Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$828
$1,250 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$601
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 10:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 2% YES on $816)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | $124 | $120 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $14 | $675 | $661 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $81 | $80 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $293 | $293 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $7 | $6 |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $17 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $9 | $16 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $108 | $108 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $276 | $276 |
| unranked | 2 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | +318 | $276 | $276 | 5 | 05-10 09:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x71d0…b73a | No | +244 | $212 | $212 | 1 | 05-10 05:11 |
| Spiffy-Check 0xcdf3…76a5 | No | +100 | $91 | $91 | 1 | 05-10 10:20 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +80 | $72 | $72 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +58 | $52 | $52 | 4 | 05-10 08:13 |
| Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 02:25 |
| Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 19:48 |
| Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 07:13 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 09:59 |
| Salty-Evening 0xd202…538d | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:01 |
| Enraged-Pita 0x5c70…edf3 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 09:49 |
| Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 20:39 |
| Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 09:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:03 |
| Angelic-Continent 0x9754…4696 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:02 |
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:17 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 08:07 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 20:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x80fe…ddd5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 09:03 |
| Precious-Recess 0x758d…9548 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 10:20:53 | Spiffy-Check 0xcdf3…76a5 | No | BUY | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x2dd418… |
| 05-10 10:05:06 | Precious-Recess 0x758d…9548 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x0514be… |
| 05-10 09:59:34 | Shy-Weird 0xe712…9a10 | No | BUY | 17 | 88¢ | $15 | 0xaeb6a1… |
| 05-10 09:59:23 | Wilted-Goodbye 0x3543…c63f | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x62f3a2… |
| 05-10 09:59:21 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0x777b81… |
| 05-10 09:49:40 | Enraged-Pita 0x5c70…edf3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x95a1e9… |
| 05-10 09:03:35 | (anonymous) 0xba6e…e245 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x8c64dd… |
| 05-10 09:03:11 | (anonymous) 0x80fe…ddd5 | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xb76a7f… |
| 05-10 08:59:11 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 49 | 83¢ | $40 | 0xc6a08a… |
| 05-10 08:13:11 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 18 | 88¢ | $16 | 0xe90067… |
| 05-10 08:07:46 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x83db81… |
| 05-10 07:52:34 | Subdued-Smock 0xf5ec…f469 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xc8c61d… |
| 05-10 07:26:51 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x3b2af6… |
| 05-10 07:26:47 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x09abfb… |
| 05-10 07:13:54 | Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | BUY | 24 | 85¢ | $20 | 0x644bf0… |
| 05-10 07:12:40 | Brilliant-Cranberry 0xec74…272c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe23b8f… |
| 05-10 07:02:45 | Angelic-Continent 0x9754…4696 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x667327… |
| 05-10 06:58:42 | Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | BUY | 12 | 85¢ | $10 | 0x7feb7f… |
| 05-10 06:18:25 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x5b4ab4… |
| 05-10 06:17:50 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x383239… |
| 05-10 06:03:15 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 59 | 84¢ | $50 | 0x8b76e2… |
| 05-10 05:18:11 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xf2ea6d… |
| 05-10 05:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x71d0…b73a | No | BUY | 244 | 87¢ | $212 | 0xbc1858… |
| 05-10 04:43:52 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 90¢ | $27 | 0x72ba48… |
| 05-10 04:01:53 | Salty-Evening 0xd202…538d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd02896… |
| 05-10 01:00:49 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x063dc4… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 19 | 90¢ | $17 | 0xd49d1d… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa8959c… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5b416d… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x7fc495… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 80 | 90¢ | $72 | 0x75f7a8… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe6d670… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x40383f… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0838b7… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x767e36… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4679f6… |
| 05-09 20:41:23 | Popular-Meal 0x2c6b…218b | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xb1f80a… |
| 05-09 20:39:31 | Triangular-Thrush 0x58f6…167e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x45b578… |
| 05-09 19:48:27 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 60 | 89¢ | $53 | 0x41eb9e… |
| 05-09 19:48:23 | Dental-Effectiveness 0x1831…6c99 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x77b6fc… |
| 05-09 19:47:31 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xbc7ae5… |
| 05-09 17:44:35 | Valuable-Pray 0xbff3…d6fa | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xf1c438… |
| 05-09 15:52:38 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x182c72… |
| 05-09 02:25:34 | Optimistic-Analogue 0x5576…59e9 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 21¢ | $7 | 0xe59408… |