Distorted-Jodhpurs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$9.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 06-07 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

28% 0% $-4

Sports

24% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$1.4K	1,039	1,039	-0	open	—	04-02 08:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$749	377	377	+0	open	—	04-07 00:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$732	435	435	+0	open	—	04-21 10:41
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	8	$592	487	487	+0	open	—	03-31 11:56
will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 241	2	$507	256	256	+0	open	—	04-10 00:38
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	5	$445	1,178	871	+307	open	—	04-25 04:52
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	2	$394	286	286	+0	open	—	05-19 17:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$389	7,751	0	+7,751	open	—	04-07 18:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$326	219	219	+0	open	—	04-21 10:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$301	310	310	+0	open	—	04-08 09:06
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	2	$291	203	200	+3	open	—	04-22 04:48
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	3	$240	956	543	+413	open	—	04-25 04:52
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	3	$225	963	463	+500	open	—	04-25 04:52
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$198	139	139	+0	open	—	04-24 14:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 24	2	$166	97	96	+1	open	—	04-24 14:43
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$156	94	94	+0	open	—	04-12 01:06
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$150	190	0	+190	open	—	05-14 06:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	6	$129	151	94	+57	open	—	05-24 14:21
Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	2	$95	1,923	1,923	+0	open	—	04-25 06:05
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	2	$88	57	57	+0	open	—	04-12 00:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	1	$83	11,591	0	+11,591	open	—	04-24 12:59
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	1	$76	500	0	+500	open	—	04-25 04:52
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	1	$76	379	0	+379	open	—	04-25 04:52
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$75	83	0	+83	open	—	05-24 14:21
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	5	$66	98	98	+0	open	—	03-30 18:23
mlb hou cle 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	2	$66	61	60	+1	open	—	04-20 22:38
ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	2	$59	94	92	+2	open	—	04-11 04:45
val ts3 ge1 2026 04 11	2	$58	176	172	+4	open	—	04-10 23:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	2	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	05-28 05:41
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	05-15 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:28:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x2da734…
05-31 21:23:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa260fe…
05-29 02:41:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xbf3851…
05-29 02:41:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xd061d9…
05-29 02:41:54	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3be920…
05-28 05:41:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf3dade…
05-28 05:41:45	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xbaa9ec…
05-28 05:41:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x6c69b4…
05-28 05:41:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x5605cc…
05-28 05:41:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x4acd80…
05-27 05:36:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xfbd18b…
05-27 05:36:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xf4e0b7…
05-24 21:17:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	Yes	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x04105e…
05-24 14:21:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x6ac078…
05-24 14:21:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x64a687…
05-23 21:17:21	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x5848b2…
05-23 21:17:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xdb0ed0…
05-23 00:05:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	94	5¢	$4	0x58fcce…
05-22 21:17:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x58633b…
05-21 11:41:43	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xf1bf81…
05-21 11:41:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3cf229…
05-21 11:41:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x0c3cde…
05-21 11:41:23	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xf827b3…
05-21 11:41:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x0f2ed0…
05-19 17:22:54	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	286	68¢	$194	0x49fd9a…
05-19 14:47:19	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	286	70¢	$200	0x62123a…
05-18 09:30:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xedf9ac…
05-15 07:41:55	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x98c80e…
05-14 15:42:48	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xbd5b04…
05-14 06:47:43	Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	79¢	$150	0x8d5c4b…
05-08 04:20:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	833	3¢	$24	0xfb6ead…
05-08 04:18:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	833	3¢	$25	0x0bdeb4…
05-07 06:13:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	518	5¢	$24	0x1203e9…
05-07 06:11:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	518	5¢	$25	0x3ffaac…
05-04 00:03:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	1¢	$3	0x0396e6…
05-03 07:02:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x7ab8c1…
04-26 14:02:28	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	267	7¢	$18	0xc2eb26…
04-26 14:02:28	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	227	8¢	$18	0x7e6960…
04-25 06:05:12	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	1,923	0¢	$5	0x921556…
04-25 04:52:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	413	18¢	$76	0xc2debc…
04-25 04:52:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$76	0x93e498…
04-25 04:52:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	379	20¢	$76	0x28b885…
04-25 04:52:40	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	307	25¢	$76	0x386678…
04-25 04:52:40	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$76	0x3058dd…
04-25 04:48:40	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	425	20¢	$84	0xc8bcb3…
04-25 04:45:24	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,923	5¢	$90	0xc482b1…
04-25 04:45:24	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	425	21¢	$90	0x1aab37…
04-24 20:23:10	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	543	12¢	$64	0x12f532…
04-24 20:23:08	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	SELL	445	21¢	$95	0x62e4ab…
04-24 20:23:06	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	SELL	463	11¢	$49	0x9e58a1…
04-24 14:43:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 24	Yes	SELL	96	87¢	$83	0x6a3f06…
04-24 14:42:52	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	SELL	139	70¢	$98	0xea516c…
04-24 12:59:46	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	Yes	BUY	11,591	1¢	$83	0x76070d…
04-24 12:59:44	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 24	Yes	BUY	97	86¢	$83	0xd42f1d…
04-24 12:59:44	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	445	22¢	$100	0x73409e…
04-24 12:59:44	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	543	18¢	$100	0x4c4a2c…
04-24 12:59:44	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x36b262…
04-24 12:59:42	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?	Yes	BUY	463	22¢	$100	0x813411…
04-22 04:48:44	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	SELL	200	71¢	$141	0x68b572…
04-22 04:25:36	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	No	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x23ab4a…
04-21 10:41:42	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	219	95¢	$208	0x0de102…
04-21 10:41:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	435	99¢	$432	0x1d788c…
04-20 22:38:46	mlb hou cle 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Over	SELL	60	59¢	$36	0x8cc0fc…
04-20 21:23:46	mlb hou cle 2026 04 20 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xe1f886…
04-20 01:06:40	nba por sas 2026 04 19 total 221pt5	Under	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xda8310…
04-20 01:01:40	nba por sas 2026 04 19 total 221pt5	Under	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x7b79c6…
04-19 22:26:40	nba por sas 2026 04 19 total 221pt5	Under	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xaa4861…
04-19 14:01:42	el1 pvl wig 2026 04 19 draw	No	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0xd6994f…
04-19 09:06:40	fl1 met pfc 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0xc1c6a8…
04-19 07:26:18	el1 pvl wig 2026 04 19 draw	No	BUY	16	71¢	$11	0xc83a4e…
04-19 06:26:18	fl1 met pfc 2026 04 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	42	53¢	$22	0x8be8fe…
04-17 19:12:08	mlb nym chc 2026 04 17 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x05bb45…
04-17 06:27:58	mlb nym chc 2026 04 17 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc91b74…
04-14 12:27:13	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x657e05…
04-13 23:08:29	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 13 total 9pt5	Under	SELL	28	51¢	$14	0x3361ce…
04-13 18:27:43	mlb laa nyy 2026 04 13 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xf93991…
04-13 17:27:41	mlb hou sea 2026 04 13 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xf2d4c9…
04-13 01:40:17	nba mem hou 2026 04 12 total 227pt5	Over	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xc2a70e…
04-13 01:40:17	nba phx okc 2026 04 12 total 212pt5	Under	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x30125b…
04-13 01:10:17	nba chi dal 2026 04 12 total 249pt5	Under	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0x129c70…
04-13 00:25:17	nba chi dal 2026 04 12 total 249pt5	Under	BUY	43	52¢	$22	0x270da8…
04-12 23:30:17	nba phx okc 2026 04 12 total 212pt5	Under	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x1d3172…
04-12 23:10:17	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12 total 219pt5	Under	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0xffe649…
04-12 21:30:17	nba mem hou 2026 04 12 total 227pt5	Over	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xfd840c…
04-12 20:30:17	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12 total 219pt5	Under	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x1e0020…
04-12 15:31:53	bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x6baf07…
04-12 04:26:51	bun stu hsv 2026 04 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x181e06…
04-12 02:26:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	219	54¢	$118	0x02d656…
04-12 01:06:39	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	94	83¢	$78	0x68bde1…
04-12 00:01:39	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	SELL	57	71¢	$41	0x4e6acc…
04-11 18:28:25	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	BUY	57	82¢	$47	0xb5080d…
04-11 17:33:29	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	28	58¢	$17	0x2831fc…
04-11 06:30:51	sea mil udi 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x5423a1…
04-11 05:30:55	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xedbd44…
04-11 05:30:53	bun hei uni 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xcd7198…
04-11 05:30:53	lal bar esp 2026 04 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x807dc9…
04-11 05:30:53	lal elc val 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x559435…
04-11 05:30:51	sea ata juv 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xa8a918…
04-11 05:30:51	bun wol ein 2026 04 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x75c323…
04-11 04:45:09	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	SELL	92	32¢	$29	0x354878…