Realized P&L (30d)
+$159
Unrealized P&L
+$348
Hit rate
72.0%
Resolved (30d)
1,369
Trades (30d)
5,605
93,027 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$21.6K
$387.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.65K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-24 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
89% 42% +$1,669
Crypto
8% 58% +$529
Politics
2% 45% +$164
Sports
1% 43% -$28
Tech
0% 31% +$35
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 1624 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +182 $114 84¢ $154 +$40 10-08 14:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +138 $102 97¢ $133 +$31 09-15 20:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +130 $64 98¢ $127 +$63 09-25 07:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $82 88¢ $122 +$40 08-21 00:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +162 $119 68¢ $111 -$9 09-28 14:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +106 $57 90¢ $96 +$39 09-21 17:47
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +90 $80 98¢ $88 +$8 10-20 06:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +85 $53 90¢ $77 +$24 09-21 16:44
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +97 $82 75¢ $73 -$9 09-28 11:47
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +70 $49 98¢ $69 +$20 09-06 22:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +75 $49 86¢ $65 +$16 10-11 15:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +164 $35 32¢ $52 +$17 10-13 10:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 97¢ $48 +$10 09-20 22:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +48 $39 97¢ $46 +$7 09-05 13:54
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +38 $21 82¢ $31 +$10 10-05 10:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +45 $19 66¢ $30 +$10 10-21 14:37
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$2 10-05 06:44
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $56 16¢ $28 -$28 10-08 14:50
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $25 92¢ $28 +$3 09-21 14:04
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +40 $37 68¢ $27 -$9 10-12 21:28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +30 $5 90¢ $27 +$22 09-30 23:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $12 25¢ $25 +$13 10-02 09:23
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +38 $17 64¢ $25 +$8 09-30 20:49
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +28 $19 87¢ $24 +$6 09-22 10:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $35 44¢ $22 -$13 08-27 19:24
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $7 97¢ $19 +$12 10-04 22:57
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 09-07 15:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +32 $14 59¢ $19 +$5 10-15 02:40
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $14 94¢ $19 +$5 10-06 04:31
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +20 $15 88¢ $18 +$2 10-15 21:16