Average-Skean — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,323

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-12 10:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 90% +$4

Other

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	10	$347	302	240	+63	open	—	04-04 22:12
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	12	$201	135	133	+2	open	—	04-03 14:29
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 12c	12	$176	105	105	+0	open	—	03-30 20:21
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 16c	3	$162	94	93	+1	open	—	04-06 20:04
btc updown 5m 1772182200	5	$160	91	90	+0	open	—	02-27 08:55
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	2	$153	78	78	+0	open	—	04-02 19:58
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 14c	8	$151	152	121	+31	open	—	03-31 23:58
btc updown 5m 1772287800	3	$148	96	73	+23	open	—	02-28 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	9	$147	92	76	+16	Down	+$2	05-06 22:25
highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 76 77f	2	$141	71	71	+0	open	—	04-07 06:29
btc updown 5m 1772290200	2	$123	141	0	+141	open	—	02-28 14:52
btc updown 15m 1771361100	2	$121	61	61	+0	open	—	02-17 21:02
btc updown 5m 1772282400	6	$120	80	80	+1	open	—	02-28 12:44
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 9c	5	$115	65	65	+0	open	—	03-25 19:46
btc updown 5m 1772284500	5	$114	94	66	+28	open	—	02-28 13:19
btc updown 5m 1772291100	2	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	02-28 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$104	57	57	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 22:27
btc updown 5m 1772288100	2	$103	56	55	+0	open	—	02-28 14:18
btc updown 5m 1772291400	2	$102	64	64	+0	open	—	02-28 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5PM ET	3	$101	51	51	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	4	$101	54	54	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	4	$101	53	53	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	4	$101	54	54	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 21:57
btc updown 5m 1772290800	2	$100	57	57	+0	open	—	02-28 15:04
highest temperature in london on april 7 2026 17c	2	$98	114	0	+114	open	—	04-07 14:32
highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 17c	2	$86	53	52	+1	open	—	04-24 20:19
btc updown 5m 1772285400	4	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	02-28 13:34
btc updown 5m 1772289000	4	$82	59	58	+1	open	—	02-28 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	4	$81	46	46	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$81	42	42	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x044621…
05-12 10:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5f14f3…
05-12 10:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x09ef07…
05-12 10:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0f4722…
05-11 18:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6d6c4e…
05-11 18:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa10840…
05-11 18:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xdc3614…
05-11 18:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xee99d8…
05-11 14:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2a1609…
05-11 09:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8fb735…
05-11 09:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x11de0d…
05-11 08:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xcfedb0…
05-11 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x119e1e…
05-11 07:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0x737129…
05-11 07:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe1e79f…
05-11 07:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	40¢	$9	0x05ae3a…
05-11 07:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x1b4f0b…
05-11 05:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x8f74fe…
05-11 05:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7dd4be…
05-10 22:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xedee3f…
05-10 22:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe02aa3…
05-10 21:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x943c0d…
05-10 21:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xe96945…
05-10 21:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	89¢	$20	0x44c4a8…
05-10 21:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xafd124…
05-10 21:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0xef2189…
05-10 21:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xa496e7…
05-10 21:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x2744a1…
05-10 21:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x993112…
05-10 20:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xf83a65…
05-10 20:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xfe81bf…
05-10 20:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x87824f…
05-10 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xe9345b…
05-10 20:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xbe6a8a…
05-10 12:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	93¢	$22	0xd16854…
05-10 12:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7ebbd3…
05-10 12:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	90¢	$16	0x54994d…
05-10 12:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x469657…
05-10 11:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0x3598c5…
05-10 11:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x8fd08f…
05-10 08:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x043f91…
05-10 08:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x0fbf8b…
05-10 07:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x7777db…
05-10 07:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2ee7c8…
05-10 06:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x001d83…
05-10 06:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x273a84…
05-10 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x42ef27…
05-10 06:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbe1607…
05-10 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xfb5c71…
05-10 06:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x3f3526…
05-10 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbcac72…
05-10 05:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x7ae048…
05-10 05:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfb6a2c…
05-09 23:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0xf3f173…
05-09 23:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xadb901…
05-09 22:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x5e1ca3…
05-09 22:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf684b8…
05-09 22:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x26afa8…
05-09 22:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xa8b1ad…
05-09 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	90¢	$20	0xdd28a0…
05-09 22:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x72912e…
05-09 22:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0xc1d4be…
05-09 22:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xc7ba7c…
05-09 22:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x5ecaab…
05-09 22:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xa3cc20…
05-09 22:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0xc438bf…
05-09 22:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc5c57c…
05-09 21:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x8f5b96…
05-09 21:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x1bdd5a…
05-09 21:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x3f6257…
05-09 21:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xf84ec0…
05-09 21:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x3cd918…
05-09 21:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x377dfc…
05-09 21:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xb10cb5…
05-09 21:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3371fb…
05-09 21:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$10	0xe8212f…
05-09 21:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xde2537…
05-09 20:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0xa59d94…
05-09 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd2dbc9…
05-09 20:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6b8e41…
05-09 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x4bcab0…
05-09 20:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xdb9f6d…
05-09 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9e7dfe…
05-09 19:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfe77b5…
05-09 19:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0x2e511c…
05-09 19:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x890ab8…
05-09 19:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb2febf…
05-09 19:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcfd6fc…
05-09 18:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x24c11b…
05-09 18:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd43f32…
05-09 18:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xe386cf…
05-09 18:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xba804b…
05-09 18:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ead3e…
05-09 18:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41de7c…
05-09 17:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x496d56…
05-09 17:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0bd588…
05-09 17:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x496870…
05-09 17:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcfc0c5…
05-09 17:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcca4f8…
05-09 17:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x200663…