Realized P&L
+$2.37K
Unrealized P&L
+$412
Hit rate
61.0%
Resolved
16,243
Trades
93,027
lifetime
Volume
$387.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$1.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-22
last 10-24 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 167 days
Categories
Other
89% 42% +$1,677
Crypto
8% 58% +$529
Politics
2% 44% +$150
Sports
1% 43% -$28
Tech
0% 31% +$35
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$12
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 1624 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +182 $114 84¢ $154 +$40 10-08 14:54
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +138 $102 98¢ $134 +$32 09-15 20:56
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +130 $64 98¢ $127 +$63 09-25 07:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +140 $82 88¢ $123 +$41 08-21 00:06
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +106 $57 94¢ $100 +$43 09-21 17:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +164 $35 60¢ $99 +$64 10-13 10:17
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +90 $80 98¢ $88 +$8 10-20 06:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +85 $53 94¢ $80 +$27 09-21 16:44
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +70 $49 98¢ $69 +$20 09-06 22:59
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +162 $119 40¢ $65 -$55 09-28 14:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +75 $49 86¢ $65 +$16 10-11 15:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +100 $12 58¢ $58 +$46 10-02 09:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +50 $38 98¢ $49 +$11 09-20 22:44
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +48 $39 98¢ $47 +$8 09-05 13:54
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +97 $82 42¢ $41 -$41 09-28 11:47
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +38 $21 84¢ $32 +$11 10-05 10:50
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +30 $28 99¢ $30 +$2 10-05 06:44
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +31 $3 93¢ $29 +$26 10-05 06:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +45 $19 64¢ $29 +$10 10-21 14:37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $56 16¢ $28 -$28 10-08 14:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +38 $17 72¢ $28 +$11 09-30 20:49
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +30 $25 92¢ $28 +$3 09-21 14:04
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? No +30 $17 91¢ $27 +$10 10-12 12:34
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +30 $5 88¢ $27 +$22 09-30 23:32
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +28 $19 90¢ $25 +$7 09-22 10:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +32 $14 62¢ $20 +$6 10-15 02:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $35 41¢ $20 -$15 08-27 19:24
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +20 $10 99¢ $20 +$10 09-24 20:16
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +20 $7 99¢ $20 +$13 10-04 22:57
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$2 09-07 15:19