Absolute-Comprehension — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

18,379 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$61.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-19 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% -$1,527

Other

1% 56% -$31

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1594 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	—	+37	$19	99¢	$37	+$18	10-28 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	—	+13	$10	1¢	$0	-$9	10-28 23:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	79	$253	278	257	+21	Down	-$11	08-20 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	78	$236	265	265	+0	Down	+$11	08-20 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	71	$203	221	210	+11	Down	+$6	08-19 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	47	$202	441	0	+441	Down	+$24	10-16 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC	59	$196	247	239	+8	Down	+$11	08-20 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	71	$195	215	210	+5	Up	+$10	08-20 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	41	$169	410	0	+410	Down	+$76	10-15 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC	51	$163	196	186	+10	Up	-$1	08-17 14:13
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	128	$159	1,926	1,906	+19	No	-$30	03-17 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	45	$159	332	0	+332	Down	-$8	10-15 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	37	$155	298	0	+298	Up	+$2	10-15 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:45 UTC	54	$155	180	167	+13	Up	+$2	08-20 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:15 UTC	52	$153	170	156	+14	Down	-$5	08-20 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	36	$148	352	0	+352	Down	+$68	10-15 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	46	$147	183	170	+14	Down	-$4	08-20 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:30 UTC	42	$146	177	161	+16	Up	+$3	08-19 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	40	$145	309	0	+309	Down	-$13	10-15 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	39	$145	353	0	+353	Up	+$6	10-15 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	47	$143	162	162	+0	Up	+$2	08-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	40	$141	149	143	+6	Up	-$7	08-20 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	34	$139	284	0	+284	Down	-$18	10-15 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	44	$138	282	0	+282	Up	+$9	10-14 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	47	$136	154	141	+13	Down	-$4	08-20 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:15 UTC	37	$135	162	148	+14	Down	+$4	08-19 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	34	$134	330	0	+330	Up	+$56	10-15 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	37	$129	282	0	+282	Down	-$10	10-15 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 13:45 UTC	53	$125	152	130	+22	Down	-$3	08-17 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	52	$123	166	164	+2	Up	+$11	08-27 12:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$118	151	151	+0	Yes	-$3	04-26 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	45	$114	137	134	+3	Down	+$1	08-21 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa4d746…
10-28 23:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe5ab01…
10-28 23:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x22f05c…
10-28 23:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0xf66cef…
10-28 23:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x935bef…
10-28 23:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x9bd65b…
10-28 23:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x68db71…
10-28 22:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xb7bd1a…
10-28 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xf1fe68…
10-28 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x89b993…
10-28 22:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xadc7b1…
10-28 22:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x22725b…
10-28 22:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbdb7d5…
10-19 12:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x74529e…
10-19 12:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4ee3ed…
10-19 12:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x44d5ef…
10-19 12:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xcea21b…
10-19 12:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa70443…
10-19 12:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf62e9b…
10-19 12:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3fae87…
10-19 12:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x19eeb3…
10-19 12:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0xc09d2d…
10-19 12:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x8b9512…
10-19 12:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x221083…
10-19 12:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc74599…
10-19 12:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf15111…
10-19 11:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x61783e…
10-19 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x93c268…
10-19 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xde34b9…
10-19 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xe11a74…
10-19 11:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4932ac…
10-19 11:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x72dfed…
10-19 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe6dec4…
10-19 11:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x828712…
10-19 11:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xf2eb0e…
10-19 11:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf38a48…
10-19 11:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x933523…
10-19 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xe1378b…
10-19 11:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xb49545…
10-19 11:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x5a8719…
10-19 11:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa0640e…
10-19 11:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb8b23f…
10-19 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8c1151…
10-19 11:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8977b8…
10-19 11:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xd2bc1a…
10-19 11:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xf6259a…
10-19 11:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x3778ba…
10-19 11:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x0f1c1e…
10-19 11:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xded2e4…
10-19 11:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd72f97…
10-19 11:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0x5adbf5…
10-19 11:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x6beec5…
10-19 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x888f7f…
10-19 11:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x7d3528…
10-19 11:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7c9c56…
10-19 11:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x825804…
10-19 11:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x897755…
10-19 11:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xba16df…
10-19 10:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x65ec17…
10-19 10:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x7ff8be…
10-19 10:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x61f2fa…
10-19 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x8a4d75…
10-19 10:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x887d25…
10-19 10:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3e8040…
10-19 10:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7ec4f2…
10-19 10:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7f7474…
10-19 10:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x3454a0…
10-19 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x420738…
10-19 10:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x40769a…
10-19 10:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xacab73…
10-19 10:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x827db6…
10-19 10:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc46a45…
10-19 10:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x56b050…
10-19 10:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x31bd2c…
10-19 10:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x73381a…
10-19 10:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3d7319…
10-19 10:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xe16107…
10-19 10:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x1a330f…
10-19 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x138e02…
10-19 10:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x001208…
10-19 10:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x3e9f56…
10-19 10:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0301d4…
10-19 10:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x015250…
10-19 10:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x2ffffa…
10-19 10:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xefc0c9…
10-19 10:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xed4bb5…
10-19 10:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xe71087…
10-19 10:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x86d7c1…
10-19 10:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x69251a…
10-19 10:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x90aa8c…
10-19 10:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x085e09…
10-19 10:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3c6862…
10-19 09:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xb9a5ca…
10-19 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb9cf19…
10-19 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6d0844…
10-19 09:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x9e09e6…
10-19 09:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x730110…
10-19 09:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1e4db0…
10-19 09:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4919b4…
10-19 09:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xd40dd1…