Fatal-Repayment 0xe3481c…2173de
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$62
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
29
lifetime
Volume
$323
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$110
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 06-07 07:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66% 100% +$62
Other
32% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +338 $23 6¢ $21 $-2 06-07 07:33
US congress stock trading ban before 2027? No -17 $-16 92¢ $-16 $-0 06-07 07:38
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +144 $13 10¢ $14 +$1 06-07 07:42
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +62 $10 16¢ $10 $-0 06-07 07:41
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +25 $10 38¢ $10 $-0 06-07 07:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +45 $10 20¢ $9 $-1 06-07 07:43
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +45 $10 18¢ $8 $-2 06-07 07:44
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No -8 $-6 82¢ $-7 $-0 06-07 07:38
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $7 $-3 06-07 07:40
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? No -5 $-5 92¢ $-5 +$0 06-07 07:38
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -9 $-5 48¢ $-4 +$0 06-07 07:38