…
06-12 16:05:33	Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x37ea78…
06-10 21:51:13	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x0e7b9b…
06-10 21:51:01	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x47165c…
06-10 16:31:04	OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xe444fc…
06-06 15:40:28	Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x572797…
06-02 08:43:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xc2f54f…
06-01 17:58:57	Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x8f121f…
05-31 09:06:28	GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0xbee15a…
05-25 07:58:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x464068…
05-22 19:50:49	OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x53001c…
05-22 07:43:40	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x8ec02f…
05-21 10:42:39	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb29549…
05-19 19:46:48	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x19ebff…
05-19 09:49:09	Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x0605aa…
05-19 08:10:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd588f6…
05-15 19:01:06	Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xfea8ac…
05-14 13:02:14	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x98fcb5…
05-14 08:15:09	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0xe73f28…
05-13 14:18:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb0955e…
05-12 15:13:34	Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x34722b…
05-11 14:10:56	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x43108a…
05-09 15:55:35	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0x480fe5…
05-09 09:32:32	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x86bd09…
05-09 09:32:06	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x55e7c8…
05-07 21:47:33	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0x25a725…
05-05 23:37:02	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	49	95¢	$47	0x4959ee…
05-05 17:09:02	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x8d2140…
05-05 17:05:00	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xbccf80…
05-05 17:02:08	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xb984f5…
05-05 16:57:34	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x4ae688…
05-04 13:19:38	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xfc3bfc…
05-04 13:19:36	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xab6d5f…
05-03 03:21:22	Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x67b0a9…
04-30 05:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf7cb4b…
04-30 02:24:46	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x0767c4…
04-29 12:25:50	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xd9b596…
04-29 10:41:10	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8d7536…
04-29 09:57:44	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0xe63ae5…
04-14 10:15:39	Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x0dde65…