Sociable-Product 0xe033e9…5940a5
whale hot
6Unusual bets: 3 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$93.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$31.8K
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
25
Trades
6,057
lifetime
Volume
$1.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$192
Open exposure
$277.7K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-28 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
99% 26% +$92,290
Politics
1% 100% +$1,088
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 139 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +298,634 $185,428 76¢ $228.5K +$43,027 10-23 21:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +612,808 $35,760 4¢ $24.5K -$11,247 10-27 16:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +68,502 $21,865 32¢ $21.6K -$287 10-27 12:38
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +546,375 $2,185 0¢ $2.5K +$273 10-28 01:44
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +623 $451 71¢ $440 -$11 10-27 15:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +559 $107 21¢ $118 +$11 10-27 15:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +232 $49 20¢ $48 -$1 10-25 09:50
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +50 $37 75¢ $37 +$0 10-25 13:55
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +931 $27 3¢ $26 -$1 10-27 15:52
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +33 $24 77¢ $25 +$1 10-24 06:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +32 $18 64¢ $21 +$2 10-21 19:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-26 18:10