Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
5
lifetime
Volume
$5
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 00:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
80%
Politics
20%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-12 23:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-11 00:30
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-11 00:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026? Yes +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-14 00:19
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +1 $1 42¢ $1 $-0 05-14 00:23