Realized P&L
-$212
Unrealized P&L
+$308
Hit rate
2.4%
Resolved
46
Trades
7,926
lifetime
Volume
$39.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$7.79K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 10-27 20:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
73% 12% -$178
Sports
14% 33% +$2
Politics
13% 29% -$35
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 741 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,111 $930 82¢ $911 -$19 10-13 19:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +631 $611 100¢ $630 +$19 10-13 16:20
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +376 $336 100¢ $375 +$40 09-06 16:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +365 $251 95¢ $347 +$95 10-14 11:25
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +352 $336 97¢ $342 +$6 10-14 12:28
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +358 $331 95¢ $340 +$8 10-13 16:31
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +351 $336 96¢ $337 +$1 10-12 11:01
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +371 $347 90¢ $334 -$13 10-11 13:03
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +320 $310 94¢ $301 -$9 10-12 09:59
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +284 $273 100¢ $284 +$11 10-11 23:28
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +281 $270 95¢ $268 -$2 10-14 13:26
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +301 $283 87¢ $261 -$22 10-13 09:20
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +271 $260 94¢ $255 -$5 10-13 05:08
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +258 $253 98¢ $252 -$1 10-14 13:05
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +246 $236 100¢ $245 +$10 10-14 12:29
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +219 $212 98¢ $214 +$2 10-11 17:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +208 $189 99¢ $207 +$18 08-18 17:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,115 $181 18¢ $201 +$20 10-14 11:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +196 $194 100¢ $195 +$1 09-20 20:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +201 $146 96¢ $192 +$46 09-11 15:15
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +190 $187 96¢ $182 -$5 10-13 19:59
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +165 $153 92¢ $153 $0 10-11 22:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +183 $104 79¢ $145 +$41 10-14 12:31
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +183 $88 76¢ $140 +$52 10-13 18:06
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +140 $123 100¢ $139 +$17 09-20 14:48
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +144 $139 97¢ $139 +$0 10-13 20:40
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +119 $118 99¢ $118 $0 10-13 01:25
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +117 $116 100¢ $116 +$1 10-11 18:47
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +102 $93 88¢ $90 -$3 10-12 20:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +75 $74 100¢ $75 +$1 08-08 17:50