Absolute-Comprehension — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.31K

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,945

Trades (90d)

15,433

18,794 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$49.9K

$62.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-29 21:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% -$1,589

Other

1% 56% -$31

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 1594 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	—	+12	$9	99¢	$12	+$3	10-29 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	—	+81	$16	1¢	$1	-$15	10-29 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	79	$253	278	257	+21	Down	-$11	08-20 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	78	$236	265	265	+0	Down	+$11	08-20 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	71	$203	221	210	+11	Down	+$6	08-19 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	47	$202	441	0	+441	Down	+$24	10-16 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC	59	$196	247	239	+8	Down	+$11	08-20 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	71	$195	215	210	+5	Up	+$10	08-20 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	41	$169	410	0	+410	Down	+$76	10-15 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC	51	$163	196	186	+10	Up	-$1	08-17 14:13
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	128	$159	1,926	1,906	+19	No	-$30	03-17 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	45	$159	332	0	+332	Down	-$8	10-15 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	37	$155	298	0	+298	Up	+$2	10-15 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:45 UTC	54	$155	180	167	+13	Up	+$2	08-20 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:15 UTC	52	$153	170	156	+14	Down	-$5	08-20 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	36	$148	352	0	+352	Down	+$68	10-15 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	46	$147	183	170	+14	Down	-$4	08-20 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:30 UTC	42	$146	177	161	+16	Up	+$3	08-19 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	40	$145	309	0	+309	Down	-$13	10-15 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	39	$145	353	0	+353	Up	+$6	10-15 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	47	$143	162	162	+0	Up	+$2	08-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	40	$141	149	143	+6	Up	-$7	08-20 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	34	$139	284	0	+284	Down	-$18	10-15 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	44	$138	282	0	+282	Up	+$9	10-14 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	47	$136	154	141	+13	Down	-$4	08-20 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:15 UTC	37	$135	162	148	+14	Down	+$4	08-19 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	34	$134	330	0	+330	Up	+$56	10-15 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	37	$129	282	0	+282	Down	-$10	10-15 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 13:45 UTC	53	$125	152	130	+22	Down	-$3	08-17 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	52	$123	166	164	+2	Up	+$11	08-27 12:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$118	151	151	+0	Yes	-$3	04-26 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	45	$114	137	134	+3	Down	+$1	08-21 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xfadeda…
10-29 21:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc170cc…
10-29 21:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xe18f50…
10-29 21:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x406fb0…
10-29 21:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8f1ec8…
10-29 21:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xde9e77…
10-29 21:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd875ef…
10-29 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x30bf4d…
10-29 21:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x53c7f6…
10-29 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x24ef00…
10-29 20:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xae1c37…
10-29 20:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xc5f19f…
10-29 20:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xb05bb2…
10-29 20:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xdc682d…
10-29 20:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd7f738…
10-29 20:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4733f7…
10-29 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xc92740…
10-29 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x8bf9d1…
10-29 20:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xeb39e0…
10-29 20:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x384db2…
10-29 20:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4ed513…
10-29 20:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa820a4…
10-29 20:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd17af4…
10-29 20:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xa523d4…
10-29 20:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2a81c2…
10-29 20:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0f161a…
10-29 20:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x82ed0b…
10-29 20:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x468926…
10-29 20:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x1cc914…
10-29 20:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0x9e0a7a…
10-29 20:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x10729b…
10-29 20:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x398ad1…
10-29 20:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8b19d6…
10-29 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xaf036d…
10-29 20:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xefc611…
10-29 20:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x5eabf5…
10-29 20:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x49724c…
10-29 20:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc1b9eb…
10-29 20:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x357816…
10-29 19:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x343b62…
10-29 19:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x56e0ec…
10-29 19:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xeb8336…
10-29 19:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf83463…
10-29 19:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xdf01a7…
10-29 19:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0x212641…
10-29 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1d8f21…
10-29 19:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x809ac6…
10-29 19:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5c9805…
10-29 19:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x92a879…
10-29 19:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x66dd78…
10-29 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4502b0…
10-29 19:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x076879…
10-29 19:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4ba359…
10-29 19:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xb28a9d…
10-29 19:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x3d5e25…
10-29 19:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x07ea9b…
10-29 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xef2bac…
10-29 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x56fb9f…
10-29 19:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xca83ba…
10-29 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc724da…
10-29 19:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x6aed48…
10-29 19:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa9ed68…
10-29 17:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x5acac3…
10-29 17:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x043899…
10-29 17:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6cb328…
10-29 17:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x1c53a2…
10-29 17:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x320b40…
10-29 17:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe046a6…
10-29 17:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x0bf0f7…
10-29 17:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x661d85…
10-29 17:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc9dbde…
10-29 17:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x4a25ed…
10-29 17:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xc6d00c…
10-29 17:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xea4891…
10-29 17:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa1687b…
10-29 17:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xe674c1…
10-29 17:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xe52dd1…
10-29 17:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x2468c0…
10-29 17:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x312ec5…
10-29 16:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x9d2594…
10-29 16:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xea29b7…
10-29 16:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x7328d1…
10-29 16:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x248367…
10-29 16:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x90c26f…
10-29 16:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x7cbeb5…
10-29 16:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9530be…
10-29 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc439cb…
10-29 16:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x09e5a9…
10-29 16:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x23beb9…
10-29 16:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x75c825…
10-29 16:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe204be…
10-29 16:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x8a4c1e…
10-29 16:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xbef02e…
10-29 16:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xececfe…
10-29 16:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1faec9…
10-29 16:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xe7c8c6…
10-29 16:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x468f1d…
10-29 15:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x881997…
10-29 15:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x10f2b3…
10-29 15:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xc864a9…