Gaseous-Bait — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-14 22:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-26

Other

37% — —

Crypto

13% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No		-10	$-9	97¢	$-10	$-1	06-14 22:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	4	$108	93	46	+47	open	—	05-28 01:13
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$99	76	34	+42	open	—	05-23 04:20
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	2	$83	47	47	+0	open	—	06-14 22:20
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	2	$83	47	47	+0	open	—	06-14 22:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$82	44	44	+0	open	—	06-14 22:22
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$78	47	47	+0	open	—	06-14 22:22
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$77	45	45	+0	open	—	06-13 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$71	47	47	+0	open	—	06-14 22:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$70	47	47	+0	open	—	06-14 22:23
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	2	$70	43	43	+0	open	—	06-14 22:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$69	43	43	+0	open	—	05-23 20:20
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	05-19 23:43
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	8	$57	37	37	+0	open	—	03-16 05:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	2	$55	47	47	+0	open	—	05-28 05:21
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$54	45	45	+0	open	—	06-08 02:51
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	5	$54	55	10	+45	open	—	05-27 19:44
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$49	47	5	+42	open	—	05-23 04:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	4	$47	49	5	+44	open	—	05-23 04:11
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	03-25 16:20
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$43	103	103	+0	open	—	03-19 16:28
ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	1	$43	0	44	-44	open	—	06-14 22:21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	1	$41	45	0	+45	open	—	05-26 22:14
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$41	53	53	+0	open	—	03-19 16:28
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	1	$41	47	0	+47	open	—	06-01 06:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	2	$41	45	45	+0	open	—	05-26 00:54
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	1	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	05-23 06:44
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	05-23 21:43
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	05-25 00:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	2	$40	47	47	+0	open	—	05-26 01:02
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	2	$40	44	0	+44	open	—	05-23 04:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 22:28:33	Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x7bb30f…
06-14 22:28:19	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb9f08f…
06-14 22:28:07	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x8e49da…
06-14 22:27:54	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x21b66f…
06-14 22:27:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x35f0c1…
06-14 22:27:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9f9bc0…
06-14 22:27:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7a88a2…
06-14 22:23:45	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	43	73¢	$31	0x36a3f4…
06-14 22:23:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	47	65¢	$30	0x98a740…
06-14 22:23:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	47	67¢	$31	0x615bcf…
06-14 22:22:45	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	80¢	$38	0x3c38c8…
06-14 22:22:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x5f603d…
06-14 22:21:48	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0xe5f1d9…
06-14 22:21:30	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xcabc46…
06-14 22:21:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x17cfbb…
06-14 22:21:00	ex cuba leader raul castro in us custody by june 30	No	SELL	44	96¢	$43	0x92a4dc…
06-14 22:20:28	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	47	92¢	$43	0x5f95b2…
06-13 05:21:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0xae826a…
06-08 02:55:22	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x199317…
06-08 02:51:45	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0x4a5044…
06-05 06:10:33	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x8b1e93…
06-04 11:42:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x7c1ff7…
06-03 22:41:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x05ad30…
06-02 10:42:06	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0xe44583…
06-01 12:13:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$39	0x335c80…
06-01 12:13:14	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x0043d9…
06-01 07:15:39	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x40f38c…
06-01 06:13:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x986fb7…
06-01 06:13:10	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	47	87¢	$41	0xfcc85e…
06-01 06:13:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$39	0xab4a02…
06-01 04:51:55	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x06a205…
05-30 05:12:56	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0x35cffd…
05-30 02:12:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x3ee755…
05-28 05:21:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	SELL	47	31¢	$15	0x6dd7b4…
05-28 01:13:21	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0xef4d42…
05-27 19:44:07	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$39	0x7be9f2…
05-27 17:42:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c2bd8…
05-27 17:40:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x712094…
05-27 01:47:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x7edc1b…
05-26 22:17:16	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$31	0xd3a18a…
05-26 22:14:59	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x6095b2…
05-26 22:14:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x848529…
05-26 06:21:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x628431…
05-26 06:17:29	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x1eb38e…
05-26 06:15:20	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x3602df…
05-26 01:05:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	13¢	$8	0xdf26d5…
05-26 01:02:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$0	0xf277e1…
05-26 00:54:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x84c46d…
05-26 00:51:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x42c357…
05-25 06:51:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	SELL	34	49¢	$17	0xc9ae8e…
05-25 00:13:16	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x38b9f3…
05-24 10:43:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xf35837…
05-24 07:43:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x26c603…
05-23 21:43:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x0e3456…
05-23 21:29:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	43	92¢	$39	0x1438a0…
05-23 21:12:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x047956…
05-23 20:23:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x91c409…
05-23 20:20:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	43	68¢	$29	0xae5eaf…
05-23 20:16:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x6b8194…
05-23 19:28:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	46	60¢	$28	0x1def73…
05-23 19:25:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	22	76¢	$17	0x35ca94…
05-23 19:21:46	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x512846…
05-23 19:13:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x837b63…
05-23 06:44:25	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	45	90¢	$40	0x347e3f…
05-23 06:44:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$39	0xc9fd84…
05-23 05:13:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc16722…
05-23 04:22:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6b04a1…
05-23 04:20:15	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5ae958…
05-23 04:20:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x8d861b…
05-23 04:20:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc1a0f8…
05-23 04:19:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x684643…
05-23 04:19:45	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf2d9ab…
05-23 04:19:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x15a43f…
05-23 04:19:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x1d0555…
05-23 04:19:08	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfea4d8…
05-23 04:19:01	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x7e88ca…
05-23 04:16:33	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf4e701…
05-23 04:16:01	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x8739f3…
05-23 04:15:54	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$2	0x9d9111…
05-23 04:15:33	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3ada33…
05-23 04:12:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0x13b0aa…
05-23 04:12:45	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x34d083…
05-23 04:12:31	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0e821a…
05-23 04:12:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x9c5068…
05-23 04:12:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x79c1da…
05-23 04:12:01	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa649b6…
05-23 04:11:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0x355725…
05-23 04:11:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0xde69e6…
05-23 04:09:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4b998c…
05-23 04:09:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x17e466…
05-23 04:09:13	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x8293aa…
05-23 04:09:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0b4b0b…
05-23 04:08:59	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x0aa5a0…
05-23 04:08:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xf78c37…
05-23 04:08:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$2	0x263f59…
05-23 04:08:10	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8ff26a…
05-21 15:13:33	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x10fa6b…
05-21 09:43:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x7c0012…
05-20 23:43:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x194792…
05-20 20:59:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xfd9e2c…