Realized P&L (7d)
+$71
Unrealized P&L
+$350
Hit rate
78.8%
Resolved (7d)
84
Trades (7d)
0
93,027 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$387.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-24 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 161 days
Categories
Other
89% 42% +$1,677
Crypto
8% 58% +$529
Politics
2% 43% +$135
Sports
1% 43% -$28
Tech
0% 31% +$35
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 1959 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +182 $114 80¢ $146 +$32 10-08 14:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +138 $102 97¢ $133 +$31 09-15 20:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +130 $64 99¢ $128 +$64 09-25 07:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $82 88¢ $122 +$40 08-21 00:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +162 $119 70¢ $113 -$6 09-28 14:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +106 $57 84¢ $89 +$33 09-21 17:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +90 $80 97¢ $87 +$7 10-20 06:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +85 $53 90¢ $76 +$23 09-21 16:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +97 $82 73¢ $71 -$11 09-28 11:47
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +70 $49 99¢ $69 +$20 09-06 22:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +75 $49 86¢ $65 +$16 10-11 15:17
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +50 $37 100¢ $50 +$14 10-22 00:29
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +164 $35 30¢ $49 +$15 10-13 10:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 96¢ $48 +$10 09-20 22:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +48 $39 96¢ $46 +$7 09-05 13:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $56 20¢ $35 -$21 10-08 14:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +45 $19 66¢ $30 +$11 10-21 14:37
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 10-05 06:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +40 $37 72¢ $29 -$8 10-12 21:28
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +30 $16 94¢ $28 +$12 10-21 19:50
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +38 $21 72¢ $27 +$6 10-05 10:50
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $12 27¢ $27 +$15 10-02 09:23
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $25 90¢ $27 +$3 09-21 14:04
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +28 $19 92¢ $26 +$7 09-22 10:38
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +30 $5 82¢ $25 +$20 09-30 23:32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +38 $17 64¢ $24 +$8 09-30 20:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +40 $22 56¢ $22 +$0 10-23 18:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $35 41¢ $20 -$15 08-27 19:24
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 10-08 22:20
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +20 $10 99¢ $20 +$10 09-24 20:16