Absolute-Comprehension — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1.27K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

42.3%

Resolved (90d)

1,886

Trades (90d)

15,036

18,343 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$48.5K

$61.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-29 00:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% -$1,531

Other

1% 56% -$31

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 1594 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down		+51	$30	98¢	$50	+$21	10-29 00:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up		+106	$34	2¢	$2	-$32	10-29 00:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 02:45 UTC	79	$253	278	257	+21	Down	-$11	08-20 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	78	$236	265	265	+0	Down	+$11	08-20 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:45 UTC	71	$203	221	210	+11	Down	+$6	08-19 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	47	$202	441	0	+441	Down	+$24	10-16 02:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC	59	$196	247	239	+8	Down	+$11	08-20 05:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	71	$195	215	210	+5	Up	+$10	08-20 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	41	$169	410	0	+410	Down	+$76	10-15 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 14:00 UTC	51	$163	196	186	+10	Up	-$1	08-17 14:13
cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	128	$159	1,926	1,906	+19	No	-$30	03-17 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	45	$159	332	0	+332	Down	-$8	10-15 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	37	$155	298	0	+298	Up	+$2	10-15 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 03:45 UTC	54	$155	180	167	+13	Up	+$2	08-20 03:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:15 UTC	52	$153	170	156	+14	Down	-$5	08-20 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	36	$148	352	0	+352	Down	+$68	10-15 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 09:15 UTC	46	$147	183	170	+14	Down	-$4	08-20 09:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 14:30 UTC	42	$146	177	161	+16	Up	+$3	08-19 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	40	$145	309	0	+309	Down	-$13	10-15 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	39	$145	353	0	+353	Up	+$6	10-15 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	47	$143	162	162	+0	Up	+$2	08-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 08:15 UTC	40	$141	149	143	+6	Up	-$7	08-20 08:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	34	$139	284	0	+284	Down	-$18	10-15 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	44	$138	282	0	+282	Up	+$9	10-14 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:30 UTC	47	$136	154	141	+13	Down	-$4	08-20 12:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 12:15 UTC	37	$135	162	148	+14	Down	+$4	08-19 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	34	$134	330	0	+330	Up	+$56	10-15 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 00:15 UTC	37	$129	282	0	+282	Down	-$10	10-15 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 13:45 UTC	53	$125	152	130	+22	Down	-$3	08-17 13:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 12:00 UTC	52	$123	166	164	+2	Up	+$11	08-27 12:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$118	151	151	+0	Yes	-$3	04-26 08:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 01:30 UTC	45	$114	137	134	+3	Down	+$1	08-21 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xf788fa…
10-29 00:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xc83739…
10-29 00:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x4644f6…
10-29 00:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0239b8…
10-29 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x12b149…
10-29 00:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x01bf38…
10-29 00:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xa0746b…
10-29 00:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x86f367…
10-29 00:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xff87bc…
10-29 00:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x97d2f5…
10-29 00:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x35dc74…
10-29 00:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x07851b…
10-29 00:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x267e57…
10-29 00:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3a31e3…
10-29 00:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xc8eeaa…
10-29 00:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x54d2c3…
10-29 00:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9bfff8…
10-28 23:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x83c147…
10-28 23:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x55d1b2…
10-28 23:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe24e30…
10-28 23:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x21a3c2…
10-28 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb0e654…
10-28 23:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x3effc1…
10-28 23:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xddf897…
10-28 23:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x6feeae…
10-28 23:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x43de40…
10-28 23:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x950c9e…
10-28 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x076cf6…
10-28 23:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xdfb229…
10-28 23:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x37e2ae…
10-28 23:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x78bb57…
10-28 23:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3f386d…
10-28 23:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x7f52fd…
10-28 23:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa8b5e3…
10-28 23:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x9ef59b…
10-28 23:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x42e08d…
10-28 23:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x3ed1a7…
10-28 23:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd9c10c…
10-28 23:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2cba06…
10-28 23:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x19de9c…
10-28 23:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x064be0…
10-28 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfe3a67…
10-28 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xa4a3bb…
10-28 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xa21bcb…
10-28 23:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7d8f7f…
10-28 23:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7f3e90…
10-28 23:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1d82e5…
10-28 23:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x94a7fd…
10-28 23:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xeddc95…
10-28 23:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xe3d6d3…
10-28 23:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x42f95f…
10-28 23:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x1ce13e…
10-28 23:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdf4d72…
10-28 23:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf8f428…
10-28 23:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdd5496…
10-28 23:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x789d57…
10-28 23:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x60c49d…
10-28 23:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1b91a6…
10-28 23:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xcc3b0c…
10-28 23:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5623cf…
10-28 23:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xee3b4a…
10-28 23:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xa4d746…
10-28 23:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe5ab01…
10-28 23:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x22f05c…
10-28 23:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0xf66cef…
10-28 23:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x935bef…
10-28 23:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$5	0x9bd65b…
10-28 23:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x68db71…
10-28 22:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xb7bd1a…
10-28 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	14¢	$4	0xf1fe68…
10-28 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x89b993…
10-28 22:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xadc7b1…
10-28 22:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x22725b…
10-28 22:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbdb7d5…
10-19 12:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x74529e…
10-19 12:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4ee3ed…
10-19 12:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x44d5ef…
10-19 12:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xcea21b…
10-19 12:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa70443…
10-19 12:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf62e9b…
10-19 12:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3fae87…
10-19 12:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x19eeb3…
10-19 12:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0xc09d2d…
10-19 12:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x8b9512…
10-19 12:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x221083…
10-19 12:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc74599…
10-19 12:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xf15111…
10-19 11:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x61783e…
10-19 11:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x93c268…
10-19 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xde34b9…
10-19 11:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xe11a74…
10-19 11:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x4932ac…
10-19 11:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x72dfed…
10-19 11:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xe6dec4…
10-19 11:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x828712…
10-19 11:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xf2eb0e…
10-19 11:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf38a48…
10-19 11:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x933523…
10-19 11:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0xe1378b…
10-19 11:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0xb49545…