(anonymous) 0xded398…86adfd
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$286
Unrealized P&L
+$400
Hit rate
45.3%
Resolved
31
Trades
1,309
lifetime
Volume
$71.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$68.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% — —
Sports
23% 48% -$286
Other
22% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +11,030 $10,732 100¢ $11.0K +$287 10-08 20:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11,284 $9,928 88¢ $10.0K +$59 10-16 08:55
Iran leadership change by October 31? No +9,224 $9,018 99¢ $9.2K +$146 10-08 23:54
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +6,959 $6,630 95¢ $6.6K -$1 10-19 01:49
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +7,090 $6,511 92¢ $6.6K +$47 10-16 14:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +3,909 $3,395 86¢ $3.4K -$14 10-25 23:24
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +3,054 $2,944 96¢ $2.9K -$20 10-26 17:06
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,180 $2,116 97¢ $2.1K +$6 10-26 11:45
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +2,161 $2,033 92¢ $2.0K -$47 10-19 22:06
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,901 $1,858 98¢ $1.9K +$12 10-17 11:32
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,740 $1,690 98¢ $1.7K +$13 10-10 05:34
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? No +1,597 $1,572 99¢ $1.6K +$9 10-16 02:33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +11,284 $1,388 12¢ $1.3K -$91 10-17 11:33
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,336 $1,291 97¢ $1.3K +$4 09-26 14:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,379 $1,303 94¢ $1.3K -$14 10-26 12:23
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +1,151 $1,085 92¢ $1.1K -$32 10-16 16:42
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +762 $711 94¢ $714 +$3 10-23 21:38
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +7,090 $579 8¢ $532 -$48 10-20 01:40
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +529 $518 98¢ $518 +$0 10-26 20:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +500 $465 94¢ $472 +$7 09-24 22:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,471 $463 14¢ $469 +$5 10-24 14:44
New pandemic in 2026? No +409 $390 97¢ $395 +$5 10-17 18:18
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +6,959 $348 5¢ $331 -$18 10-19 18:26
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +291 $286 98¢ $284 -$2 09-18 16:28
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +264 $257 97¢ $257 $0 09-15 07:55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +250 $242 96¢ $240 -$2 10-19 23:36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +2,161 $136 8¢ $175 +$39 10-18 08:03
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +2,508 $104 4¢ $107 +$3 10-26 17:06
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +1,151 $74 8¢ $98 +$24 10-20 05:41
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,200 $60 6¢ $78 +$18 10-26 00:23