Realized P&L
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
78.6%
Resolved
10
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$64
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$37
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-11 21:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
47% 75% +$10
Other
34% 50% $-2
Politics
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +6 $4 88¢ $5 +$1 05-07 02:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 +$0 05-06 19:30
Thunder vs. Lakers Thunder +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 05-11 11:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +4 $2 62¢ $2 +$0 05-07 01:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-06 21:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +3 $2 82¢ $2 +$0 05-07 02:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 05-08 02:07
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Pistons +5 $2 42¢ $2 +$0 05-11 16:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 05-06 07:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 $-0 05-06 21:12
Will Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 $-0 05-11 03:43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 $-0 05-11 21:52
Pistons vs. Cavaliers Cavaliers +3 $2 58¢ $2 $-0 05-11 00:45
Iran leadership change by May 31? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 05-07 07:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 30¢ $1 $-1 05-09 03:15