Insubstantial-Pudding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,191

lifetime

Volume

$24.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-17 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

72% 20% $-58

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Politics

13% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	7	$734	400	400	+0	No	+$62	05-10 13:47
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	3	$463	254	254	+0	open	—	04-29 14:14
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	3	$263	274	130	+145	open	—	03-20 13:03
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	2	$246	126	126	+0	open	—	01-29 09:39
will turnout in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60 and 65	2	$245	145	145	+0	open	—	03-27 06:08
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	2	$241	142	142	+0	open	—	03-04 14:41
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	2	$238	133	133	+0	open	—	01-12 08:02
will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$236	137	137	+0	open	—	03-27 06:08
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	2	$233	190	184	+6	open	—	04-14 07:20
will franois piquemal be the next mayor of toulouse following the 2026 toulouse municipal election	2	$230	134	134	+0	open	—	03-27 06:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	2	$222	143	143	+0	open	—	03-13 15:08
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	2	$220	400	0	+400	open	—	04-24 09:15
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$216	300	0	+300	open	—	05-14 15:21
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	3	$214	334	195	+139	open	—	04-04 11:19
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	2	$214	119	119	+0	open	—	04-09 16:28
will 28 years later bone temple opening weekend box office be greater than 21m	2	$203	104	104	+0	open	—	01-20 01:46
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	2	$201	134	134	+0	open	—	03-04 14:41
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	3	$190	235	226	+9	open	—	04-07 01:14
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 620 639	2	$189	99	99	+0	open	—	01-20 01:45
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	6	$185	200	195	+5	open	—	04-22 08:05
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	6	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	04-23 23:52
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	2	$175	220	220	+0	open	—	03-29 16:35
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$167	185	176	+9	open	—	04-23 23:52
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 40 64	4	$166	962	919	+43	open	—	04-07 16:39
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$166	85	85	+0	open	—	02-07 01:29
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 90 114	2	$153	142	142	+0	open	—	03-11 14:11
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	2	$151	278	266	+11	open	—	04-11 11:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$148	200	200	+0	open	—	05-07 16:04
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19	2	$146	76	76	+0	open	—	01-20 00:57
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	5	$146	200	195	+5	open	—	04-22 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:55:08	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xa2cdd7…
05-17 00:24:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x9a205f…
05-17 00:18:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0927ea…
05-16 01:43:41	Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xed725d…
05-14 15:21:57	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x5cdaba…
05-14 00:21:48	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0xe9a91d…
05-13 03:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xbf9c4b…
05-13 03:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x421d38…
05-13 03:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xae7bf0…
05-10 13:47:21	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$398	0xfca22b…
05-08 01:30:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	86	3¢	$3	0x7c32bf…
05-08 01:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x64eb09…
05-07 16:04:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0xb46273…
05-07 14:42:47	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x741e21…
05-07 09:43:04	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x3fff6c…
05-07 03:42:43	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	16	85¢	$13	0x54f212…
05-06 19:48:09	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	36	85¢	$31	0x0c0dbc…
05-06 17:00:33	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x75fc89…
05-06 14:16:52	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	297	84¢	$249	0x485ca0…
05-03 12:26:50	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xb8c874…
05-01 01:48:28	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xad0a29…
05-01 01:48:02	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x93a7f9…
04-30 11:20:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x7c1b54…
04-30 11:19:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x554692…
04-30 11:18:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xe4de8b…
04-30 11:18:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x9108ce…
04-29 14:14:38	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	No	SELL	254	91¢	$230	0xd1c3e6…
04-29 14:05:30	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0x59337b…
04-29 11:06:30	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x26daa9…
04-29 11:05:46	James Comey arrested by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x91aa4b…
04-29 01:51:56	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x784fa4…
04-29 01:51:46	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xbb31d0…
04-29 01:51:28	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2af869…
04-29 01:29:16	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x52319c…
04-29 01:27:04	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xcf346f…
04-29 01:22:52	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	Yes	BUY	53	72¢	$38	0x5b6e8b…
04-28 07:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	41¢	$81	0xfb7254…
04-28 00:01:06	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x96f688…
04-28 00:01:00	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xfc30bd…
04-28 00:00:52	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xd8c822…
04-27 18:30:46	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd1e951…
04-27 16:55:08	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x7cd899…
04-27 16:52:56	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	No	BUY	241	92¢	$222	0x1c4229…
04-27 16:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	9¢	$17	0xfec0c9…
04-27 16:01:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	13¢	$17	0x4aed3d…
04-27 15:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xc2a882…
04-27 15:07:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4a959a…
04-27 14:24:16	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x2581be…
04-27 08:35:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	11¢	$14	0x4309ab…
04-27 08:26:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$3	0xe4c014…
04-27 08:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xcafd3d…
04-27 08:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xf50e93…
04-27 08:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x34a951…
04-27 07:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x0dd051…
04-27 04:50:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	2¢	$3	0x0e710c…
04-27 04:50:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	5¢	$10	0xf7f2f8…
04-27 04:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x711a3d…
04-27 04:11:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe0929d…
04-27 03:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xe4d51b…
04-27 03:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9e2963…
04-27 03:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x87ce3f…
04-26 12:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x27985a…
04-26 11:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x439117…
04-26 11:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x3387cd…
04-26 11:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x3b65c5…
04-26 11:40:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	17¢	$22	0xcfc537…
04-26 11:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x22911b…
04-26 09:09:12	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x7e6e60…
04-26 07:54:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x44085a…
04-26 07:53:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0x115e76…
04-26 07:51:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	36¢	$13	0x5b6349…
04-26 07:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xcd206c…
04-26 07:48:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0xd24413…
04-26 07:47:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x982443…
04-26 05:48:20	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x582b19…
04-26 05:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x302188…
04-26 05:40:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	36¢	$31	0x17fca3…
04-26 05:39:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x4cb8da…
04-26 05:37:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xdd6e1e…
04-26 05:37:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x5bd30a…
04-26 05:31:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x46ff00…
04-26 04:02:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	45¢	$81	0x282a7b…
04-26 03:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0xc3ddb2…
04-26 03:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd85630…
04-26 03:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x3f806a…
04-26 03:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x1ef35f…
04-26 03:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x98c74f…
04-26 03:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7abd67…
04-26 03:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	29	33¢	$10	0xb2cdc1…
04-26 02:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xabcb6c…
04-26 02:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc3d298…
04-26 02:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbc6669…
04-26 02:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x68ebc4…
04-26 02:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x1b06e7…
04-26 02:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xa2bdac…
04-26 02:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x8ea399…
04-26 02:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x2f67b4…
04-26 02:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2793e4…
04-26 02:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x0fd803…
04-26 02:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 72°F or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x047a4c…