Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$71

Open exposure

$34

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-12 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

52% 64% +$7

Crypto

35% 83% +$6

Politics

13% 83% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No		+30	$28	96¢	$29	+$1	09-19 03:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-12 00:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	2	$281	141	141	+0	No	+$1	07-24 08:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	+$1	04-21 01:07
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$253	129	129	+0	No	+$3	03-24 10:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$252	140	140	+0	open	—	07-07 00:47
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$250	126	126	+0	No	$0	03-12 23:30
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$242	124	124	+0	No	+$4	01-27 12:32
OPEC dissolves in 2026?	2	$240	126	126	+0	open	—	09-19 03:17
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	2	$237	120	120	+0	No	+$1	01-18 00:44
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$235	118	118	+0	No	+$0	01-07 23:37
will thunderbolts be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$235	118	118	+0	No	$0	01-08 02:46
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$131	132	0	+132	Yes	+$1	04-21 01:14
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$124	125	0	+125	No	+$1	02-25 14:32
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	1	$123	124	0	+124	No	+$0	02-05 00:59
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	01-27 15:40
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	1	$120	122	0	+122	No	+$2	03-24 11:02
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$118	120	0	+120	No	+$2	05-04 10:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	02-25 09:26
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	02-25 08:08
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	$0	02-25 08:19
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 09:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	09-19 03:17
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	09-19 03:22
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-15 14:07
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	02-25 08:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-04 00:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$2	03-24 10:37
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-24 05:39
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-12 00:59
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	1	$2	20	0	+20	No	-$2	06-23 09:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$2	04-08 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 00:59:48	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc7e704…
09-24 05:39:42	Will Russia enter Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x246f01…
09-19 03:22:21	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf68c57…
09-19 03:17:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xe102c3…
09-19 03:17:25	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	SELL	126	96¢	$121	0x0c0325…
08-08 02:28:45	OPEC dissolves in 2026?	No	BUY	126	95¢	$120	0x46aa0c…
08-08 02:23:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xc7e1cc…
07-24 08:28:30	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xc21941…
07-07 01:59:34	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x1b352e…
07-07 00:47:17	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	140	93¢	$130	0xc13be6…
06-23 09:59:53	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x09de89…
06-05 11:17:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	140	87¢	$122	0xe22639…
05-15 14:07:20	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x47a1e0…
05-04 10:45:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xac40b3…
05-04 00:32:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ece19…
04-21 01:14:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x464712…
04-21 01:07:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xa4754f…
04-08 10:39:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x4e5737…
04-08 10:34:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf306cb…
04-08 09:12:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x167a74…
03-24 11:02:23	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x3d1d81…
03-24 10:37:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x3917e3…
03-24 10:32:11	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0xc6f9aa…
03-13 09:12:57	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	129	97¢	$125	0x6dc610…
03-12 23:30:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x78be42…
03-02 03:03:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x6edb86…
02-25 14:32:56	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x75f17c…
02-25 09:26:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xbae020…
02-25 09:19:56	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x65d66e…
02-25 08:19:16	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xf869c2…
02-25 08:08:54	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x55bd2a…
02-25 08:08:24	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3c03ac…
02-25 08:06:20	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x220036…
02-25 04:32:38	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6d8d78…
02-25 04:29:28	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x9fafef…
02-25 04:29:00	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xff7cd8…
02-25 04:28:08	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0x338948…
02-25 04:27:42	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8b286a…
02-05 00:59:41	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xb5a616…
01-27 15:40:01	will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xa067fd…
01-27 12:32:27	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xbed7a5…
01-18 01:10:36	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	93	96¢	$89	0x12c762…
01-18 01:10:04	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd74f8c…
01-18 01:05:16	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x481b84…
01-18 00:44:58	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0xa0bffc…
01-12 14:09:24	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xc47f4f…
01-08 02:46:31	will thunderbolts be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0xf252fd…
01-08 01:54:03	will thunderbolts be nominated for best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x897fd8…
01-07 23:37:39	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	118	99¢	$118	0xcb3248…
01-04 08:23:37	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	118	99¢	$118	0x45db30…